

Blockchain Surfer ☝️
694 posts

@0xSurferX
✦ ᴅᴇꜰɪ & ᴏɴ-ᴄʜᴀɪɴ ᴇxᴘᴇʀᴛ ✦ ꜱᴜʀꜰɪɴɢ ᴄʀʏᴘᴛᴏ ꜱɪɴᴄᴇ 2018 ✦ ᴄᴇʀᴛɪꜰɪᴇᴅ ʙʟᴏᴄᴋᴄʜᴀɪɴ ᴍᴀꜱᴛᴇʀᴍɪɴᴅ








holy fuck, a hair dryer at a Paris airport broke Polymarket weather markets & made someone $34,000 richer - polymarket was settling Paris temperature bets on a single Météo France sensor sitting near the Charles de Gaulle runway perimeter - basically unguarded - the guy bought the long-shot outcome (like "22°C" when everyone expected 18°C) for pennies, since nobody thought it'd hit - then he walked up to the probe and briefly heated the air around it with a portable heat source, spiking the reading just long enough to register as the daily max - temperature snapped back to normal in minutes, the market resolved in his favor, and he cashed out - twice, on April 6 and April 15, before Météo France caught on and filed charges hyperstitions.


We're moving the release to April 28th at ~11am UTC to give builders more time to test against the upgraded exchange. The test environment is live and open to all.



This guy made $32,000 on weather markets with a 33% win rate! Account: @maskache2?r=mecooloff#2UjlXWE" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@maskache2?r=m…
He buys outcomes for 0.1¢-5¢, hoping they hit. His best bets (in %): $23 -> $1,239 (+5,176%) $58 -> $1,728 (+2,871%) $87 -> $1,877 (+2,049%) His biggest win: +$7,638, biggest loss: -$2,234. If you bet on unlikely outcomes, even 2 hits out of 100 can keep it profitable despite a low win rate. Without betting on politics, his PnL would be much higher.




Announcing our new $5 million bug bounty program 👇





Prediction markets are on fire 🔥 Polymarket just surpassed Kalshi in weekly volume and is reportedly valued around $20B. Largest platforms by weekly volume: 1.Polymarket — $1.93B 2.Kalshi — $1.87B 3.Probable — $133M 4.Opinion — $132M 5.Predict Fun — $55M






