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Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก

Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก

@Runanode

Using a #Bitcoin standard | #Bitcoin maxi | Love nature

United Kingdom ๊ฐ€์ž…์ผ Temmuz 2010
961 ํŒ”๋กœ์ž‰368 ํŒ”๋กœ์›Œ
๊ณ ์ •๋œ ํŠธ์œ—
Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก
Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก@Runanodeยท
Bitcoin doesn't give af Black White Asian Left Right Pro life Pro choice American Chinese Ugandan Authoritarian Democratic Statist Anarchist Libertarian Poor Rich Atheist Christian Muslim Buddhist Male Female Non binary Pro BTC Anti BTC Anything Bitcoin doesn't give af
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Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก@Runanodeยท
@nic_carter Your annoyance with Europe staying out of the war is getting in the way of an otherwise decent analysis of the situation. Don't forget it took the US 2 years to show up in WW2...
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nic carter
nic carter@nic_carterยท
Scenario 1: US forces unilateral reopening of the Strait (+ Israel & Gulf allies): - US: reinforces clear hegemony, sole guarantor of postwar order, but could be costly through attrition/pyrrhic victory - Gulf states: survive, but as vassal states totally dependent on US security guarantees - Europe: saved in the short term, but politically exposed, reviled as security free riders, vulnerable to recriminations (US leaves/weakens NATO, abandons Ukraine), likely forced into concessions ("pay war costs through energy surcharges etc") - Japan/Korea: rescued but exposed as vulnerable, likely forced into closer military alignment with US - Big losers: Iran (regime change effectively guaranteed), China (Taiwan ambitions ~over) Scenario 2: Strait stays semi-closed, US abandons efforts to reopen it, China cargoes travel freely. Iran enforces selective transit regime for remainder of 2026+ - China: massive strategic winner - Iran: strategic + economic winner if regime survives, proves it can hold entire world to ransom without a navy - US: economically less exposed, but strategic big loser - Russia: quiet huge winner - Europe/Japan/Korea: catastrophic losers, energy shock, total loss of leverage, possible Chinese vassalization Scenario 3 is my base case, less interesting but most likely: partial reopening, persistent gray zone conflict, US does not walk away, both sides get trapped in a war of attrition with global trade impaired - EU/Japan/Korea big losers here again - US strategic winner, suffers economically - China is likely a loser (US won't accept selective transit regime indefinitely) - Global south big loser Scenario 2 looks completely unacceptable from both a US and EU perspective but Euros are acting like its not possible or likely. It may not be their "fight" but they're certainly exposed to the outcome. Scenario 3 is also quite bad for the Euros. The only "good" outcome for them is one in which the US wins a total victory and then a vengeful Trump tries to extract concessions from Europe to recoup wartime costs. Which doesn't seem good from a Euro perspective at all. It's actually genuinely hard to conceive of an outcome that's straightforwardly good for EU interests, aside from "they come to their senses and send a bunch of warships to help Trump", which seems vanishingly unlikely at this point. In my opinion, Europeans should be on high alert.
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nic carter
nic carter@nic_carterยท
it's uncanny how the Straits crisis and its reverberations was completely anticipated by peter zeihan in this 2020 book core thesis: - the US as a reluctant increasingly isolationist hegemon unwilling or unable to maintain food energy security for the whole planet - the US able to weather this transition as it has the continental resources it needs, but its erstwhile freeloader allies totally hung out to dry in the new order - no hegemon willing or able to fill the gap; no one else post '45 has the blue water navy and power projection ability that the US had; trade becomes more disordered and more expensive - trade becomes more regionalized, countries dependent on seamlessly functioning global food/fertilizer/energy trade are big big losers, globalization retreats haven't seen any good counter arguments to this thesis. the realignment is happening in real time. listen to what the Euros are saying about the Strait and their energy security and see what Trump is saying about Europe. (not saying anyone is "right" or "morally justified" just calling balls and strikes)
nic carter tweet media
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Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก ๋ฆฌํŠธ์œ—ํ•จ
Donald J. Trump
Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrumpยท
Remember that I predicted a long time ago that President Obama will attack Iran because of his inability to negotiate properly-not skilled!
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Peter McCormack ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช
This energy ๐Ÿ”ฅ Restore is the only anti-establishment party. Here to brutalise the state. Every law is an infringement on freedom. Every tax is theft from you. The state creates nothing, it only steals. Iโ€™ll join and give 100% to any party which takes a bonfire to the state.
Rupert Lowe MP@RupertLowe10

The soaring cost of living is suffocating, but letโ€™s not pretend that this is some unstoppable phenomenon. This is caused by politicians, and it can be solved by politicians - just different politicians who have the courage to do what needs to be done, however unpopular that may be. Above all else, we need to brutalise the size of the state. I mean brutalise. Like nothing that has ever been seen. A public sector bonfire that is visible from space - that is what Restore Britain would do. We would deliver a Britain that lives within its means. In fact, we would be forced to go further. The immediate priority has to be paying off the national debt. Vast interest repayments on that debt are a boot on Britainโ€™s neck. Billions and billions, just spent on interest. No household could live like that, so why can we allow the country to do so? This is debt in our name. It's on us. Our children and grandchildren. What an inheritance that is. We need to cut the debt, not just the deficit. I am going to be entirely honest here. That will be painful - really, really painful. There are no easy solutions, no easy times. We had that, and itโ€™s led us here. To hard times. We now need hard solutions. Thatโ€™s just the honest truth. Donโ€™t like it? Donโ€™t vote Restore Britain. Iโ€™m not promising some utopia like the others. Iโ€™m telling the truth. What a mad idea that is. There is one answer, and one answer only. Hack down the size of the state, and drastically reduce tax. Bring it all down, in a way thatโ€™s never been seen before in Britain. And yes, that will mean the state does less. GOOD. I want hardworking families to keep more of THEIR money, and they can decide how itโ€™s spent. Thresholds raised, rates slashed. VAT, alcohol duty, fuel duty - all cut. Resist the stealth taxes they all pretend donโ€™t exist. We will REWARD work. I think the state is bad. I think the individual is good. I trust the individual to make the decisions that are best for them and their family. I do not trust the bureaucrat to spend your money in the best possible way. Do you? Growth only comes from the following things. A far smaller state. Lower taxes. More people working. Fewer people scrounging. Cheaper energy. Stronger borders. A secure society. Actual production. I want the Government to do a very small list of things, but to do them very well. Protect our people, protect our borders, protect our interests. Other than that, no thanks. That is the only way to get the cost of living under control, there is no other way. We must crush parasitic Britain. There is now a political party dedicated to doing exactly that. Restore Britain.

