TwoSecondsB4❌

$BTC longs We're up and running ✅Set my limits at 71.5k Alright, nice push up so far off the entry on the longs we took today. Market now backing up my claim of wanting to see shorts squeezed as they were just too crowded into the sub 69k lows and our area of confluence. Already seeing them exit now slowly but surely. As per plan, I'm slowly looking to TP these longs in alignment. So I've set my limits to take off more than half (60%) of the position at 71.5k. Notice that point is further than my typical first trim. That's simply because I'm looking to TP the trade aggressively, locking in the win after 1 target. So partialing before isn't really worth it. So that is indeed taking on a bit more initial risk. But position size on this one is smaller than usual, so it's all aligned. If you don't have that type of risk appetite, there's nothing stopping you to trim earlier of course. In the end, I'm not telling you what to do. I'm just sharing whenever I get and get out for your entertainment and education, showing you what it's like to go from analysis, to trade idea, to actually taking trades, making money in the process.

$BTC 73.7k, That's range high, shorted here. Alright! We finally approached 73k, and are about to make an attempt to close above. This is the moment we aimed for happening eventually, a clean close above so we can run our two runner longs to very high prices, potentially enter a breakout long, and reel in a big payout, based on our overall bullish bias of this range breaking upwards, yes, against everyone's belief. Most people are stuck in the bear market mentality of wanting sub 50k. But before we start celebrating our glory, let's not get ahead of ourselves. Order flow is bearish, and we are at range high. We also reached above the latest high. This was the only situation I would short per last post. Yes, we're bullish. But no, we have not broken out yet. And since we're at range high (and reached above our latest high), it's naturally a good short. Nothing big, but just to have some conviction. I will be TP'ing this short quite aggressively, because I am overall bullish. Enjoy.

$BTC Why we won't go below 50k I will keep saying it, $BTC is not going below 50k. If you want to keep making money, you instead trade the range, take more longs than shorts (we took 4 longs, 2 shorts so far), and you attain a bullish bias. I gave you the production cost as a reason for a bottom, gave you the buy model, gave you the purple zone and the high timeframe silver pocket, as well as more confluences, to call the bottom on the very day it happened (Feb 6th), and now we simply use that bias to ride out longs up. Will I short 73k? It's still my plan, but not in a perma bear "I expect 50k" way. I need serious confirmation, because it's possible a lot of people try to short this, and then that is fuel for higher. So I will just look for a short through a critical lens. So natural focus is to stay bullish and use the short which acts as a hedge, to not be arrogant, and to not think the market always does exactly what I predict. It does that around 90% of the time, yes, that is one of the highest on all of X (in my personal life, I know two more accurate predictors), but regardless, it's not 100%. Either way, the bottom call is working out so far, we are seeing that move where I expect many to fade it. Let's see if that is actually such a good idea, "blindly shorting" this move up.

$BTC shorts 70.3k reached ✅. That's key target. We just hit six wins in a row! 💰 Alright, the plan is ancient, but the move down is young. We shorted 73.4k and now rolled down $3100 down the slide so far, bringing price right to our key level of 70k and pushing the trade to 2.4 RR. You know the drill, I said, sub 50k is not coming, but it doesn't mean good shorts can't emerge. They can, exactly like this one. With an entry above 73k, our key level of 70k is perfect for a first TP, locking in the sixth win in a row, officially. From here, letting the trade run closer to the mid range. That's an ambitious goal and does require a break back inside. So do take partials and lock in the win here, as a reaction back up and a day of time is possible. Thanks for playing everyone. It's been a pleasure.

$BTC Continuing our plan (some reminders) Alright, we just hit our second major TP on our shorts taken from 73.4k. That gives us a sixth win in a row, locking it in with glory since it ran nice and far to date. "What about the next trade Astro? What are we doing next?" It's all still unchanged, but in markets and especially crypto where sentiment changes on a dime, you all heavily enjoy reminders so I'm more than happy to again give the full list of my stance, unchanged since the very day of the bottom (Feb 6th). And yes, it is a short list because my stance is simple, non convoluted, and 0 engagement farming focused, purely money making focused (the goal of why we spend our time watching these charts). ➡️ $BTC bottomed, and will form a range ➡️ To make money, we must trade that very range before the majority catches on to it. ➡️ Then comes future planning (what happens after the range is done?): Because I also believe $BTC bottomed, my focus whilst trading the range, is on upside, more aggressive on longs, holding runners on longs for longer. And less aggressive on shorts These points are in the process of fulfilling nicely so far: ➡️the range is 32 days old now ➡️We have made lots of money so far, as we have been trading it for 32 days. We traded it both long and short, ➡️and we focused more long than short (we took nearly twice as many longs as shorts this range so far). So now that we have twice as many runners on longs as on shorts left, is only natural. (See the short, the trades with a red SL are runners). In lockstep with our bias... indeed, we expect price to run up once this range resolves. So what to do next, Astro? Given we still have from 63.9 and 62.7, there is no rush in entering again here as we have enough exposure. However, if we still take out our 63k level, I am looking to add again, as well as TP'ing the remainder of our final short from 73.4k. In all other cases, if we break 73k, we send it, and get paid bigtime. Do you see how I am not too eager to act all too much in our case anymore, especially now that the range is becoming obvious as others are catching on? That's when overtrading often peaks and we reach into final compression before breakout. So let our bullish bias do the work, and most importantly remain focused on it (ignore the sub 50k callers, in my humble opinion). Focused on making money and planning for it. It's the only way to get a six win streak, and beyond. Welcome to my account.

