ulvy

1.1K posts

ulvy

ulvy

@ulvy

가입일 Haziran 2009
157 팔로잉67 팔로워
ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@jeremybarcelo @FOS the entire country club plaza was sold for $175 million 2 years ago
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jeremy
jeremy@jeremybarcelo·
@FOS I feel like $1.9B would buy half of Kansas City.
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Front Office Sports
Kansas City has approved up to $600 million in public funding for a new downtown stadium for the Royals. The city council voted to advance the $1.9 billion ballpark project, putting the Royals in their strongest position yet to secure a finalized stadium deal.
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@BradJayJohnson @BobEUnlimited I agree. Some sales pulled forward because of Covid zirp. homes may become less affordable for some but prices are going to go up. I think in about 12 months prices go up. Pretty good correlation of house prices and government debt ( devalued fiat takes more USD to buy same)
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Bob Elliott
Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited·
Housing Market Stagnation The combination of sales at cycle lows and far more sellers than buyers at current mortgage rates and price levels means residential housing will remain an economic drag for the foreseeable future. bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/housing-mark…
Bob Elliott tweet media
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@mortgagetruth @GayBearRes plus foreclosures in the past tend to be at least 20% to 30% less than market price. But it will be interesting to see if the # of monthly foreclosures rise above historical averages.
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Colin Robertson
Colin Robertson@mortgagetruth·
@GayBearRes This is normal. A healthy, functioning housing market is supposed to have distressed sales. It's supposed to have properties sit on the market. The past decade was not normal.
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@Casrow1 @toiletkingcap my friends with million dollar 401ks live the fake markets and have no with them continu. 😆
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Casrow
Casrow@Casrow1·
@toiletkingcap Operation iran war market manipulation. The markets have been fake for years. Just look at rev of mag 7 and tell me how some of them are 3t+ mkt caps. Its all fake and more akin to bananas republic than free and fair market
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🚽 🤴JRR ToiletKing
🚽 🤴JRR ToiletKing@toiletkingcap·
lol it is absolutely blowing my mind that "the largest energy shock of all time" means nothing to the market. i understand it may not mean catastrophe if fixed quickly, but how in the world are indexes higher? please explain to me like im an absolute moron
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@LexsWorld @toiletkingcap Another example. A friend who is an insurance risk analyst and who will stop gambling in vegas one hour into a two day trip once he is up 20%. Also had a very risk adversive personality. But he is all in on stocks at 65 and is not worried.
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Lex Blazer 🇨🇦
Lex Blazer 🇨🇦@LexsWorld·
@toiletkingcap World indexes are high because money is becoming worthless. A company that's now $100/share after being at $20 five years ago is only that high because $100 isn't anything vs 5 years ago....and the problem keeps getting worse every month.
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@LexsWorld @toiletkingcap i think that is part of the story too. Plus i ask retirees if they are worried and taking money off the table and they are not. They have full faith in the Fed bailout if needed.
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@JeffW008 @GlobalMktObserv Over the next 10 years we will have even more mergers and buyouts and the number if public stocks will probably go from 3400 to 2500 but much more money will flow into the stock market via 401ks. This means even higher P/e ratios. 30 may be the new value metric ? lol
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Jeff Farmer
Jeff Farmer@JeffW008·
@GlobalMktObserv Buffet indicator did not consider that today, much higher % of GDP is publicly traded, compared with that of 30, 40 years ago. For example, 80% vs. 40% GDP is publicly traded, with the same average PE ratio, the Buffet indicator would double. I can prove this.
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Global Markets Investor
Global Markets Investor@GlobalMktObserv·
🚨The US stock market has never been this OVERVALUED: The Buffett Indicator, which measures total corporate equities relative to GDP, rose to 232.6%, the highest level in history. This is well above the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak of 162.6% and the 2021 market frenzy high of 218.7%. Since the Great Financial Crisis low, the ratio has risen +163.6 percentage points, or more than 3 times. US equities are in uncharted territory.
Global Markets Investor tweet media
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@CountryOTParty @Barchart You right but Houses are really not expensive, it just takes more devalued dollars to buy the same thing yoy . What is also happening is the income gap is widening . Thus fewer people can afford homes and will live in apartments. But housing won’t drop in price. IMHO
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CountryBeforeParty
CountryBeforeParty@CountryOTParty·
@Barchart Just too expensive now. What the market will bear? This is what happens with the dynamics of spin and flash finally pushed the markets too far beyond what we are willing to pay. Look at the 10 year growth in value in any house out there, & then compare it to the rise of incomes
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Barchart
Barchart@Barchart·
BREAKING 🚨: U.S. Housing Market Home Sellers now outnumber Buyers by 630,000, the largest gap ever recorded 🤯👀
Barchart tweet media
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@DannyDayan5 @FirstSquawk My property tax on a couple of my rental properties is up 20% this year. HOS is up 5%. I will be raising the rent when the leases renew. That sort of seems inflationary too.
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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
MICROSOFT HIKES SURFACE PRICES SIGNIFICANTLY AMID MEMORY SHORTAGE
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@vidsurvdude @QuantumAlteredX What is interesting is this wave of planned DCs are mostly being financed or owned by small and mid sized cities. The DC operators lease the Datacenter and then the lu lease the computer to MAG7. One city near me is floating a 150 B in bonds and will own the datacenter.
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vidsurvdude
vidsurvdude@vidsurvdude·
I've been preaching the reason why for mos, I'm in the industry. The private equity pyramid scheme is just about sucked dry. We've already overbuilt for AI. We're moving into quantum builds which these large 1 story builds will be able to deliver the power and space needed for the size of the dilution refrigerator and actual quantum machines. Only 2% of dc builds that are actually approved are moving earth. Gas turbines and transformers have a 6-16 month lead time.
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@AConcernedPare2 Guess what. House prices are only going to go up more. Gov debt will be over 70 trillion in 10 years . That means house prices will rise 30% to 50% . This is a global phenomenon. House prices are rising almost everywhere as all currencies are debasing.
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AConcernedParent
AConcernedParent@AConcernedPare2·
This house is near a nice elementary school in my area. In 1974, on a $12k teacher's salary, this home could easily be purchased for $18,700. In 2026, teachers make $55k. They can't afford a $485k house. Why don't boomers understand how bad it is out there?!
AConcernedParent tweet mediaAConcernedParent tweet media
Lee in Iowa@Lee_in_Iowa

