Ben

@0xGustas About time! 🤖

WE’RE LIVE! 🤗

First $2 I made on @Launchbam ✊ feels good! Reply Bam below and I will send you an invite!

@jaxxdwyer Right on point. Reaching these volume requires extended marketing campaigns across other socials beyond the X bubble 💯

Polymarket didn't get to 800M in weekly betting volume because they grinded Crypto Twitter marketing. They broke out because they made popular topics like elections, sports, and news monetizable. Then they focused on TikTok, Instagram, and YT shorts to unlock consumer crypto.

Prediction markets could become the largest derivatives market on earth. Every uncertain outcome - elections, weather, AI, wars, earnings becomes a tradable contract. Same core function as options and futures, but radically simpler for the retail participants. The TAM isn’t one asset class. It’s uncertainty itself.

Prediction markets don’t scale to billions by looking like exchanges. They scale by looking like feeds with financial incentives. Here’s what future looks like: Personalized by default Everyone already lives inside algorithmic feeds. Prediction markets should adapt to the user - interests, beliefs, conviction, risk. Discovery where attention already is Don’t force users to open another app. The moment someone forms an opinion on X, TikTok, news etc, they should be able to act on it instantly. Social at the core Markets are conversations. Surface what smart participants are buying, selling, and debating in real time. Complexity abstracted away Most people don’t care about order books or mechanics. They want a simple way to express a view. Infrastructure should fade into the background. One place to manage exposure Discover, trade, hedge, copy - across markets. Power on the backend, simplicity on the surface. Prediction markets won’t go mainstream because of better charts. They’ll go mainstream when participation feels as natural as scrolling.

polymarket just opened a free grocery store in new york not a marketing stunt not a temporary pop-up a real physical store where new yorkers can get groceries for free they signed a lease and donated $1 million to food bank for nyc while crypto projects burn millions on influencers and conferences polymarket is literally feeding people the store is fully stocked no purchase required no income verification just walk in and take what you need grand opening is february 12th at noon this is what giving back actually looks like not corporate charity photoshoots an actual permanent investment in the community free groceries, free markets, built for the people who power new york this is how polymarket build a brand people actually respect

"prediction markets are finding product-market fit" some do, most are still just sports betting with extra steps most platforms will realize people don't want to bet on the future, they want to understand it good UX + actual insights > gamification is enough to build something real

The Logan Paul card play > $48.2k in active positions. Biggest win +33.93%. All on Pokémon. > here's the strategy of @Red781RuM > Trading Kalshi since Apr 2025, goes all-in on Logan Paul collectibles > 411 predictions. $12.8k biggest win. > Everyone else: Betting on elections > Him: betting 72-86¢ on rare card auctions in size > let's analyse his Logan Paul PSA 10 Pikachu trade > Market: "Will sale price be over $7 million?" > Price: 86¢ for "Yes" > he saw the auction at $6M+ with 20 days left, historical records, Logan's hype machine. > @Red781RuM drops $5.1k on it > 72¢ → 86¢ = 19.17% = $825 profit > portfolio: $48k across Logan Paul card markets > same play, different thresholds ($5M, $6M, $7M, $8M) Conclusion: Most traders: YOLO into politics @Red781RuM: ladders Pokémon card auctions > "No crying in the casino" - 411 predictions deep. Collectibles > chaos.

@hre4anyk Great niche + huge problem! Every B2B driven business should start using it.

I'm solo founder competing against 10-person sales teams My secret weapon: an AI that qualifies leads in 42 seconds See how it works 👇

You don't need to be a pro to hit 70%+ win rate on predictions Bam is a new social predictions app on @solana powered by @Polymarket > Track top traders in real-time > Follow them & copy their trades > See what they're buying before it pumps No more guessing. Just follow the money. Join the waitlist. Link in the comments.