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Camus
Camus@newstart_2024ยท
Gary Brecka just made a jaw-dropping prediction on Piers Morgan: โ€œIf youโ€™re alive five years from today, it will be your choice whether or not you want to live to 120 or 140.โ€ He says the combo of early detection + AI + big data is about to explode life extension โ€” and weโ€™re already seeing AI advance so fast in medicine that one surgeon told Piers the field changed unbelievably in just three weeks. Brecka: โ€œAI can take 700 trillion independent variables and create actionable results.โ€ The future of healthcare isnโ€™t coming โ€” itโ€™s already here, and itโ€™s moving at warp speed. Do you believe weโ€™ll see people routinely choosing to live to 120โ€“140 within the next 5 years? Or is this hype?
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Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก
Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก@Runanodeยท
@BitPaine Never ceases to amaze me that so many people think that chart patterns have any sort of meaning.
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Michael A. Arouet
Michael A. Arouet@MichaelAArouetยท
The US and the UK once enjoyed similar levels of prosperity. Now the US, with its free markets and entrepreneurialism driving progress, keeps getting wealthier, while parts of the UK are now poorer than some Eastern European countries. How did that happen to such a proud nation?
Michael A. Arouet tweet media
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Peter McCormack ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช
Iโ€™m quite terrified but the economic situation in the U.K. So many friends are struggling: - Businesses scraping by - Many closing - Large numbers of redundancies - People struggling to get work - Everything feels expensive Labour canโ€™t fix this, ideologically itโ€™s impossible. They need to go as soon as possible.
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Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก
Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก@Runanodeยท
@PeterMcCormack Same supermarket has a 400g pack for ยฃ3.60, you're purposely choosing the premium variety to be dramatic
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Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก
Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก@Runanodeยท
@skumWgmi Doesn't work in UK unfortunately, you need to wait 30 days over here or it doesn't count as a sale
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skum๐ŸงŠ
skum๐ŸงŠ@skumWgmiยท
If you buy Bitcoin at $126,000 and it goes to $88,000 you can sell it and buy it back 6 seconds later you still have the same one Bitcoin But you can realize a capital loss of $38,000 for tax purposes
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Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก
Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก@Runanodeยท
@mog_russEN If this was in a western country people would be talking about the fall of the west or some bullshit
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RussiaNews ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
RussiaNews ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ@mog_russENยท
๐Ÿšจโšก๏ธ A tourist was live streaming in Thailand when a transgender woman suddenly approached him under the pretext of a hugโ€ฆ And within seconds, his necklace disappeared from his neck! ๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿคฃ
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Mark
Mark@scotsmancryptoยท
@Runanode @PeterMcCormack Until its not a windy day and then what? We have ample gas and oil fields, we have huge amounts of hydro and solar also but fossil fuels are here to stay and by not maximising our resources we are hurting the average person
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Mark
Mark@scotsmancryptoยท
@Runanode @PeterMcCormack The UK needs to go after gas and oil to increase our energy and I dont see it 3x in 5 years under this governemnt
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DontGetMadGetBitcoin โ˜ข๏ธ
DontGetMadGetBitcoin โ˜ข๏ธ@getbitcoin108ยท
@Runanode @PeterMcCormack Building 1 million acres of solar panels on highly productive farmland in the second worst country for solar power in the entire world, threatening both grid stability and food security is not โ€˜doing the right thingโ€™. Itโ€™s insanely self-destructive.
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Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก
Stovo ๐ŸŠโšก@Runanodeยท
@Object_Zero_ Income distribution is actually already pretty good in the UK, it's wealth distribution where things get a bit bonkers. E.g. half the wealth being held by the top 1%
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Object Zero
Object Zero@Object_Zero_ยท
In the UK the take home minimum wage for working a full time job is: ยฃ20,660 The take home wage at the ยฃ100,000 tax cliff (only 4% of Brits earn above this) is: ยฃ68,600 This is a net income ratio of 3.3:1 Now letโ€™s compare that toโ€ฆ oh I donโ€™t knowโ€ฆ how about 1960โ€™s USSR? According to this 1977 study wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/โ€ฆ The ratio of average earnings between the top 10% of earnings and the bottom 10% of earnings in the Soviet Union was: 8:1 in 1956 5.8:1 in 1959 5:1 in 1968 This is the era of Sputnik and was the height of the Cold War Space Race. So the UK in 2025 is a far FAR flatter income distribution than the Soviet Union at the absolute height of the Cold War. Talk about gaslighting? We live in a communist dystopia that claims to be capitalism, meanwhile China lives in a capitalist utopia that claims to be communism. Open your eyes folks. Next should we look at censorship and state control of information? Should we look at the number of people in prison for wrongthink? Should we look at state seizure of private wealth? Enough already.
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