Essex Trading 🐢

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TRADERS POUR $977 MILLION INTO LEVERED BET THAT OIL WILL PLUNGE Oil traders made a big leveraged bet that prices would fall from war-driven highs — but many are losing badly. Investors poured $977M into the inverse oil ETF (SCO) in March, its biggest monthly inflow ever. The fund aims to profit when oil drops, but instead plunged 41% as crude surged. The bet hinges on a quick end to conflict. While the fund briefly jumped 8% after signals of de-escalation, oil prices remain elevated — rising as high as $119 and still around $102, well above February levels. Ongoing supply disruptions, especially around the Strait of Hormuz, could keep prices high for months. Even a ceasefire may not be enough for short traders to recover. Bottom line: this is a high-risk “war ends soon” trade — and so far, it’s backfiring.

The most bullish chart right now is the $DIA Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement with bullish RSI divergence. IF we can hold her might see some upside in the Dow.