ahsan
83.9K posts


#BREAKING
At a Saudi investment assembly in Miami, Trump humiliated MBS.
"He didn't think he would come to kiss my ass, he really didn't believe that... and now he has to treat me well... he better be nice to me, he has to do that..."
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@BRICSinfo Country which is dependent on US for it's defence and supply of weapons is signing defence deals. That's crazy
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@TehranTimes79 @drpezeshkian This is waste of Time. US wants iran to surrender that doesn't make any sense. Iran will never accept that and the fact is even US doesn't want to negotiate. All this is drama and to show world that US is open for peace talks.
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#BREAKING
A phone call was made between President @drpezeshkian and the Prime Minister of Pakistan.

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@shanaka86 All this is drama nothing else. There will be no negotiation between Iran and US. US expect complete surrender from Iran but Iran will never do that.
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BREAKING: Pakistan is mediating to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Pakistan also operates the only deep-water port on the Arabian Sea that lets China bypass the Strait of Hormuz entirely.
Both of these things are happening at the same time. Nobody has connected them.
Gwadar Port sits 400 kilometres from Hormuz on the Arabian Sea coast of Balochistan. It is operated by China Overseas Port Holding Company under a 40-year lease. It is the southwestern terminal of the $62 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, a 3,000-kilometre network of roads, railways, and pipelines connecting the Arabian Sea to Xinjiang. CPEC was designed from inception to let China bypass maritime chokepoints. It cuts China’s Middle Eastern energy import route from 12,000 kilometres by sea to 2,500 kilometres overland per CPEC’s own planning documents.
The Strait of Hormuz is closed. Traffic has collapsed over 90 percent. Iran is collecting yuan tolls from Chinese-linked vessels. Iran’s parliament is drafting legislation to make the toll permanent per Bloomberg. And Gwadar, the Chinese-controlled bypass, sits right there. Outside the strait. On the other side of the chokepoint. Operational.
On March 25, Pakistan delivered America’s 15-point peace plan to Iran per Witkoff’s confirmation at a Cabinet meeting. On the same day, PLA Navy Ship Daqing docked in Karachi for Sea Guardian IV, joint drills running through April 2 in the Arabian Sea per Pakistan Navy and ISPR. The drills are protecting the same maritime corridor where Gwadar sits.
Pakistan is the only country on earth that profits from both outcomes of this war.
If Hormuz reopens, Pakistan gets American credit, aid, and restored regional relevance. Witkoff called the mediation channel “strong and positive.” PM Sharif offered to host face-to-face talks. Pakistan’s army chief has a personal relationship with Trump per Al Jazeera.
If Hormuz stays closed or permanently tolled, Gwadar becomes the most strategically valuable port on the planet. Every barrel of oil that cannot transit Hormuz increases the economic case for overland delivery through CPEC. Every yuan toll that normalizes non-dollar settlement at the strait accelerates China’s investment in the bypass corridor that terminates at a port Beijing already controls. Pakistan sits on both sides of the trade: American mediator and Chinese landlord.
Iran’s fifth ceasefire condition demands permanent sovereignty over Hormuz. If any version of that condition is accepted, the IRGC toll regime becomes international precedent. The country that benefits most from a permanent Iranian toll on the strait is China, which gains leverage to accelerate Gwadar as the alternative. The country facilitating the negotiation between those parties is Pakistan, which hosts both America’s peace plan and China’s bypass port.
The Sea Guardian drills end April 2. Trump’s deadline expires April 6. Four days between the end of Chinese military exercises in Pakistan’s waters and the moment the largest US military buildup since 2003 either strikes or stands down.
Pakistan receives 81 percent of its arms from China per SIPRI. It owes China over $30 billion. It holds Major Non-NATO Ally status with the United States. It is simultaneously a debtor to the bypass builder, an ally of the strait enforcer, and a mediator for the power trying to reopen the chokepoint the bypass was built to circumvent.
This is not diplomacy. This is architecture. And the architect wins regardless of which door opens.
Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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@notcheguevaraa @BRICSinfo Pakistan thinks they are playing smart but they will regret when US will betray them. Which US will definitely do.
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Fair point.
More accurately it's diplomatic back channeling. Pakistan has been the official messenger between the US and Iran throughout this war. This call is likely coordination on the peace framework, not a show of solidarity.
Pakistan is walking a tightrope too close to the US to take sides, too Muslim to stay silent.
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