Boomer here. I bought my first house after ten years of saving like crazy. And the interest was 14.5%. I don’t know where kids got the idea that they were due a house and new car at college graduation, but that’s NOT how it ever was.

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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@AConcernedPare2 The good news is when measuring affordability by median house price divided by family income. the U.S. is the 4 th most affordable out of the top 100 countries. here is the ratio by state.
ulvy tweet media
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@UnredactedAlpha @PeterMallouk Chart of housing overlaid with US Government debt. Trending sideways but will catch up to US debt. What you see is currency devalued. It just takes more to buy the same thing.
ulvy tweet media
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@UnredactedAlpha @PeterMallouk we are probably getting close to move out of stocks back into real estate as real estate may have its turn to rip again
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Peter Mallouk
Peter Mallouk@PeterMallouk·
Me: buys a house in 2020 Fed: prints $8 trillion more dollars Also me: “I’m a real estate genius”
Peter Mallouk tweet media
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@DannyDayan5 CBO projects at the beginning of 2036, Gov Debt will be $63 trillion. I looked back at each 10 year projection starting in year 1990, 2000, 2010. They always under estimate by 10%. So we really will be over $70 trillion.
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Danny Dayan
Danny Dayan@DannyDayan5·
Financial system liquidity is up ~300BN YTD, and money supply grew at a 11% annualized rate last month. Some deflation we got there!
Danny Dayan tweet mediaDanny Dayan tweet media
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@mikeharrisNY @DannyDayan5 It depends on the currency. Gold has been a wonderful hedge if you lived in Argentina, Russia, Mexico, Japan, and several other countries who currencies were devalued. Not many investments go from $7k to $6.5 Million in 12 years. 1 oz 25k gold did in Argentina
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Danny Dayan
Danny Dayan@DannyDayan5·
I have been surprised by Gold's poor hedging properties in this conflict.
Danny Dayan tweet media
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@DavidBCollum Also, 58%, 2.5 million of the 3.9 million New York City residents who filed a tax return in 2025 did not pay any state income tax. So in a nutshell, you have 36% of the people paying to help the other 64% live in New York City. :) These are just guestimations but close.
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ulvy
ulvy@ulvy·
@DavidBCollum Luckily, except for Manhattan, they majority NY City are getting entitlements to offset the cost of living. I did quick AI questions and 5.3 million of 8.3 million receive some type of entitlement. Many receive multiple types. Granted 1.3 are SSN (retired or disable).
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Dave Collum
Dave Collum@DavidBCollum·
In 1980 I shared a 3-bedroom apt less than a block from Columbia University with two other guys for $110 per month (included utilities). I ate at Tom's restaurant (Seinfeld filmed there): 2 eggs, home fries, 2 slices of toast, coffee, and fresh-squeezed OJ: 99 cents. My annual gross salary was $4800. Times have changed... zerohedge.com/markets/living…
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