Building Early

568 posts

Building Early

Building Early

@buildingearly

22 | 3 years in the market | stocks, ETFs & options 📈 | documenting the journey to retire before 45| not financial advice, just my honest reps| $HOOD Bull

United States 가입일 Nisan 2026
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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
22 years old. Been investing for 3 years — stocks, ETFs, and options. Goal is simple: retire early. Documenting the whole journey here — the wins, the losses, and everything in between. If you're on the same path, follow along 📈 #fintwit #buildingearly #FIRE #investing
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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
Not enough people understand this about $HOOD People see double miss and laugh and call it a bad company In reality, they just proved they are a well diversified fintech platform
Easy@NotSoEasyMoney

I’m even more bullish on $HOOD HOOD -7% on a 47% crypto revenue collapse. The bear take is obvious. Here’s why it’s actually bullish. Crypto revenue fell to $134M, down 47% YoY. Stock got punished. Story over, right? Look at what replaced it… → Event contracts revenue up 320% YoY to $147M, a record 8.8B contracts traded → Equities revenue +46%, options +8% → Total transaction revenue still grew despite crypto getting cut nearly in half The thesis was always that HOOD was a levered bet on crypto cycles. Q1 just proved the opposite. They absorbed a 47% hit to one of their biggest revenue lines and transaction revenue still went up. That’s not a crypto company anymore. That’s a diversified retail platform where prediction markets, options, and equities can carry the quarter when digital assets roll over. The market is pricing this like crypto weakness = HOOD weakness. But the correlation is breaking in real time. Subscription services and prediction markets are stepping into the lead role. Tenev’s still investing in crypto infrastructure for the next cycle, so you get the diversification plus the optionality when crypto comes back. Bear case… cyclical business missed estimates. Bull case… this was the stress test, and the new revenue mix passed it. Ima buyer of the post earnings de-rating.

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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
@NotSoEasyMoney Spot on with this. $HOOD is just proving that it will be an all encompassing financial company
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Building Early 리트윗함
Easy
Easy@NotSoEasyMoney·
I’m even more bullish on $HOOD HOOD -7% on a 47% crypto revenue collapse. The bear take is obvious. Here’s why it’s actually bullish. Crypto revenue fell to $134M, down 47% YoY. Stock got punished. Story over, right? Look at what replaced it… → Event contracts revenue up 320% YoY to $147M, a record 8.8B contracts traded → Equities revenue +46%, options +8% → Total transaction revenue still grew despite crypto getting cut nearly in half The thesis was always that HOOD was a levered bet on crypto cycles. Q1 just proved the opposite. They absorbed a 47% hit to one of their biggest revenue lines and transaction revenue still went up. That’s not a crypto company anymore. That’s a diversified retail platform where prediction markets, options, and equities can carry the quarter when digital assets roll over. The market is pricing this like crypto weakness = HOOD weakness. But the correlation is breaking in real time. Subscription services and prediction markets are stepping into the lead role. Tenev’s still investing in crypto infrastructure for the next cycle, so you get the diversification plus the optionality when crypto comes back. Bear case… cyclical business missed estimates. Bull case… this was the stress test, and the new revenue mix passed it. Ima buyer of the post earnings de-rating.
Easy tweet media
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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
@pepeHODL21 For Me? Yes I believe the apple ecosystem is here to stay Switching costs are so high and AI can only benefit them
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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
I just realized it was Q4 2024, not 2025… The headline decline was mostly due to a one-time item in the prior year: • Q4 2024 net income included a $424 million non-recurring benefit from a tax benefit + regulatory accrual reversal. • Without that one-off boost, the year-ago comparable was roughly $492 million → so the $605 million in Q4 2025 was actually higher on an apples-to-apples basis.
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Carson
Carson@CarsonTalkMoney·
@buildingearly Ahh that makes sense, I didn't realize that What would net income be if you took that out?
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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
@CarsonTalkMoney from what I understand, net income was so high in Q4 2025 because of a one time tax reimbursement, which makes net income in this quarter look much smaller
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Carson
Carson@CarsonTalkMoney·
@buildingearly Yeah for sure! I just didn't like that net income growth... 3% is an inflation adjustment $SOFI will most likely grow 40+% tomorrow
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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
Basic economic theory is failing yet again in this current bull market. Historically, the stock market and the price of oil move in opposite directions. These charts show the opposite, so what is happening and why? The S&P recently hit an ATH and is still ripping up, despite a moderate down day today. At the same time, the price of oil has rocketed up, including a 3% move today. First, why do they historically move in opposite directions? Oil IS the universal input. Manufacturing, transportation, agriculture, airlines, etc. all need oil to function. Price of oil goes up, margins compress. Spikes in oil prices normally precede a recession. Every recession, except the Covid one, saw a spike in oil prices before it. So why are they going up together? Same reason we are at valuations not seen since the dot-com peak. The hype around AI and semis is taking all logic out of the market. Mag 7 names don't care about oil — software margins don't burn fuel — and they're big enough to drag the index up while the rest of the market quietly bleeds. Last, what is the effect of this? Inflation goes higher. The Strait of Hormuz handles 35% of seaborne crude. Until that reopens, oil has a floor. Tying into my earlier post — if Warsh decides to cut rates into THIS setup, it doesn't stimulate growth. It lights the match. $SPY $USO
Building Early tweet mediaBuilding Early tweet media
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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
theres two sides of the "gamified" experience though. Yes it is gamified, yes it is a clean UI, yes it incentivizes trading. It also allows for someone new to investing to learn quick, takes down tons of barriers to entry, and makes the overall process more accessible. Its naive to think that every new user on $HOOD is going to become addicted to options and prediction markets. Its equally as naive to say no new users are going ot use options and prediction markets
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nilloc
nilloc@stonkzguy·
@buildingearly @Budgetdog_ Look, I see both sides of the coin here. But to completely ignore the fact that Robinhood has gamified investing and trading is ridiculous. The original tweet implies that the ‘boring and slow’ UI of other brokerages leads to better investing practices. That’s absolutely true
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Brennan Schlagbaum, CPA
Brennan Schlagbaum, CPA@Budgetdog_·
Robinhood is the devil. Robinhood users trades 9x as much as E-Trade users and 40x as much as Charles Schwab users. The top 20% of most active traders trail the market by 5.5% annually and by 10.3% after risk adjustment. Further, there’s brain imaging research that found money activates the same brain regions as illicit drugs using fMRI scans. That dopamine hit you get from checking your stock picks every day is literally the same neurological pathway as addiction.
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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
Today’s Q1 miss was noisy (crypto drag, as expected), but the real story is the structural transformation happening under the hood. Robinhood is becoming the default financial super app for millennials and Gen Z, the generations about to inherit the largest wealth transfer in history. $307B platform assets (+39% YoY), record $17.7B net deposits in one quarter, and Gold members up 36% to 4.3M. They’re building durable, recurring revenue streams (subscriptions, net interest, new products like event contracts, IRAs, international) while the core trading flywheel keeps spinning. Short-term volatility is the cost of owning a high-growth platform that’s capturing mindshare and wallet share of the next era of investors. The long-term setup, scale, brand, demographics, and product momentum, remains one of the most compelling in fintech. This dip is just noise. The trend is still very much your friend.
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SuperBowl2026
SuperBowl2026@BengalsSB2025·
@pepeHODL21 @PurdyInvestor But I’m sure you’re talking about the fact that they have gone down 9 of their last 13 ER. Great stock to pick there bitch
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stock goat
stock goat@kylewhitegoat·
$HOOD 🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨 Net income Q4 2025 =605 Million Net income Q1 2026 = 346 Million 🚩
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Nate Endicott
Nate Endicott@EndicottInvests·
Give me bearish $HOOD sentiment I want to build a large position
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Building Early
Building Early@buildingearly·
Misses suck, but a lot of hit has to do with the broader crypto market, part of the reason for the major drawdown YTD That said, asset growth net deposit growth are both strong. This is the fuel that $HOOD needs to keep growing
Wall St Engine@wallstengine

