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Study previous bottoms like @Moneytaur_ says. And don't just glance over a couple majors, go as in depth as humanly possible. This is what it will take to win. What are the top 100 alts doing before, during and after a macro bottom? What type of shorts and longs work, etc.

Update

Might take depending on how majors look at the time

Before elaborating on it, i'd just say this: people will always have money available at some point, whether every month or every couple of weeks, which means they can always keep gambling. There are people with gambling addiction who have been going to casinos almost daily for years. Crypto is simply a casino disguised as investing, airdrops are the "comps" to keep people playing, which allows many to hide behind the "investor" label while continuing to feed the exact same addiction. It's not really about how many times the herd will fall for it. It's about how long whales can keep the machine effective enough to extract from them. Not how many mistakes retail can make, but how long the system remains efficient at monetizing those mistakes. As long as enough people still believe, still hope, still think the next cycle will "make it all back" the game can continue. But once enough people learn the hard way, once enough capital is destroyed, once enough trust is gone, the efficiency of the trap declines. There'll be the people who got wrecked for life, and there will be the people who never played the game but is aware of the majority getting wrecked over several years playing the game, thus scared. And that's when the real strategic question appears: Do whales keep milking the same game with lower efficiency, or do they gradually shift attention to the next shiny object, the next narrative, the next scam large enough to absorb mass hope? Bitcoin gives them a unique advantage in this regard. With the "last coin mined" roughly a century from now the dream can technically be kept alive for decades. That long timeline is not just a feature. It's also the perfect psychological weapon. It allows people to project wealth far into the future, to build life plans around eventual riches to remain emotionally invested for years, sometimes for life. And that's where the trap becomes deeper than price, because now they’re not just holding bags. They're holding identity, belief, future expectations, and the hope that one day all the pain will be justified. If you think like a whale, why would you rush to end that? Why would you kill a system that can keep people voluntarily attached to the dream for decades? A dream that keeps them buying, holding, waiting, and explaining away every rug as "part of the cycle" That's the brilliance of it, not the tech. Not that people lose once, but that they can be conditioned to lose repeatedly while believing they're still on the path to winning. So the real danger isn't that people get rugged once. It's that they spend the rest of their lives planning around a future that never arrives. What can you use to understand whether crypto cycles will keep playing out? 1] In my opinion, everything changes dramatically once whales turn openly pro-Bitcoin. I said that many times before, and then they did. That matters because by the time whales are publicly bullish, the game is no longer early accumulation, but positioning, narrative control, and distribution into belief. 2] You need to find ways to measure whether there is still enough belief, hope, and deployable capital in the system. Not just money, but money willing to sit through volatility for the promise of insane gains. You also need to ask whether whales are even interested in playing a game where the herd is already poor. If the crowd is too drained, too traumatized, and too broke, the upside of running the same cycle becomes weaker. Sometimes whales "give away" money first. Incentives, rewards, grants, random pumps, sudden strength across the board. People read that as opportunity, but often it is preparation. They create conditions that make people feel early again, confident again, hopeful again. Then the herd chases, leverage returns, greed comes back, and the rug becomes much more effective. In that sense, the money they "gave" was never kindness. It was bait, or more precisely, a temporary redistribution designed to be reabsorbed later at scale. It is also important to understand how much whales may have extracted over certain periods, because that tells you how financially comfortable they are, how aggressively they can build in the real world, and how patient they can afford to be before needing another major harvest. They may be extracting constantly through normal market behavior, but that is different from the large extraction events, the real resets, the violent crashes, the moments presented as random when in reality they function as massive wealth transfers. So the question is not just whether crypto cycles still exist. The real question is whether the ingredients for an effective cycle are still there: enough belief, enough fresh or recycled capital, enough patience from whales, and enough despair in the herd to make them chase the next breadcrumb as if it were salvation.

@Cryptomuslim09 no scenario where we nuke lower from here?

Selamun alejkum, brothers. The situation has become a bit more complex as the stock market is experiencing a sharp decline. In this post, I’ll walk you through our trade plan based on the $TOTAL chart. We will be closely monitoring three key scenarios in the crypto market. I hope you’re all doing well and staying patient during these times. Stay strong, everything will be alright, inshaAllah. $BTC $ETH $TOTAL

@_MaxO22_ why would they make the game even harder for themselves by aligning price and time 🤣

Exhibit A: x.com/hamptonism/sta…

How can you expect to thrive in one of the most predatory environments out there if you can’t even control what you put into your body or how you spend your time? The markets are every exploitative business model you can imagine, on steroids. They will eat you alive and spit you right back out if you can’t control yourself. The industrial food industry is no different and, looking around, people are getting chewed up by every industry there is. Food, sport, porn, clothing, pharma, it doesn’t matter. They all run similar agendas to get to people’s money. The trading industry is simply the most dangerous one, with the fastest and most impactful short-term consequences. Retail access to trading isn’t even that old, yet it has already become one of the biggest money-draining exploits out there, destroying people’s lives by selling dreams and completely detached expectations. Over the next few years, more and more video game-like forms of trading will emerge, disconnecting people from the reality of money while feeding their dopaminergic addictions. RetailyCrush™ has only just begun. If you can’t even handle the slower, easier industries and stay in control in the face of their manipulations, how can you expect to handle the markets?