The key difference between institutional trading versus retail trading A common question. Thanks Jay. Positioning is very personal. It depends on your size and goals. What you and some others in the comments touched on is the difference between how retail traders trade versus how institutional traders trade. I believe in training good practice though so I can give you an answer to your question of how my system is designed to work for any size and any timeframe. My style is unlike how many people on this platform trade and teach you how to trade. Most people use an arbitrary invalidation level, taking them completely out of the market if that is hit, as if that invalidates the entire trade with no reasoning other than a random level just being hit (the retail mindset). Sort of thing market makers love to chase down. It might work for very the retail trade but not the institutional trade. Because once you get bigger, you need something else or you constantly get hunted. So train it now or you will have to learn to trade all over again at some point. Institutional trading works both for small and bigger fish. So the short answer Best way to position IMO is based on your total account size and scale that with your timeframe. Your reward then becomes % move caught ("distance moved" in the market, also called displacement in physics). E.g. if your account is 10k, and your standard swing trade long size is 20k per position, then every % move going in your favor is 2% gained on your account, every move against you, 2% lost. That base position should scale with your account (if your account size grows to 12k, your base position size is now 24k). For different timeframes, you ideally want to use different standard sizes. For higher timeframes, typically lower size (because moves are bigger), lower timeframes, larger sizes (because moves are smaller) e.g. I trade 3 timeframes + Investments m30 (intraday) H6 (swing trades) 2D/3D (positional trades M (for investments) Each timeframe is a multiple of 12 apart by the way and interacts like clockwork (no pun intended but how many hours on your watch make one full circle?). Anyway.. not talking about that now. Point is, lower timeframe, larger size. Still means you can have an invalidation, as I show mine on the screen and hint in my titles. But it turns your invalidation into a dynamic guideline, not a binary, static, set and forget, all or nothing type of level. Benefits This way, you eliminate the need to use an arbitrary SL, firstly. Secondly, you also eliminate the need to constantly use calculators to figure out your position sizing. In reality, you do not have the time, are out somewhere on your phone, or have other things to do in life. With the institutional system, you just need to know your typical sizes (leverages) you use. Thirdly, you eliminate the need to think about a precise hard invalidation level. Most people just skip that part therefore. Which is why most people just put it at "the local low or high". And oh market makers love sweeping those highs and lows before the actual move one more time. So fourthly: you never will be hunted by MMs this way. Ah and finally, you may not realize it, but this way, you also introduced time into your system for the first time. Not putting all your eggs in the SL hit or not basket, but also introducing time, checking price every x candles (which most people do anyway), keeping you involved with the markets too. Set and forget is an illusion and a mere sales tactic probably. Downsides You need to watch the market slightly more actively (ideally every two to four candles of the timeframe you are trading), in case of target or exit. Alerts are the way today, and combining that with setting a hard SL a bit further away as a safety mechanism, solves all problem and keeps the benefits. Where this comes from I studied many large traders to get inspired but also by being hunted myself the first time I started getting significant size. It happened when I migrated my capital to a smaller exchange and they suddenly started caring about my stops since I made up over 5% of the entire liquidity. I am glad I was hunted though, because it opened an entirely new world on how to trade. Ah yes, and this is exactly how investors "trade" too (yes, investors are also traders, they buy, they sell, they trade). They take specific portfolio sizes, they don't make their size depend on a relative distance to their invalidation. Investors are the biggest fish, they win the most, and they do achieve that partly because, whether consciously or not, they trade like institutions. Final words So with this said, I highly recommend using an institutional mindset instead of a retail mindset. And that is not to say retail type of trades are all bad. I still perform them from time to time. They have their uses. Just post is just a recommendation and bringing awareness of what the consequences are of each technique. Enjoy and hope that answer a common question for a while again.

$BTC Shorted here 73.4k, we will see... Alright, we hit 73.4k, we hit our final TP of our fifth win in a row, which is a long. This has also been the level I waited for for a long time to short, our grey box, the zone we talked about for a long time, and our level we talked about for a long time. Remember that I am high timeframe bullish, so no, this is not a max conviction short or one to sub 50k. I do not think we go there, and this will be TP'd earlier. But it is a short regardless, and for more humble targeting, it is worth a short and conviction is high enough. If it doesn't break out, it deviates range high, exactly into our grey re-short POI. This short might end the win streak. But trading isn't all about win streaks. It's about taking the right trades at the right time. We will see if it ends up paying or have to exit at a loss, but I am in. Reminder to keep size light A/ due to not max conviction and B/ bitcoin is cheap (same framework as before).

$BTC Long below the low (62.9k), sell into grey area. Another large denial of the sub 50k callers where price fully reverted back to the upside from Yesterday's news. Peak bear posting happened Yesterday. I explained how the majority is likely wrong and how we don't get sub 50k. And how most of the bear posting Yesterday was to farm followers and engagement. Even if they are right, they are wrong for the fourth time now essentially given the timing of the posting each time. Can't stress enough that we are in a range and when range low is approached, it's most beneficial to look for longs, especially when war news strikes, which typically carves out a bottom (see my note last post). We scored 4 longs so far and I just don't see why being high timeframe bearish is beneficial here, especially at range low. When range high is approached then yes, a bearish frame of mind is more beneficial. And so speaking of trading that range, I'm still looking to long once we take out the 62.9k low. And I'm still looking to short once we reach north of 70k (73k ideally).