MaxO

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MaxO

MaxO

@_MaxO22_

Sovereignty. Clarity Within Probabilities. Think. Don’t Copy.

FlowState Katılım Aralık 2023
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
When people ask me why taking stop losses or being wrong doesn’t bother me, there’s a simple answer: My nervous system isn’t hypersensitive to things that aren’t dangerous but here to protect me. A stop loss is a safety feature, like a seatbelt in a car. You wouldn’t be scared of that, would you? In a car crash, it might restrain you forcefully for a moment, but that doesn’t make you fear the seatbelt itself. The real fear is the crash and the potential injury or death. That’s a valid, reasonable fear and the seatbelt is one of the features that helps you survive it. With your stop losses, it’s the same. They protect you from crashing your account when you’re wrong. It’s your seatbelt, one you should put on for every single trade. No invalidation, no trade. For years, I’ve exposed myself to real danger: Navigating remote terrain, climbing, motorcycling, skiing, cold exposure, trading and leaving the security of the system behind. Not because I have a death wish, but because I’m not afraid of life. I embrace it fully, trust my abilities, and trust life itself. People would rather spend hundreds of hours watching heroes in movies live life to the fullest than doing it themselves. Imagine, it’s possible to go out there and do it all yourself. It’s in these moments that flow hits the hardest, when the mind is in its natural environment, solving real, consequential problems instead of artificial, often self-created ones. Think about it, life has never been easier, yet we see record levels of depression and addiction. The brain seeks neurochemicals that are best released when the body is involved in something difficult. Movement and survival in uncertain environments were the predominant skills our ancestors mastered. The ability to adapt to everything was one of humanity’s greatest physical strengths. Nowadays, people need standardised stairs to avoid falling and climate-controlled rooms at all times to avoid getting sick. What once made us strong is now largely absent for the majority. From this detachment from our strengths, a crippling fear emerges, one that holds people back from fully living their lives and pursuing the things they dream about. It’s highly efficient, hypersensitive survival mechanisms that have run out of real problems to solve, and are now running wild against everything. I’m probably one of the best risk managers you’ll encounter. I haven’t blown a single account in trading. I recognise danger when I see it. I picture everything that could go wrong, which puts me in a position to prepare for it. The key difference is that I can consciously decide whether something is a real threat or just irrational oversensitivity and still act in the face of fear. Out there, where a mistake can mean injury or death, you quickly learn to distinguish real from false signals. Real, reasonable fear is there to protect you, not to harm you. I’m often scared shitless, imagining everything that could go wrong. The physical sensation of fear is powerful, and the mind needs to be even stronger to overcome it. But this sensation is also the gateway to being alert, awake, and fully focused. Use it instead of running from it or pushing it aside. For everything consequential I do, I’ve studied for years, increased exposure gradually, learned from mentors ahead of me, and prepared for what could go wrong. The real danger usually comes from what you can’t see or prepare for. If you can’t see it or even imagine it, it will catch you. That’s why people get wrecked in trading so quickly, they can’t see or feel the danger. When the body isn’t involved, you don’t experience risk in a way that naturally makes you cautious. Everyone understands that falling off a cliff is dangerous, it’s simple and instinctive. But risking your life savings through poor trading decisions is far more complex. It’s an abstract risk that can only be understood mentally and has to be learned. The gap between what people fear and what is actually dangerous is at all-time highs. Life has never been this easy and safe, yet people have never been this scared. Life begins when you start taking risks and stepping out of your comfort zone. For everyone, that looks different. I’m not saying you should go climb big mountains. If you’re scared of rejection, start by talking to people. If you’re afraid of heights, go somewhere high. If you’re afraid of the ocean, take a swim. If you’re afraid of being wrong or losing money, take hundreds or even thousands of stop-losses with micro size. Only those who are scared can be brave. Training the mind to respond to danger in a rational and precise way is what changes trading and life forever. Knowing the difference between real and imagined fear is one of the keys to a fulfilled, self-determined life. We all have to die, you can’t change that fact. But it’s within your control to experience life fully before it happens. In trading, once you start implementing risk management properly, you can’t really lose in a way that truly harms you. When you experience real fear and danger from time to time, trading becomes nothing more than a video game, one you can restart as often as needed and use to build the life of your dreams.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
Time for sale. Life has become easy. The daily grind of just staying alive is minimal now, and all we do is grind for money and trade it for essentials and, at best, time. When I started trading money for time, my life changed forever. I was far from having everything sorted out. I made some good choices early on, which put me in a comfortable position. I built useful, real-world skills and got paid well for them. I started switching jobs whenever I wanted to try something new, and eventually I quit everything, including my business, and began spending my money to buy more time. Having this time was truly life-changing. Not because I could lie on a beach all day drinking margaritas, but because I suddenly had 16 hours a day to do whatever I wanted. I increased my workout time. I leveled up my skiing. I read dozens of books. I spent hours each day building my trading skills. I had time to cook healthy meals every single day. I even learned proper spoken English, which was terrible when I first started traveling. With daily writing, speaking, and listening in the financial world, it was just a matter of time until I became good at it. Now it is the foundation of one of my income streams. All of those things are now the core of what I do on a daily basis, either making me money or simply being a source of joy in life. Without selling money and security for time, it would have taken me years longer, as it is all about quality hours spent. More time, more quality hours spent. Simple equation. I had a good foundation, but it would have only lasted two years of freedom. Now it has been 4.5 already, and I am not planning to stop here. With my skills within the system, I could have gone back at any time. Good people are needed everywhere, and if you know your worth, you will always find another opportunity. So the backup plan was always there, but never the main goal. The main goal was to build a self-determined life, not working for someone else’s ideas, but for mine and my loved ones. I just jumped into the cold water and had the discipline to use that time properly instead of wasting it. If you trust yourself and life, everything will fall into place, even though it does not always feel like that.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
@Yogi81dutch Some decisions lead to long lasting changes in life, so they should be taken with care. With the animal park i run at home now, i'm also not as free as i was earlier in life, but it was a conscious choice so no regrets. Life is about trade offs, you cant have it all at once.
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JC
JC@Yogi81dutch·
@_MaxO22_ Kids, nothing else
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
Yesterday I picked up a young hitchhiker traveling the world on a low budget. He’s been on the road for eight months, often spending no more than $400 per month, and has already seen over 20 countries. Who is really holding you back?
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Czechie
Czechie@Czechie9·
@_MaxO22_ my goat. Cool, calm and collected as always.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
He came, he saw, he executed. While the herd is still hoping for fast gains, round-tripping every altseason and neglecting the real markets, I'm sitting in solid profits with live execution prove across the board, as usual. Major US stock market top predicted for the second time, even with weekly video updates. Short on the NDX and four single tech stocks. Will it unfold into a real bear market? Time will tell, and right now we’ve reached the first real test. I am ready. Are you?
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MaxO@_MaxO22_