@_MaxO22_ amazing

Sharing #1 Place of channels with YesTheory. youtu.be/0iT9HbaRwfM?si…

@OverlordEins @Moneytaur_ what TF is the last pic

Quantum computing

After viewing multiple Bearish HOB's from 2025, i have found that the best structural HTF HOBs work majority of the time while majors are ranging/bearish MS. To be strong structurally, refer to the images. If your alt bags start pumping, these can be nice hedge plays.

@_MaxO22_ But what if sharing the truth causes division

I talk to people from around the world. In the last three weeks alone I talked people from 19 different countries, and they are all saying the same things: • The cost of living is getting too high • Governments are thugs • Banks are a scam • Taxes are too high • The future doesn’t look very bright I see it when talking to friends and family back home, when I get to know locals in the countries I travel to, or by working with clients from all over the globe. Yes, in some countries it’s worse than in others, and the funny thing is that it often seems worst in the countries that are considered the “safest.” The majority sees what’s going on, but almost nobody is taking action against it. We are the many, they are the few, and yet most people let themselves get played, scared of consequences or bound by their own comfort and addictions. It has come to a point where the ones in power are not even hiding their shameless scams anymore. They do it publicly and nobody seems to care. People just nod when you tell them it’s all a scam, everyone accepting their fate as if there were no other way. But there is. There are many ways, actually, but they are the scarier and harder ones. It’s always harder to go against the stream or find your own way instead of following a paved path with clear signs. The question remains what happens when decadence reaches its peak, with everyday people not caring and the powerful not giving a damn anymore about hiding their actions or maintaining even a tiny spark of fairness. Looking at history, it’s usually the end of a society which then gets replaced by something new. These transitions can take decades or even centuries, though, but the signs are there. We are reaching, or may have already reached, peak decadence, and what usually follows is chaos, suffering for the many, and eventually something new. Often better, but not always. Then the cycle resets. If history repeats itself, a big reset will strike most areas of this world, shifting the order and making room for something new. It might be something huge this time around, or just an ordinary economic collapse like the ones we have seen repeatedly over the past 400 years. The biggest difference nowadays is that the tools and systems have changed from very local and concentrated to global and widely interconnected. If one domino falls, it will not just affect a single country or a small group of countries, the majority of the world will feel it. Everything is connected nowadays. The powerful know this as well. That is why their focus is on emerging technologies, because the ones who win that race will win the race for power after the next major reset. These people are the architects of the systems running the world. They play the game on a decades-long timeframe, and the things that happen to you and everyone else are often part of a carefully laid-out plan. Some things still remain within the realm of probabilities even for them, as they are not all dancing around the fire singing kumbaya. They are often in direct rivalry for power, and you can see the cracks in the system because of that. Otherwise it would look clean and perfect. Make use of that. It doesn’t matter whether it’s going to be a local, controlled reset or something deeper and more systemic. The decades ahead are going to be wild. The amount of scams is reaching unsustainable levels, too many people are waking up, and those in power will have to react, otherwise they risk losing their positions. They will increase fear and division so that, in the end, people hate and fight each other instead of them. You can already see the first steps playing out: • Locals against foreigners • The vaccinated against the unvaccinated • “Be happy that your country is not being bombed” • Speak out loud and you risk getting punished • Stay in your cage, it’s safest here • You need to be rich to be free These are core principles behind many agendas being pushed. You can find them reflected in global events that are brought to the big stage. Read between the lines in modern movies, series, news, and even influencers who are pushed by algorithms. People are waking up right now. What’s missing for most is taking action. If people don’t start taking action, they will be put back to sleep again through paralysing fear and hate. Stop spreading fear to sound smart or to get attention. Share solutions and break free from the loop that has been created. If there is anything you should really focus on in the years to come, it’s this: • Being brave • Building connections • Fighting for the things you love • Standing up for what’s right & sharing the truth • Creating time and location freedom for you and your loved ones • Never forget who the real enemies are, no matter how intense the propaganda gets. • Living your life

@CryptoChase02 What exactly invalidates a spot bag

MY SPOT BAG SELECTION 📈 Keep in mind, take profit levels can change if majors fail to show strength to the upside. Trail with a SL when it makes sense to do so. If your selected coin has already broken its HTF structure [PSH's], you have a good chance of profiting and should look to hold onto it and ride it into the premium zone. For example, NEAR and AERO look good, but DOGE and SUI, I need to keep a closer eye on for invalidation. $SUI $NEAR $DOGE $AERO

@Moneytaur_ if we align with BTC 45k

W 🐸 Y/N?

