Roman Levandovsky ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

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Roman Levandovsky ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ banner
Roman Levandovsky ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

Roman Levandovsky ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

@levandovsky

Omnem Movere Lapidem. Sports entrepreneur. Hockey is life!

Calgary, AB ๊ฐ€์ž…์ผ Nisan 2009
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Roman Levandovsky ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
This is still under the radar. The U.S. will need a lot of APT to replenish munitions. $BMM
Ian Zhang@SinaMin_CN

#Tungsten is truly a great bull case. Now that it has entered the mainstream media, expect a flood of "experts" who never set foot into China and claim they know everything about Tungsten. In #China, policy can matter more than price. If authorities set minimum recovery thresholds for tungsten mining, low-grade projects can be squeezed out very quickly. This is a classic example of ไธ€ๅˆ€ๆ–ฉ - a uniform policy that resets the landscape overnight. Officially, it is framed as environmental protection and the crackdown on small polluting mines. China has a long history of using regulatory pressure to force consolidation and push marginal, low-grade producers out of the market, while advantaging larger, better-capitalised operators and SOEs. While many think they know who these SOEs are, they really don't - many are disguised as a small operators. Without connections, you will only know them as such. But in reality, they have some heavy backing by people you could never fathom. For tungsten, geopolitics matters too. China has multiple levers to tighten supply, and downstream users should pay attention. China is the centre of minerals processing. Anyone who's serious about developing a mine has to understand that. Only except is if your project is in USA ๐Ÿ˜œ

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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoredditยท
Normally this goes in shower thoughts but will post main timeline today. $ALOY - Rare earth powders -> high-purity metals. Magnets used in the liquid cooling pumps $NB - Scandium, lightweight metal frames for server racks. $UURAF- Separation of rare earths. $ARA - Upstream feedstock for magnets $MEI - IAC deposit outside of China. $NTU - hard-rock heavy rare earths These are all more under the radar stuff like sub <$1B. Then for robotics supply chains I made this earlier: $UUUU - Processes monazite sand into high-purity Neodymium $MP - Extracting bastnรคsite at Mountain Pass and vertically integrating into domestic NdFeB magnet manufacturing. $ALOY - Converting heavy rare earth oxides into defense-grade alloys and high-temperature metals like Samarium and Gadolinium $USAR- Process heavy rare earth elements and manufacture sintered NdFeB magnets $LYSDY -(Lynas Rare Earths Limited) - Only commercial producer of separated heavy rare earth elements outside of China. $NEO -(TSX): They are the only Western company commercially producing the actual NdFeB magnetic powders and alloys at scale right now. $ILU- (rare earths refinery): rare earths refinery for Australia $ARU- (ASX): "Ore-to-oxide" NdPr facility 2. Structural Metallurgy (Niobium, Vanadium, Titanium, Beryllium) $ATI - Dominant US producer of high-performance titanium and specialty alloys required for robotic joints. $CRS - US supplier of specialty structural alloys, including the high-strength steels, titanium, and magnetic $FCX - World's largest producer of Molybdenum, which is strictly necessary for the structural steel in planetary roller screws. $NB - Critical pure-play company developing the Elk Creek project in Nebraska, aimed at supplying domestic Niobium, Scandium, and Titanium $MTRN - Major global processor of Beryllium $LGO - Leading publicly traded processors of Vanadium $BMM - Onshore supply and processing for like Germanium and Gallium $VNP - Gallium, Germanium, and Indium for advanced sensors and electronics $TECK - Most significant producer of Germanium outside of China $ALB - Lithium extraction $EAF - High-purity Graphite for battery anodes $ALTM - Western lithium required to supply the batteries $SYR - Balama mine for Graphite $FCX - Humanoid requires up to 6.5 kilograms of copper $AW1 (ASX): Advancing the West Desert project in Utah, for domestic geological sources for high-grade Gallium and Indium I'm aware of a lot of more... It's just some are a little dangerous to mention geopolitically in case I broadcast vulnerabilities to geopolitical adversaries reading this (looking at you $AXTI) If you're going long on a western one 5n my favorite. Image source: Crossdock Insights, Visual Capitalist FYI this is not the pandoras box stuff. Just name dropping some interesting names informally before finishing up some research on a specific long idea. Critical elements required for semiconductor packaging and others close to near-total import reliance -> so prob influx of funding going toward it. Just informal thoughts
Serenity tweet media
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JustDario ๐ŸŠโ€โ™‚๏ธ
JUST IN: IRCG claims 5 of its water and desalination plants have just been bombed. No matter if true or not, this statement alone means Iran is about to retaliate to similar infrastructures in the GCC countries. This is the worst case scenario I warned about 2 weeks ago โš ๏ธ
JustDario ๐ŸŠโ€โ™‚๏ธ@DarioCpx

Food shortages are still not as bad as water shortages. Hitting water desalination plants is the wildcard Iran still hasnโ€™t played and you better pray no one makes the mistake to forcing them to. In that case the world will deal with one of the largest humanitarian crisis ever.

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FinancialJuice
FinancialJuice@financialjuiceยท
๐Ÿ”ด Israeli military has begun a wide-scale wave of strikes targeting Iranian infrastructure in Tehran
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Roman Levandovsky ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ๋ฆฌํŠธ์œ—ํ•จ
Maddie Evans
Maddie Evans@EstieMaddieยท
๐ŸŒด WHY ARE WE NOT HEARING ABOUT THIS?? ๐Ÿ๏ธ HAWAII IS UNDER WATER.
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JustDario ๐ŸŠโ€โ™‚๏ธ
According to my calculations, with an oil price stable above 90$ $OXY P/E drops to ~5.5 from the current ~40 at the current price. Won't be personally shocked to see $OXY pull off a 3x or even 4x in a few months if the current situation shifts from temporary to long-lasting
JustDario ๐ŸŠโ€โ™‚๏ธ@DarioCpx

Warren Buffett bought ~30% of $OXY at an average price of ~53$. $OXY has no exposure to the Middle East. I believe there is a strong possibility the Oracle of Omaha is going to wrap up his legendary career with one last big banger.

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Gavin
Gavin@GavMcCrackenยท
New post on the substack. TL;DR: if the strait of hormuz crisis ends soon, gold goes up. If it takes a long time to end, gold goes bonkers as massive amounts of supply are lost in, Africa + LATAM + elsewhere. open.substack.com/pub/gavinmccraโ€ฆ
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Roger
Roger@rdd147ยท
@levandovsky I saw it was mooning according to news. I just donโ€™t know how to find its paper price ๐Ÿคท is it only a physical traded commodity?
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Roger
Roger@rdd147ยท
Silver and Copper are the 2 most important metals in modern warfare. Both are getting hammered overnight.
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Simon Ree
Simon Ree@simon_reeยท
@levandovsky Sounds likely, meanwhile Brent creeps up $1-$2 a dayโ€ฆ
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Simon Ree
Simon Ree@simon_reeยท
Both $ES futs and Brent are essentially flat in Asian trading The instinct is to read flatness as calm. It's not. It is paralysis Markets have no framework to discount what comes next If Trump follows through on the power plant ultimatum and, Iran responds by targeting critical energy and desalination infrastructure in the region, oil spikes and equities get drilled (instead of oil) If Trump backs down, the credibility damage to US deterrence is significant and the Hormuz situation will remain unresolved. Equities likely rip in the short term regardless The base case - if there is one - is continued stalemate in which every de-escalation signal is followed by re-escalation, while the energy shock bleeds into inflation data as shortages take hold The Trump 48-hour ultimatum expires Monday evening New York time. The next move will be revealing
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