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Laura Hagger
2.5K posts
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A sci-fi horror inspired by Dead Space. Wishlist VICIOUS RED on Steam
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
Why Rate Cuts Often Signal Trouble Ahead 🧵
(not saying that’s the case now, just providing historical context for the uninformed)
1/ When the Fed cuts rates, markets often cheer. But history shows that cuts usually come after the economy is already weakening – and they often precede market declines.
2/ Since the 1970s, the Fed has launched seven major rate-cut cycles, averaging –6.4 percentage points over ~26 months. Every one has been tied to a slowdown or recession.
3/ Market volatility tends to spike before the first cut – ~22.5% vs a ~15% average. That elevated fear lingers for at least a year.
4/ Stocks usually bottom 3 months after the first cut – about 5% lower than when the cut was announced.
5/ Examples:
– 2001: S&P 500 was –10.7% three months later.
– 2007: Down ~2.1% at 3 months and –21.7% one year later.
6/ Not every cut is doom. If the economy keeps expanding, stocks can rally hard – S&P 500 has gained ~20%+ a year later in those cases, without exception.
7/ Bottom line: Rate cuts don’t cause crashes, but they often confirm trouble is here. In recessions, they precede pain. In expansions, they fuel rallies.
Context is everything.
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
BREAKING:
$2 BILLION USDT JUST MINTED.
PUMP THE MARKETS 🚀
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
Historically, #Bitcoin finds a low in September of the post-halving year, and then bounces off of it into the market cycle top that occurs in Q4.
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
Bitcoin did a better rally this cycle than people imagined it will do
But every cycle after the BTC gets exhausted we see $ETH & Altcoins follow the bullish rally probably after a month or so
#Altseason in Q4?
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unemployment high = bullish bc fed will step in
unemployment low = bullish bc economy is robust and strong
Delay rate cuts = bullish bc in the future there will be rate cuts thus the market can price in future cuts
rate cuts = bullish bc rate cuts are bullish
war = bullish bc we have to produce and spend more
ending war = also bullish
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
Nasdaq-listed SUI Group Holdings (formerly Mill City Ventures) announced it now holds 101,795,656 SUI tokens, valued at approximately $344 million after acquiring an additional 20 million tokens. The company has an agreement with the Sui Foundation to purchase locked SUI at a discount and retains about $58 million in cash for future acquisitions. theblock.co/post/369376/su…
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
🐋 A WHALE JUST BOUGHT 17,000 ETHEREUM WORTH $75.22 MILLION.
$ETH SUPPLY SHOCK SOON 👀
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
We held the major 3D divergence on $OTHERS whilst $BTC broke fresh lows — and then we made 1D divergences into that higher-low
As mentioned in the OP, we have only seen this sort of resilience from alts on three prior occasions
If we look at the prior cycle, Bitcoin + ETH + Stablecoin Dominance also showed a similar pattern to the present structure: peak at 81% -> weekly structure break to the downside (lower-high and lower-low) -> bear trap above the range highs -> reversal back to range lows -> ‘altszn’
No one wants to bullieve anymore but this is as close to a more traditional altszn (breadth of outperformance ⬆️) as we’ve been this entire cycle imo — just need to see that break below 75%
Nik@cointradernik
Right now, we have 4H divergence within a 3D divergence for $OTHERS vs $BTC Other examples of this occurring in prior uptrends are July 2017, January 2021 and September 2021 (charts in next tweet) This sort of bullish divergence is pretty indicative of a late-cycle market, but also indicative of further upside to come over coming months imo
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
5 reasons you should stop giving a f*ck:
1. Nobody’s thinking about you – they’re too busy worrying about themselves.
2. Your loudest critics are people you’d never take advice from.
3. In 100 years we’ll all be gone – none of this will matter.
4. Regret stings harder than failure – so take the shot.
5. Worrying won’t change the outcome – it just ruins the moment.
Care less. Live more.
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
$BTC Both the monthly high and monthly low have a low chance to hold for the month of September. Both in terms of time and distance.
These first few days of price action are generally pretty choppy.
Let's see where the market stands by the end of this week. I'm personally still being patient to see what we get first and then reassess for potential fresh positions.
About 50% of the monthly highs/lows is set within the first 6 days. That goes up to ~80% by day 12 and 100% by day 15.
Daan Crypto Trades@DaanCrypto
$BTC Just happy to not have been actively trading this last week. Very little follow through in either direction and it's essentially just the same traders going back and forth. Sentiment is shifting from: "Top is in, bull market over." to "$150K next month!" every day or so. Shows you how undecisive the market and the market participants are. Opinions are only getting more extreme the longer this goes on as people try to grasp the attention on the timeline. We're still just 2 days into September and there's a very low chance either the current monthly high or low holds this entire month. So there's plenty of time to position wherever this might be headed next. I'll wait out the chop first.
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LAST WEEK: BITMINE $BMNR BOUGHT 153,075 $ETH FOR ~$668M, NOW HOLDS 1,866,974 $ETH WORTH ~$8.15B
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@scottmelker “Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere.”
— Martin Luther King Jr.
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TOMORROW: TRUMP TO ASK SUPREME COURT FOR AN "EXPEDITED RULING" TO OVERTURN THE APPEALS COURT DECISION THAT FOUND MOST OF HIS GLOBAL TARIFFS ILLEGAL
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
$SOL vs $ETH vs $BTC
the outperformance from SOL is glaringly obvious
if only someone gave you a heads up before the move started...
well, i did... and it's only going to accelerate from here!
as strange as it might sound:
the main way to benefit from this move isn't to buy SOL
it is to buy $USELESS coin
it is to buy $BONK
it is to buy $FARTCOIN
SOL is going to move a lot more aggressively from here
but USELESS, BONK, and FARTCOIN would have done several Xs by the time it's up 50 to 100%
this is only the beginning of the SOL move, and i do really hope you're positioned
because it's going to get super explosive soon!
GOD WILLING
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒@theunipcs
$SOL once again outperforming $BTC and $ETH on the bounce from the recent market-wide pullback this is indicative of where the trend is i.e. Solana and its eco as i've been hammering recently, holding key SOL memecoins the best way to capitalize on this trend: - $BONK - $USELESS - $FARTCOIN i think SOL is THE trade going forward, and i'm betting on these three coins being the biggest beneficiaries from the coming SOL outperformance
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
GLD ETF tones held vs gold price. Since this bull started 2 yrs ago, GLD holdings are flat.
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Laura Hagger 리트윗함
If crypto was your entry into investing and you’ve built real wealth, but you’re still 100% in crypto, now’s the time to seriously think/plan about diversifying, branching out, and expanding your horizons.
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