@_MaxO22_ 2026* not 2025. just incase u want to keep this post for educational purposes later ;)

Retail is comparing charts to 2022. Let's have a look at whether this actually makes sense based on the data. The whole PA ever since we started crashing down from 126k is very similar to the 2022 bear market PA. Yet it is very obvious and widely discussed, which already removes some confluence for that idea. Note how those bullish channels on the way down give people the impression of strong PA. The similarities are remarkable though, so I had a short look this morning to see if it makes sense to expect a continuation of this. Back in the 2022 bear market, price hovered around 30k, losing it first and reclaiming it shortly after. The whole down move was triggered by the LUNA collapse and real-world fears such as North Korean missile tests and rising inflation. We ranged for about a month around 30k, swept the highs with a daily close above, and then continued into another 50% drop from there. The SPX was already down about 20% from its ATH at that point. Looking at historic PA, the SPX doesn't need to correct like 2022 or 2025 all the time. IYKYK Today’s PA is quite similar, hovering around 70k and trapping people on both sides. Yet there are major differences in the news landscape. Crypto news remains bullish, with Trump signing another crypto bill and retail in disbelief about why their portfolios are down 85%. There is no fundamental reason for this drop in the crypto world, and the biggest catalyst that could justify such a move only appeared recently and even caused a short-term 20% pump. Fundamentalists once again got rekt. We are now retesting the flipped support level from April 24 from below and are sitting at the local range high. It is never wise to be overly bullish at local range highs on HTF resistance. Today executive action for the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is announced. If you wanted to get into longs or buy spot, the opportunity was there for weeks, and I made several videos about it. 7th February 2025: youtu.be/3JHt76vfWg4 1th March 2025: youtu.be/Zhje0TNVu6c 3th March 2025: youtu.be/0mTxOjMOGZI I shared my whole execution and my thoughts on how to handle such a scenario, before, during, and after, with proof of execution, which has become quite rare nowadays. Now the question remains whether we will see a bigger exit pump or if this is already enough to pull the last remaining dollars out of retail’s pockets. At local range highs, I’m bearish locally and may even look for a scalp short if the opportunity arises. Price rarely moves in a straight line. That said, I’m still swing long, but also swing short from the top. The next days will most likely give us a direction. The biggest difference remains that crypto participants are still being fed bullish news, yet this is not reliable intel anymore anyway. TradFi majors have not really corrected yet, interest rates are not being hiked due to inflation and bearish news for have arrived much later. Orderflow is not giving clear signals right now. On HTF it still delivers rather bullish readings, but as you should know if you have followed me for a while, with HTF structure now bearish, this does not mean as much anymore. We can continue lower on negative funding for quite some time. Expect the unexpected. Crypto is the most predatory market out there. It is still the Wild West, but the cowboys in white will soon come and change that once and for all.

hmmmmm

@Regina769338363 @Woody1158757358 @TorayKortan @tacahlah7 Follow @Moneytaur_ if you want to actually learn how to win and not just trade off intuition

@Woody1158757358 @TorayKortan @tacahlah7 I didn’t lose any money. I’m just saying, this guy is an influencer who sells courses to teach others. No doubt, those who paid him money would have followed his advice, who now have probably lost money

Is this bullrun still in the room with us? @TorayKortan

@TorayKortan Your theory is good and how you explain the manipulation of the market, but how are you actually helping your student become sustainable to where they don’t need your services to become profitable. Your market chart reviews are just your intuition. How does that help anyone?

@TorayKortan Ngl u charge way too much for what you offer, there are plenty of other profitable traders that provide better strategies for a fraction of the cost. I think people buy in because of how well packaged your content and marketing is. But tbh you just explain your intuition.

@TorayKortan You teach basics and your alt Strat is to buy low and dca lower. Why would anyone may 200 euros min for that advice? Not even hating just honestly don’t understand how people pay for that

@whalewatcher002 @lava_xbt Probably when u give up on hope

@lava_xbt Lava when do you think the market’s is going to really start moving? As almost all major charts have hit their key levels

$USDT.D / $USDT.D Monthly SFP confirmed and ⚡️ rejection from supply