Milos Bejda
3.3K posts

Milos Bejda
@notMiloBejda
Technology Enthusiast / Developer #angular #angularfire #firebase #wordpress
Tampa, FL 가입일 Haziran 2010
372 팔로잉247 팔로워

FOMC decision drops in less than 1 hour. I just asked Claude to build me a live rate decision monitor, scan the $TLT option chain, and preflight 3 multileg strategies against my real @public brokerage account.
It did it in under a few minutes.
Here's the whole thing 🧵
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could someone respectfully tell Trump we are tired of winning? thanks 😑
#trump $qqq $spy
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Told my wife we're down $787k this year.
She said why didn't you just sell in Jan?
Genius.
Never even thought of that.
Kevin Xu@kevinxu
zoom out it gets worse 😭
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@notMiloBejda Yeah it’s got the price action of a scam. Thankfully scams ultimately pump the hardest so we have that going for us
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$TMC At what point do these conmen pumping this stock suffer legal consequences for this financial advice they are offering ? -52% is no mere “dip”.
-52% is a pig getting slaughtered.
Wouldn’t surprise me if every last one of these delusional permabulls were employed by TMC @TheVixFix

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@notMiloBejda Naw this stock gonna blow, but the only way I am able to sustainably hold for the long term is to have public meltdowns and to use viciously biting humor in my posts for zero likes.
It is all incredibly cathartic.
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Oh wow !!! $tmc does have news !!!


Figgy1m@figgy1million
$TMC planning a $3.2 billion dollar refinery in Texas!!
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@NielsPluijmen @PeloSwing Weride did well and bidu said robotaxis are doing well so decided to go long.
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@notMiloBejda @PeloSwing I don’t know.
Headlines will read narrowing of loss. It could provide great robotaxi YoY growth numbers (as Q4 2024 did little). Maybe those headlines stick. Details why this is, usually don’t.
Total revenue likely will show a YoY drop. If that becomes the headline, likely red
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$PONY Earnings Tomorrow:
EPS Estimate: -0.048
Rev. Estimate: 24.62 Million
Weekly Implied Move: +/-12.23%
Wall Street maintains a "Moderate Buy" to "Strong Buy" consensus.
Investors are focused on the commercialization of autonomous driving, Gen-7 cost reductions and the partnership announced with $UBER back in May of 2025.

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@PeloSwing The Revenue Estimate of 24.62 Million seems very low.
My estimate for Q4:
Robotruck ($10-13M)
Applications & Licenses: ($8-12M)
Robotaxi ($10M)
Total ($28M - $35M) midpoint $32.5M
That midpoint still implies a YoY drop (Q4: 35.5M).
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@BiotechAutist @Vulpescap it was submitted through a different path 🤡
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@notMiloBejda @Vulpescap If it was purely administrative, it would have been a minor amendment. Good luck!
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$ALDX @BiotechAutist could very well could be right but I can't get enough conviction on this to get involved (either way).
Yes field trial failed but FDA draft guidance for DED explicitly acknowledges that effective therapies can fail trials and the data packages of multiple approved DED products contain failed/mixed data.
Unless I'm mistaken, ALDX's field trial is the only real failure. They got CRL'd last time because of baseline imbalances between arms - in interpretability problem but not a clearly interpretable fail.
They got CRL'd the first time because they tried to use a lil' Ph2 as their second trial showing efficacy on symptoms, IIRC.
Other than that, chamber trials seem reproducible, it appears to me they have sufficient data (2 positive trials) on both sings and symptoms
But the request for a CSR on the failed field trial does give me pause. Neither long stock nor puts.
Been a while since I looked carefully at this so don't take this opinion at face value.
Biotech Autist@BiotechAutist
1/ $ALDX will get cut in half next week. Watch.
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@JohnSmith2cvf @mariomastrom The drug works better than tap water 😂
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@notMiloBejda @mariomastrom Just because the CEO hates shorts doesn’t mean it was approved and he’s holding it for tmrw to “get back at shorts”. The drug is junk and your better off putting tap water in your eyes then that shit! Good luck!
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@JohnSmith2cvf @mariomastrom CEO hates shorts. This is literally payback.
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@mariomastrom So you think that it will be approved when the day of approval is about to be over and we haven’t heard anything? This things toast.
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@Anthony_TayIor That logic could work both ways. If the FDA believed there were major deficiencies, it likely would have stopped the review and issued a CRL.
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@notMiloBejda Brother if the FDA thought this drug did anything it would be approved already. It's obvious to everyone that it does not. Sure chamber and field are both plausible paths but they failed the field study. Does that sound like convincing evidence of efficacy.
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@Investorclimber @surferbackpack you do realize those cited comparables happened before the 2020 draft
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Bought Feb20´26 5$ puts on $ALDX at 0.3$/contract. I think the third CRL is highly probable if by Feb16 the FDA does not communicate proposed labeling, and stock will go down significantly by then.
Nice read by @surferbackpack docs.google.com/document/d/1xj…
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Cool feature just dropped for @SuperGrok subscribers.
Turn on Companions in settings.
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