@whatslukedoing Good take. Had a similar approach w: Rewarded Play app (BlockGames) to drive users to web2 mobile games. Built our own SDK for partner studios to integrate & incentivize players as growth engine. Main challenges: web2 game publishers hesitant to integrate alien code for a trial when already making large $$, especially for larger titles. Meanwhile for early stage studios, its a chicken & egg problem. They don’t have users and are prioritising developing features to grow their users. Quickest path for scale = MMP route, but has its own constraints. Essentially you are building an affiliate network. To succeed with the biz model, you need to access Tier 1 web2 gamers (US, GE, KR, JP, CA etc). We failed, because no web2 publisher wants to acquire Tier 3 users and ads payouts are too little, to sustain rewards. Hope its useful ✌️

prediction markets don’t fail because people are wrong. They fail because liquidity disappears. 72% of prediction markets die with <$10k in depth. spreads blow out. prices stop updating. smart traders leave. the counter-intuitive fix isn’t “more users.” it’s concentrated incentives + fewer markets + asymmetric rewards. most teams do the opposite. if you’re building or trading in predictions, this matters more than oracle accuracy. agree or disagree?

Robinhood says prediction markets aren’t just gambling.. That’s a bold claim. But when it’s coming from the CEO of a $100B+ public company - you listen. No house. No bookmaker. Markets decide the odds. That’s not betting. That’s the future of trading.

It’s been a while. The new BAM app is taking shape. A social predictions app dedicated to the everyday user. Track top traders, adapt new strategies, and progress within the ecosystem. It all comes up to 3 simple steps to enjoy the app and use it to its full potential. #1 The Leaderboard Evaluate others based on objective performance data: • Skill Score & Win Rate • In-app Rank • Realized P&L Analyze their strategies, understand what works, and improve your own predictive accuracy. #2 Social Architecture Every user gets a unique on-chain profile. High-signal data is front and center: • Rank Badge & Skill Score • Win Rate & Trade Count • Active vs. Resolved positions • P&L Performance Built for bragging rights. Compete with friends and earn incentives based on your profile activity #3 UX & Aggregation We’ve wrapped this in a smooth, mobile-first interface. Track live charts, browse new trades aggregated from top markets (@Polymarket & @Kalshi), and manage your portfolio - all in one place. 🎱 The goal is to make prediction markets intuitive without sacrificing the depth traders need.

Prediction markets are changing the landscape. BAM is a social predictions app powered by @Polymarket & @Kalshi that helps you be the first to discover what others believe. We’re opening a Closed Alpha to 100 early users to stress-test the app and validate the experience. How to get in: 🎱 Join the group: t.me/LaunchBAM 🎱 Keep notifications on. Want to simply wait for the 1st Live MVP? Join the waitlist! 🔗 bam.fun

Remove fear. Pay for truth. And you will get a clearest picture of reality. Privacy + prediction markets will explode.

@_Shadow36 In memecoins- its one of many. In prediction markets - value redistributes more fairly towards many winners.

Prediction markets are here to stay.. but they can never replicate this.. ever. LONG LIVE MEMES. gg

People keep mixing prediction markets with casinos and memecoins, but they operate very differently. Let me make this clear. Prediction markets are closer to information markets. Most volume comes from repeat participants - traders, hedgers, people extracting signal. The edge compounds over time because information compounds. Memecoins optimize for attention, not signal. There’s no durable information advantage - just narrative momentum. Value accrues to early insiders and short-term players. Most participants lose. Traditional betting is simply a house playing against its users: high rake, negative EV by design, everybody is programmed to lose over time. What’s interesting is where prediction markets are heading. They’re starting to look less like “bets” and more like tradable information infrastructure, increasingly embedded directly into apps and wallets or news platforms. Markets built around information quality behave very differently than markets built around attention extraction. Excited for the future as the gap is widening.

@mert Prediction markets fail at the frontend because they start with markets. Mainstream starts with moments: “I’m already looking at SOL -> I have an opinion.” Context first, market second.

I haven't yet seen a good frontend for prediction markets my intuition is that aggregating a bunch of differing bets from different categories won't work aggregating markets for perps/spot works because the underlying markets are in the same category with predicting (read: betting), the underlying market ranges from politics and sports to celebrity clothing items there is certainly a market segment who wants to just see all possible types of bets because their aim is to speculate as much as possible for non-linear returns but for the average user, it seems to me that the embedding of the market needs to be highly contextual and verticalized for example, if I'm checking the price of SOL on CMC, it's natural that I might have an opinion on whether it breaks $500 this year, but I likely don't give a shit whether Trump does his handshake when meeting the president of Poland