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Desmos
452 posts

Desmos
@1Desmos
the alpha you seek is within yourself.
Katılım Ağustos 2021
701 Takip Edilen140 Takipçiler

consensus on twitter seems to be:
1)we reverse back to gap
2)many tech stocks seems overextended
3)the move up was simply because of shorts covering....
4)monday will be red
Perhaps this is what you call a hated rally?
I agree that war hasn't been solved yet, but you can't just ignore what the market is telling you and stick to your bias...
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@RyshabTalks if I may ask, how does one even come up with a process? Any ideas where you can start from?
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@1Desmos It's been years of work. SO my methodology has a lot of layers now. And I have a model that implements the methodology with formulas and live data.
Here is an example section:

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If you are not a trader and have a fundamental set of rules based on which you invest, then, a stock has to go up 100% if it falls 50% is noise.
The stocks I have in my portfolio, have pulled back multiple times 50% and then went on to post 300% returns next.
Know what you own!
Review them constantly. Have a process and a deep understanding of it.
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Let's see if things hold till close but markets are showing a lot of resistance.
My stocks are starting to give the vibe they want to go, every time for the last few days markets tried to turn up, my holdings are having a knee jerk reaction up.
Change of character for me portfolio, which has been in a downtrend for 6 months now.
Early signs of life but looking promising.
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@taobanker agreed, thats what I'm thinking too, this war isn't about if Trump will retreat or not, it's more about the reopening the strait of hormuz and without this like you said nothing has really changed, but still allocated a tiny portion just in case it was actually the bottom
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@taobanker me too im complementing this, I'm still bearish but still went against my own reasoning and got back into certain positions, maybe my own bearish bias has been overextended... and I mean bottoms aren't supposed to be obvious right?
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Yeah to some degree the logic is correct... a blank rule to fade a rally is always risky... but the idea of the crux of the issue is no yet resolved is perfectly true.... however there are release valves through out the economic machine that will ''support'' equities.... low terminal rate, lower reals... values measures...etc..
Because this isnt a death blow the risk, its a shock... once it passes all is good.
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@marketbuyonly when did everything start to work out for you? Was it after leaning a particular concept/developing your edge, or was it all just trial and error?
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I have never paid for education, except for the time I downloaded some cracked Axia Future courses - thought they were not helpful. Everything has just been trial and error. Fail, fail, and fail again until I figure some of it out. Everyone figured it out differently, for me it was just failing and sucking so much, I ended up sucking less overtime.
Biggest factor is definitely the ability to afford to fail that many times without being homeless. As long as you can construct an environment where you can afford to fail, you might succeed sooner or later.
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@mndtrades congrats on the recent win! btw your discord link isnt working anymore.
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