NDX/US100

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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
20% on average in crypto since the outbreak. All random, of course...
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
Ignore the noise and focus on the charts for your trading. I wish and pray for all innocent people that this will be over soon. youtu.be/Zhje0TNVu6c
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
@LowLevelGains True, but there are many ways to operate outside of it. Security versus freedom is a trade-off people often aren’t willing to make tho.
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Low Level Gains
Low Level Gains@LowLevelGains·
@_MaxO22_ the system is set in order its almost imposible to function out of it and everything is set to gather data about all of your steps, almost impossible to avoid but what people often dont get right - its not the state who is in control
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
Criminalizing ordinary citizens does more than generate income for the system and its goons. It is also an effective way to expand power over individuals. By restricting essentials or things that maintain constant demand regardless of legality, an easy path is created to punish or get rid of those who do not conform. Another advantage of such laws is that they reveal who complies unquestioningly and who thinks independently. Subordinates have nothing to fear as long as they comply. People who live on their own terms will inevitably violate certain rules, especially when some of those rules lack clear logic or necessity. Whether in business or private life, many laws serve not protection but revenue generation and control, and they are increasing.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
Ah wait, i forgot, this post should reach as many people as possible: Buy Scamcoin XY and get rich immediately.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
This chart alone, if understood, is telling you everything you need to know and whats most likely going to happen. Add some macroeconomic understanding and a look into single market majors, and you’ve already got the magic sauce. Hints and all that whale puzzling crap everyone is focused on lately will lead you nowhere. It can help if you’re able to collect it all bias-free, but it’s secondary. Do you want to be a trader or a puzzler? Learn real TA, follow the liquidity flow across different markets, and don’t overcomplicate it.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
Right on track this month. 😙 Aiming for the stars and reaching the stars: Best feeling in the world.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
Core-Satellite The core-satellite strategy means building a core of major established assets, with smaller satellites around it to boost performance or hedge risk. I could talk about unrealistic returns and fuel the easy-money dream, but this is about the cold, hard truth. Realistic Goals: Without realistic goals, you’re like a ship without a destination. Saying “I want to make X$ per day, Y$ per week, or Z$ per month” is not a real plan. You need to think in percentages, not absolute dollar amounts. If you want to make $10K/month with a $10K account, that’s a 100% monthly return. With proper risk management, that’s nearly impossible to sustain and chasing that kind of goal just means you’ll be running after the fantasy dragon forever. But $10K/month with a $100K account is more realistic. That’s a 10% monthly return, still very ambitious (120% yearly) and something only the very best traders can achieve consistently. Personally, I aim for those 10% per month on my trading accounts. I aim for the stars to land on the moon. The key: It doesn’t stress me or push me into bad trades, but fires the desire to outperform. On average, I hit around 5% per month some months negative, others as high as 12%. At 5% monthly, that would compound to about 60% annually if i can keep it up. And if I don’t hit it? That’s fine too. My investment accounts (65% of my portfolio) are already outperforming the SPX and Gold since April and YTD. What’s the point of putting in all the extra work if I couldn’t even outperform those? Why Dreaming Doesn’t Work in the Market: These aren’t dream-selling numbers. They’re realistic goals. And yet most traders won’t even get there, because they’re too busy chasing the dragon. Look at the SPX: - +12% YTD without any timing, not spectacular. - Round +80% from the 2022 low - From the low, though, it’s up ~35%, all with far less risk than altcoins or single stocks. Just note that not every year looks like this. This move is very aggressive and won't last forever. BTC: - +21% YTD - Round 600% form the 2022 low - +50% from the April low. 50% in 5 months is insane. Show me a trader who consistently pull off 10% monthly with size and prove. Not many out there. The Point: If your goal is to have as much freedom as possible, build a big-picture strategy that takes advantage of the major swings while adding or removing risk with your trading. For me, the best approach is a core-satellite strategy: Core: Established assets like Gold, SPX, NDX, or BTC, the safe anchors that increase