Spencer 리트윗함
Spencer
24 posts

Spencer 리트윗함

@RentYourStocks Great analysis. Hard to believe that they’re not primed to shoot up
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Play stupid games, win stupid prizes $NVO Market Maker edition...
Next week, on the 8th of April, $NVO is paying out its dividend of roughly $1.25 a share, which is equivalent to about 3% of the stock price.
Now studies are rare on payout date and are more common on ex-dividend, but lately I have noticed a pattern on very oversold valuish stocks.
On the way down, they keep getting oversold and more oversold and don't bounce. Meanwhile, they are being accumulated by value investors, dip buyers, and dividend bros.
Eventually, a stock bottoms out and reaches equilibrium and starts turning up. The problem is the value buyer and dividend bros don't sell.
As the stock moves up, dealers have to buy stock as traders jump on the momentum flip. The more stock/options they buy they more dealers have to buy to hedge as the price moves upwards along the option distribution curve.
Now layer this in with Novo's constant share buying of 250K a day, and then the kicker. The dividend. Many investors and especially the dividend bros are set up to reinvest dividends.
On April 8th, dealers need to buy shares for all their clients. Except there are a few sellers. You completely nuked the stock, now they are NOT selling.
Not only that, but given the low stock price, the dividend allows investors to buy many more shares. Dealers need to induce selling, but the only way that happens is with a large move upward.
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Spencer 리트윗함
Spencer 리트윗함

Insane article. Tremendously well written. For the sake of optimism, let’s conditionally assume that this is overly bearish. However, if even half of these assumptions materialize, the glory of the Western world and the corporate class is in dangerous territory. Good luck longs!
Citrini@citrini
JUNE 2028. The S&P is down 38% from its highs. Unemployment just printed 10.2%. Private credit is unraveling. Prime mortgages are cracking. AI didn’t disappoint. It exceeded every expectation. What happened? citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic
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@ZaherTPI @michaeljburry This may be a shot in the dark… 0 economic moat and 208 PE ratio?
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@michaeljburry I mean, in the grand scheme of things, how can you be bullish $GME and bearish $PLTR?
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Spencer 리트윗함

@unusual_whales Goldman says what their clients want to hear. Best believe they’re de-risking as we speak.
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Spencer 리트윗함
Spencer 리트윗함

While this pendant is so OD this does demonstrate the difference between the "diamonds" a lot of rap stars wear and the real deal
NFL@NFL
Jalen Hurts on the win vs. Pittsburgh 😅
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Spencer 리트윗함

No cut!! Same sneakers, same rotation of clothes! Salute to the real trench baby wives!!
𝙴𝚛𝚒𝚐𝚐𝚊@erigganewmoney
Girls that liked us in secondary school are the realest. No car, no iphone, no career. just ironed uniform, football skills and a coconut head
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