MIT Student Solved The Monty Hall Problem And Everyone Lost Their Minds 🎲

@mindsetmachine lol "everyone lost their minds" is a bit of an overstatement for bayes theorem

@mindsetmachine Why do I feel like I'm being gaslighted? He "had" a 33.3% chance. Then one was removed. Now it's a 50% chance. 50% he's already right and 50% he was wrong. I feel like this is just trying to question our gut decisions.

@mindsetmachine Makes more sense if you expand it to 100 doors. You choose 1 out of 100, there’s 99 goats, 1 car. The chance you pick the car is only 1%… so very likely you lose. Host opens 98 goats, obviously that 99% chance all goes to the door he hasn’t opened yet that you didn’t pick.

@mindsetmachine montyhall.io yeah this strategy obviously working

@mindsetmachine He doesn’t care that the host also read those theorems.

@mindsetmachine the part where everyone lost their minds was wild

@mindsetmachine @grok why it is 66.7%.. not 50% when one dorr opened and shown a goat

@mindsetmachine @grok Which movie is the clip from?

@mindsetmachine This was on an episode of myth busters

@mindsetmachine @grok why isn’t it 50/50 chance?

@mindsetmachine Important rule of The Monty Hall Problem is that the host always has to open a goat door and offer a switch and that there isn't a tricking host, opening the first choice goat door. The prof insists the host is tricking, so switching is a bad strategy.