your buying power in the long run. Satellites: A smaller portion of your portfolio for trading, stock picking, or hedging. This way i maximise efficiency and limit risk. Most stock pickers, altcoiners, and traders don’t even outperform the majors, while taking far more risk and burning far more time. The market makers know the urge to always do something is strong, and they profit from it. Most think: More work equals a better outcome. Betty Crocker sends her greetings. The Traits You Need The most important traits for this kind of strategy are patience, timing, and discipline. Without patience, you won’t wait for the big moves, sometimes years. Without timing, you won’t create meaningful returns. Without discipline, you won’t buy when the chance comes, nor rebuild cash when it’s time to step aside. You don’t need perfection. You need to build assets at major pivot lows and cash at major pivot highs. Repeat this process, and your returns will likely outshine those spending 10x of your effort. Buy assets = Reduce cash Sell assets = Increase cash Always think in percentages, not absolutes. At major pivot points, your goal is to shift exposure as much as possible, building cash into highs, building assets into lows. And I’m talking about established assets, majors like SPX, Gold, BTC. Altcoins or single stocks behave differently. They chop in violent ranges for months, trapping capital without producing real returns, while investors keep praying for targets that might never come. Nobody knows, so don’t get stuck in hoping for “one last leg” or BCS targets. For altcoins and single lower cap stocks you need real trading skills. Build layered positions that get validated or invalidated along the way, all while already booking profits in the process. The Bigger Picture A good trader might achieve 10% monthly consistently (some maybe more, haven’t seen prove for that tho), but usually with enormous time effort. And if you trade with only your own money, that part of your portfolio is probably too small to outperform your investment accounts in absolute numbers. Propfirms can help here, but they have their own steppingstones. The average altcoiner still hasn’t booked real profits, still waiting for BCS targets, riding every swing like a rollercoaster. That’s not bad luck, it’s by design. Majors made people richer. Most alts only made their holders poorer. Meanwhile, the average DCA investor makes ~10% annually without timing. Not impressive, but it’s real money compared to most “dragon chasers.” Enough to keep up with inflation and still add a little extra. Now add just a little timing, and the results change completely. Imagine you caught BTC in the recent drop in April almost perfectly with a $100K account and are up 50%. That’s $50K profit. For a small account this might not feel like much, but statistically, it’s already outperformance over all other majors and most other players. And once you let compounding do its work, you can still make it, as long as you have enough patience. Final Thought: The ones who chase unrealistic, non-mathematical dreams usually pay the price in losses and in stress. Trading is a powerful tool: It can boost performance, teach you about yourself, and speed up your understanding of the game a lot. Trading can also be a source of joy and if that’s the case, why not pursue it as often as you can? Personally, I don’t enjoy sitting in front of the computer all day that’s why I focus on refining macro strategies like this one. One the provides me real freedom of time, instead of making me a slave to the tape.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
Different Markets, Different Intentions Trading across markets can be powerful and diversify your edge, but only if you understand the intentions of those who truly control the asset of your choice. There’s a reason why indices move completely differently than single stocks. There’s a reason why Forex behaves differently than crypto. Each market has its own framework, its own participants, and its own way of being controlled. Indices Indices are the investment vehicle of choice for the majority. In the U.S, pension savers pour money into indices for decades, creating a constant HTF bid. These investors are often fundamentalists, they don’t care much about charts. For them, price reflects “fundamentals,” and narratives are created at the right time to push them into buying or selling. That’s why they abandon long-term plans at the worst possible moments. Overall, indices are efficient markets, but they target the average investor more than active traders. I watch them mainly for investment purposes and to get an overall view of the system. The SPX is basically my Total1 for stocks and the whole risk-on market. Commodities Gold has a community similar to indices. Narratives around “risk-off” flows dominate, but PA tells a more complex story. Gold often tops or bottoms earlier (or later) than equities, and can outperform after big risk-off moments before stocks catch up. A more detailed analysis to this is in the pipe already. Gold is often less efficient than indices, more trending in nature, and that’s why I like it. Other commodities with heavy real-world use cases move for