Topher Spiro

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Topher Spiro

Topher Spiro

@TopherSpiro

Senior Fellow @amprog. Former White House Office of Management and Budget. Opinions my own.

Washington DC 가입일 Ekim 2011
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Stefanie Feldman
Stefanie Feldman@StefFeldman·
@GregTSargent I was not "in the room where it happened" on immigration so I cannot speak with certainty on this point. After talking to others, it seems like concerns regarding backlash from immigration advocates and certain Latino advocacy groups influenced the Biden Admin approach.
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.@GregTSargent·
Question for you, @StefFeldman -- do you agree with Talarico's implication that the Biden administration did not "support border security" because it came to agree that supporting border security is "racist"?
Stefanie Feldman@StefFeldman

Ironically, Greg's argument is DC-centric. If you talk to people in TX, this resonates with them: Dems in DC (including in Biden Admin) made immig policy based on the interests of lobbyists/groups, ignoring the views of the ppl who actually live in border communities.

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Pod Save America
Pod Save America@PodSaveAmerica·
Jon Favreau on AIPAC.
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Marco Foster
Marco Foster@MarcoFoster_·
Jon Ossoff: “Don’t indulge the illusion of powerlessness. They want you to feel powerless. They want you to believe all is lost. They want you to think that as citizens raising your voices doesn’t make a difference because they’ll just do whatever they want and it’s not true”
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Topher Spiro
Topher Spiro@TopherSpiro·
Reassuring if true. The bigger danger is a human using AI to develop a bioweapon. And that capability is not far off.
TBPN@tbpn

.@mcuban says he's not worried about AI doom scenarios related to robotics because AI "doesn't understand the consequences of its recommendations": "Right now, LLMs are basically bimodal: it’s almost all text and pictures, with some video. You can’t model the world with that." "AI, right now, doesn't understand the consequences of its recommendations. It has no idea what happens next. A 2-year-old in a highchair and a sippy cup knows if it pushes the sippy cup off the highchair, mom's coming running, and the kid's going to start laughing at mom. LLMs don't understand [that]." "So we have to evolve to models that can capture the world and physics, and deal with the latency of not having access to video that you can't see — you have to try to model that. And not only does that take up a lot of processing power, but it takes up a lot of bandwidth." "And so the Terminators taking over, I just don’t see how it’s going to happen."

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Larry Levitt
Larry Levitt@larry_levitt·
There were 24 million ACA marketplace enrollees last year, and for most of them, their health care costs are way up due to the expiration of the enhanced premium subsidies. In a close race in a House district, these voters could be a deciding factor.
Sahil Kapur@sahilkapur

New KFF poll on expired ACA subsidies (among 2025 marketplace enrollees) —80% report higher health care costs —51% say "a lot" higher —28% switched plans, 9% went uninsured —78% say Congress was wrong to let funds expire —62% blame Trump or Republicans —14% blame Democrats

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Topher Spiro@TopherSpiro·
The wheels are coming off the bus. I bet your average American is feeling like things have never been so chaotic before.
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(((Harry Enten)))
(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten·
This is the most troublesome sign I've seen for Trump & the GOP. Trump's now a record low 41 pts underwater on the cost of living per Yahoo/YouGov. He's 60 pts underwater on the issue with indies!! Wave adios to the House & maybe Senate cause you can't win with these numbers.
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Ed Conway
Ed Conway@EdConwaySky·
👀 EXCLUSIVE- QATARENERGY CEO TELLS REUTERS: WE MAY HAVE TO DECLARE FORCE MAJEURE ON LONG-TERM CONTRACTS FOR UP TO FIVE YEARS FOR LNG SUPPLIES TO ITALY, BELGIUM, KOREA AND CHINA - From Reuters. This is bad.
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Dr. Catharine Young
Dr. Catharine Young@DrCatharineY·
As the world falls apart, so does the U.S. scientific system: >40% of NIH-funded scientists are canceling research >25% are laying off staff Two-thirds are telling students to leave academia The effects of this will be deep and felt for a very long time.
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