
Sebastian Ramirez Falla
1.4K posts

Sebastian Ramirez Falla
@1Sebas145
🇨🇴
London, England Katılım Kasım 2019
496 Takip Edilen103 Takipçiler

Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi
Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi
Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi

@inigoezponda This one looked like a very attractive buy. Perhaps it will take a bit of time to resolve. In the meantime there are better options out there in the market.
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$CLA.AX Corporate Update: I learned the hard lesson of the Philippines. I’m down -33% in Celsius Resources since mid-January. I still believe the stock is cheap, but the market reflects reality. Sodor and Julito are attempting to take control of the MMCI subsidiary.
1. However, the situation is actually quite straightforward: they had the option to buy a 30% stake for just 43 mill of the economic interest in MCB, which expired on February 16. In hindsight, that was an obvious bargain. My view is that they didn’t act because the required funding wasn’t secured in time.
2. This issue will most likely be resolved in favor of $CLA. The uncertainty is timing. Here’s the key point: Sodor and Julito likely know they can no longer acquire the stake, but they can prolong the situation through appeals and litigation. The clear goal would be to pressure Celsius Resources into paying a settlement fee to end the dispute and move forward with the project.
3. Early May resolution will be critical and I hope it comes out in favor of Celsius Resources.

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Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi
Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi
Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi

$CRE.v @CRECORP
One of the cleanest potential lithium multi-bagger setups:
$2.2B USD after-tax NPV (8%) / 65.7% IRR FS
~$470M capex
Trading ~0.03–0.05x NAV
Fully permitted (federal + Québec + mining lease)
Rose West - Blue Sky exploration potential
Has a history of running 10x

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Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi

The URA / S&P 500 ratio is at a critical point.
After a strong relative move,
⚠️ the risk of a correction is real
📉 What the chart suggests:
We may be entering a phase where
👉 uranium underperforms the S&P 500
Structurally, this looks like a potential
👉 wave B within a larger corrective pattern
That implies:
→ short-term weakness
→ before the next major leg higher
🧠 Why this matters:
The URA/SPX ratio is not just a chart.
It’s a capital flow indicator:
Rising → money moving into uranium
Falling → capital rotating back to equities
⚖️ Context:
Uranium has already shown periods of strong outperformance vs equities
But corrections inside bull cycles are normal
Even recent data shows pullbacks in uranium miners despite solid fundamentals
🎯 The key idea:
This is not necessarily bearish.
👉 It’s structural rotation
A reset.
A pause.
Because if this structure plays out:
🚀 The next move could be much stronger
once the correction completes
💬 Bottom line:
Short term → risk of underperformance
Mid/long term → setup for expansion still intact
#Uranium #Commodities #Investing

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Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi

RT @PartTimeCharts: $NDX adjusted for M2 money supply.
The March panic was merely the Nasdaq highs being flipped into resistance.
The rea…
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Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi

Today’s drop in crude does not necessarily invalidate a broader bullish scenario. 🛢️
One possible interpretation is that an ABC correction may have completed with wave B.
If that is the case, what comes next may not be a structural breakdown, but rather a pullback toward the breakout line - a reset phase before a real upside move begins. 🔄
That would make technical sense:
- major breakouts do not always take off immediately
- they often need to pull back first
- test the broken level
- shake out conviction
- and only then begin the real advance 🚀
In that scenario, the sharpness of the decline would not be a negation of the pattern, but part of the process.
The key will be whether crude can find support around that former resistance zone and turn it into support. 👀
And there is another important implication:
weaker crude, at least temporarily, can also help ease costs across the mining sector, which would be positive for many companies if the decline holds.
#CrudeOil #Oil #MiningStocks

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Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi
Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi

@1Sebas145 Échale un ojo a mi canal de Youtube, tengo un vídeo para responder a esa pregunta mejor de lo que podría hacer con un tweet
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@sergidown Sergi, he escuchado tus podcast, dondee aconsejas empezar o educarme?
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Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi
Sebastian Ramirez Falla retweetledi

Estrategias rentables
Voy a simplificarte un paso: hoy en día creo que hay tres estrategias rentables para operar small caps. Las voy a nombrar a mi manera:
System Short (un buen referente aquí sería @sergidown y, en cierto modo, @Nico_G36).
Trend Following basado en reciclaje
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