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2026 Outlook: Climbing The Wall of Worry
open.substack.com/pub/digitalass…
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Digital Asset Research
4.2K posts
Digital Asset Research
@1995research
Market timing research, macro forecasts, and high-upside potential alt coin investment ideas.
Katılım Nisan 2023
0 Takip Edilen1.4K Takipçiler
Big trend changes in the March/April time window for the last 3 years. Will this time be different?
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@McClellanOsc Correct. Understanding these relationships will be key to what’s ahead
Digital Asset Research@1995research
What you’ve been led to believe about interest rates and gold is a smoke screen for 20 years of real stagnation. Here is the real structural proof that the consensus is dead wrong. open.substack.com/pub/digitalass…
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Financial media attribute rising long term bond yields to oil prices and the Iran War. But these yields follow the movements of gold prices with about a 20-1/2 month lag. A rise was supposed to be coming anyway.
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Digital Asset Research retweetledi
March: A Critical Turning Point in This Cycle, open.substack.com/pub/digitalass…
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“Watch what is doing well. Not what you think should be doing well”
Digital Asset Research@1995research
A Critical Time Window Is Here — And the Risk Trade Is Setting Up, open.substack.com/pub/digitalass…
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Full article here 🔒: open.substack.com/pub/digitalass…
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Gold at macro top conditions.
Equities at macro bottom — relative to gold.
Against **gold** (true store of value), broad stocks have been in a ~10-year **real bear market**.
Only a few names (NVDA, META…) beat it. Most got crushed.
This regime shift has happened <5 times in modern history.
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Full report below:
open.substack.com/pub/digitalass…
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One of Ganns major campaign rules:
“Bull or bear campaigns do not run more than 3 to 3½ years without a move of 3 to 6 months or one year in the opposite direction.”
Bitcoin rallied for 35 months, just one month short of the full three years.
Since then, the market has declined for six consecutive months, which brings us to April as the seventh month — a number Gann often referred to as the fatal number in cycle structures.
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What you’ve been led to believe about interest rates and gold is a smoke screen for 20 years of real stagnation. Here is the real structural proof that the consensus is dead wrong.
open.substack.com/pub/digitalass…
English
Just to demonstrate how powerful this concept can be, let’s go back and square the decline from the March 2024 top to the August 2024 low.
That drop measured 24,457 points.
Rounded to 245 days, it lands on the exact date of the April 2025 bottom.
Digital Asset Research@1995research
Jan 2025 top to Apr 2025 low = 34,918 point range. Price becomes time and you get 349 days. That lands right back on March 22. This is what a real pressure window looks like. Multiple time factors clustering into one date.
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Digital Asset Research retweetledi
I should also mention that coincides exactly with the beginning of spring. A seasonal change time.
Digital Asset Research@1995research
Gann called the squaring of price and time maybe his best invention We are now approaching a rare "Squaring of Price and Time" on BTC. The cycle began at the $73,808 high on March 13, 2024. This Sunday (March 22nd) marks exactly 738 days from that peak.
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Digital Asset Research retweetledi
Gann called the squaring of price and time maybe his best invention
We are now approaching a rare "Squaring of Price and Time" on BTC.
The cycle began at the $73,808 high on March 13, 2024. This Sunday (March 22nd) marks exactly 738 days from that peak.
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Digital Asset Research retweetledi
Jan 2025 top to Apr 2025 low = 34,918 point range.
Price becomes time and you get 349 days.
That lands right back on March 22.
This is what a real pressure window looks like. Multiple time factors clustering into one date.
Digital Asset Research@1995research
Gann called the squaring of price and time maybe his best invention We are now approaching a rare "Squaring of Price and Time" on BTC. The cycle began at the $73,808 high on March 13, 2024. This Sunday (March 22nd) marks exactly 738 days from that peak.
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Digital Asset Research retweetledi
Major tops in GOLD coincide with launching major bull moves in equities.
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Digital Asset Research retweetledi
BTC vs Gold is showing a conditional time/price area that it has historically bottomed between the 60 week time factor and deeply oversold weekly RSI. Notable that it has not kept pace with gold as a SOV over the last 10 years and is trading at a relative valuation to where it was in 2017
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Digital Asset Research retweetledi
The GOLD trade does not have as much left in the tank as people think. Macro topping process here historically. Maybe the precious metals super cycle is overblown and closer to an end than beginning. 10k gold? maybe in 10 more years.
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Digital Asset Research retweetledi
“March is undoubtedly signaling one of the most important months of the year.”
Digital Asset Research@1995research
March: A Critical Turning Point in This Cycle, open.substack.com/pub/digitalass…
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I’m about to publish the most important macro piece I’ve written to date.
It challenges some of the most widely accepted assumptions about gold, rates, the dollar, and stocks — and from what I can see, a huge number of investors are still positioned around the wrong macro narrative.
I see too many people getting this framework wrong in real time, which is exactly why I wrote this piece.
The implications could define where real wealth gets built over the next 5, 10, and even 20 years.
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff
10-year Treasury yields hit 4.4% for the first time since July 2025. But war, exploding debt and soaring inflation will drive yields much higher. Without big rate cuts and massive QE (a mistake), stocks and real estate will crash, resulting in a financial crisis worse than 2008.
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Here’s how we called it in real time
open.substack.com/pub/digitalass…
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