exactly those reasons: Real supply, demand, and necessity. Forex Forex is the global currency battlefield. It’s controlled by banks, nations, and the richest players alive. Most of the time it ranges and moves slowly. But when a currency starts a real HTF trend, it can last decades. Nobody “invests” in GBP hoping for a surge to 300k. Retail isn’t interested from a investment perspective, there’s little upside for small portfolios. The market mainly targets retail traders, nations, and high net-worth individuals. Forex is extremely efficient. Many beginners get funnelled into it through prop firms or YouTube. The reality? For most it demands a high trade frequency, takes time, and often leaves you with nothing more than TP1s and retests. Personally, I almost only touch it on spot: Holding the right currencies at the right time to preserve buying power globally. Crypto Crypto is the most speculative, volatile, and inefficient market today. Yes, it moves more %-wise, but RR is what really matters. Still, crypto trends can’t be ignored, buying majors at HTF discount and selling at HTF premium has been the “easy money glitch” of our era. The market is unregulated, predatory, and full of the least educated participants. That makes it dangerous for most, but also very exploitable. On HTF, it feels fully programmed. For swing traders, crypto’s volatility is heaven and even smaller portfolios can create significant gains. But chasing those "few" X plays is the main trap of this market. My 20x on PEPE, 10x on ANDY this cycle still didn’t outperform the BTC I bought through 2022. Why? Because BTC can be played with size and its about RR. For me, swing trading majors with timing is the best time-to-money ratio. Stocks Single Stocks are the regulated version of crypto. High-risk, but safer in structure. You can outperform indices, but most don’t. If your YTD performance is worse than SPX, it’s smarter to allocate more into indices and only stock-pick as a core-satellite strategy. A stock portfolio gives you more control over your portfolio compared to indices, but is also a lot more difficult. Some stocks even pay dividends and represent real products and services, unlike crypto. But not every company delivers. Many are just fundraising on steroids, burning cash without ever becoming profitable, just like in crypto. At the end of the day, markets often don’t price real value, they price narratives and expectations. Trading stocks is my favourite form of trading outside crypto, especially mid to low volume names with inefficiencies. They respect supply and demand beautifully, trend cleanly, and pay for months if you’re right on HTF. Minimum effort, maximum results. Unlike crypto, they aren’t all just beta plays. Each stock has its own narrative and behaviour, sometimes even moving acyclically. And the kicker: If my brokers fail, I get refunded up to 100k on all of them. In crypto, you just get one last TXID and an empty wallet. Conclusion Every market has different players, and different intentions to extract money from others. There’s no “best” market, only the one you perform best in, and the one that fits your goals. For me, that’s trending markets where swing trades pay over weeks or months with minimal attention. That’s where I get the best time-to-money ratio. What about you? What’s your favourite market and why do you perform best there?
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
Just saying thank you to life and everything that comes along with it is already 70% of the happiness it has to offer.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
If you work hard, don’t forget to enjoy yourself along the way.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
If you come to a fork in the road, take it. Overcomplicating and overthinking are among the main issues of modern humans. If you’re reading this, there’s a high chance you rarely face truly life-threatening, high-consequence decisions. Life is running on easy mode, so make a decision based on the data you have and accept the outcome. In most cases, you won’t have certainty once you start going your own way instead of following the paved paths the system provides. So when you reach a fork in the road, take it, or you might starve at the crossroads, never finding out where your path would have led you.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
@tviburinn If you use any technology from this century, then privacy is a fantasy, at least in the areas that truly matter.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
@Suessiboy95 Some plays require more patience than others. Nothing changed on HTF
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Mining.IRL
Mining.IRL@Suessiboy95·
@_MaxO22_ Hey, my current bias: still bullish for the future.
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MaxO
MaxO@_MaxO22_·
NEL - Hydrogen Energy Narrative’s not dead, just reloading. A nice area for accumulation. Clear invalidation as well. A potential bounce into supply is enough to deliver meaningful gains. Just don’t get caught up in the hype when it’s time to sell, focus on real developments and secure real gains, as always.
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