Night Train Veeck

"What's your name?" "Field." "Phil?" "Field, like a football field." "Got it. So your parents were hippies?"

🗓️ On this day in... 1898: Cliftonville drew 1-1 with Belfast Celtic in a Charity Cup tie at Grosvenor Park. 1936: Cliftonville beat Larne 3-0 in a City Cup match at Inver Park. 1964: Cliftonville defeated Bangor 3-2 in an Irish League game at Solitude.

🗓️ On this day in... 1898: Cliftonville drew 1-1 with Belfast Celtic in a Charity Cup tie at Grosvenor Park. 1936: Cliftonville beat Larne 3-0 in a City Cup match at Inver Park. 1964: Cliftonville defeated Bangor 3-2 in an Irish League game at Solitude.

Purchasing the San Francisco Giants' 9-9-9 challenge box gets you nine mini dogs, nine glasses (an estimated 3-4 ounces) and a tall can of Coors Light. But the beer is not enough to fill every glass up to the level that anyone would consider a regular pour.

Purchasing the San Francisco Giants' 9-9-9 challenge box gets you nine mini dogs, nine glasses (an estimated 3-4 ounces) and a tall can of Coors Light. But the beer is not enough to fill every glass up to the level that anyone would consider a regular pour.

Gonna play my actuary card here. Let's focus on post-1961 because that's when there's actually been 162 game seasons. There have been 139,864 regular season games in that timespan. During that era, there have been 18 perfect games. The actual probability of a game being a perfect game -- assuming no changes by era, is 0.01287%, about 1 every 7770 games. Now, what corrupts the calculation is that multiple perfect games per season do not benefit the bettor. We need to find the probability of *at least one* perfect game. This is calculated as 1 - (probability of no perfect games). There are 2,430 games in a season and the probability of each one NOT featuring a perfect game is 0.9998713. 1 - (.9998713)^2430 = the probability of a perfect game in a season is 26.86%. Now, the people setting these odds aren't idiots. The current era of baseball with closely monitored workloads, max effort pitching, and deep counts, make it significantly less likely that we'd see a perfect game today than in previous eras, as evidenced by only one season since 2012 having a perfect game. But the 10-1 odds don't smack as ridiculously bad, and your proposal that it would only happen in one out of 100 seasons is way off. That much is clear just from scanning history.

After months of planning, we're excited to announce 'The Polymarket' is coming to New York City. New York's first free grocery store. We signed the lease. And we donated $1 million to Food Bank For NYC — an organization that changes how our city responds to hunger. 🧵