$HOOD Q1’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $1.07B (Est. $1.17B) 🔴; +15% YoY 🔹 EPS: $0.38 (Est. $0.41) 🔴; +3% YoY 🔹 Net Deposits: $17.7B; 22% annualized growth rate 🔹 Gold Subscribers: 4.3M; +36% YoY 🔹 Total Platform Assets: $307B; +39% YoY 🔹 Funded Customers: 27.4M; +6% YoY FY Guide: 🔹 Adj. Operating Expenses + SBC: $2.7B-$2.825B 🔹 Prior Adj. Operating Expenses + SBC Guide: $2.6B-$2.725B 🔹 Trump Accounts Investment: Additional $100M Segment Performance: 🔹 Transaction-Based Revenue: $623M; +7% YoY 🔹 Options Revenue: $260M; +8% YoY 🔹 Equities Revenue: $82M; +46% YoY 🔹 Crypto Revenue: $134M; -47% YoY 🔹 Other Transaction Revenue: $147M; +320% YoY 🔹 Net Interest Revenue: $359M; +24% YoY 🔹 Other Revenue: $85M; +57% YoY 🔹 Robinhood Gold Subscription Revenue: $50M; +32% YoY Other Metrics: 🔹 Investment Accounts: 29.1M; +8% YoY 🔹 ARPU: $157; +8% YoY 🔹 Robinhood Retirement AUC: $27.4B; +90% YoY 🔹 Margin Book: $17.0B; +93% YoY 🔹 Cash and Deposits: $16.7B; +71% YoY 🔹 Cash Sweep: $26.0B; -8% YoY 🔹 Equity Notional Trading Volumes: $638B; +54% YoY 🔹 Options Contracts Traded: 586M; +17% YoY 🔹 Crypto Notional Trading Volumes: $66B 🔹 Event Contracts Traded: Record 8.8B 🔹 Robinhood Banking: Over $2B in deposits from over 125,000 Funded Customers 🔹 Robinhood Strategies: Over 285,000 Funded Customers with over $1.6B AUM 🔹 Robinhood Gold Card: Over 800,000 Funded Customers Financials: 🔹 Net Income: $346M; +3% YoY 🔹 Net Income Attributable To Robinhood: $350M; +4% YoY 🔹 Operating Expenses: $656M; +18% YoY 🔹 Adj. Operating Expenses + SBC: $607M; +14% YoY 🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $534M; +14% YoY 🔹 Cash and Cash Equivalents: $5.0B Capital Return: 🔹 Buybacks: $250M, representing 3.1M shares at ~$81/share 🔹 Total Buybacks Since Q3’24: $1.2B, representing 25M shares at ~$46/share 🔹 Authorization: Refreshed to $1.5B, expected over next ~3 years Commentary: 🔸 “Driven by our relentless product velocity and innovation, Robinhood is increasingly positioned at the center of our customers’ financial lives, just as we enter the early innings of the Great Wealth Transfer,” 🔸 “In Q1, customers remained engaged and rapidly adopted new products, leading to a 20 percent-plus annualized net deposit growth rate, double digit growth across equities and options, and record volumes for prediction markets, futures, and index options,” 🔸 “And Q2 is off to a good start in April, as equity and option trading volumes are on track to be the highest month of the year, and even with tax season, net deposits are approximately $5 billion month-to-date.”

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