21 Million Ways to Freedom

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21 Million Ways to Freedom

21 Million Ways to Freedom

@21MWTF

Nakamoto Offspring. Teacher of Mathematics/Science. Medical Specialist. Bitcoin student and educator.

Katılım Haziran 2009
157 Takip Edilen523 Takipçiler
21 Million Ways to Freedom
@Giovann35084111 It all holds value and no single metric, indicator, model has much predictive value short term. Its just a bad look to mock other analysts because you don't agree with their methodology. None of you have a 100% success rate or even close to it. I respect and value both of you.
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21 Million Ways to Freedom
@satsbaconmoto @intocryptoverse None of those successfully predicted short-mid term price action or cycle tops/bottoms, on top of the other failed "predictive" metrics like Puell, MVRVZ, HODL waves etc... The cycles have no driver like Earths orbit duration being 365...no fundamental reason for it. It just is.
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SB ⚡️🥓
SB ⚡️🥓@satsbaconmoto·
No – they stand stronger than ever and actually evolved. This is what on-chain shows now: 🔹 72% of all BTC is now illiquid — all-time high, per Glassnode, and the long term trend is down. 🔹 Since the 2024 halving, corporate treasuries bought BTC at 2.8x the rate miners produced it 🔹 Whales selling to entities with zero liquidation risk and infinite time horizon 🔹 Over 20M BTC mined. Less than 1M left to ever exist Supply shock is happening in slow motion while people stare at price charts. The 4-year cycle was always a supply reduction story. That mechanism is now dwarfed by institutional absorption. “All markets are cyclical” is not an argument. It’s a platitude. The question is what drives the cycle. When the driver structurally changes, the cycle changes with it. Keep watching.
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Benjamin Cowen
Benjamin Cowen@intocryptoverse·
The reason this four year cycle top for Bitcoin "feels different" is because this is the first major top BTC has had during a late business cycle environment. It explains why there was no alt season, why BTC has been bleeding to SPX, and why SPX has been bleeding to Gold. We got a glimpse of this type of environment in 2019 but then the pandemic causes a crisis which reset the business cycle. It also happened during the middle of a four year cycle for BTC, rather than at the end of one. This cycle has been more brutal because there has not been a crisis to allow the business cycle to end and for things to reset. So the business cycle keeps on limping along while high risk assets continue to bleed out to lower risk assets. And realistically we should not expect that trend to change until the business cycle ends.
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@satsbaconmoto @intocryptoverse On chain models failed this cycle. 4 year cycle was never related to miners or the halving. All markets are cyclical by nature and BTC is no different. 4 year cycle is not yet broken, so nothing to fix here. Supply shock theory has been mentioned for years now and has not occured
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SB ⚡️🥓@satsbaconmoto·
Respectfully – that's not it. The structure of Bitcoin itself has changed. While everyone screams bear market, tradable BTC on exchanges has dropped 28% year over year now below 2.7M BTC, a multi-year low. Miners in 2026 are irrelevant. They produce ~13,500 BTC/month. Institutions bought 81,200 BTC in February alone — 6x monthly supply in a single month. 🤯 Early whales sold to entities that cannot be liquidated and will never sell back. ETFs + Strategy represented nearly $44B in net spot demand in 2025 alone. Strategy is now targeting 1 million BTC. The 4-year cycle was a miner-driven, leverage-driven phenomenon. Both are losing relevance fast. Charts map the past. On-chain shows a supply shock building in real time. You can't cycle-top an asset being systematically removed from circulation. $BTC
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Matt (SHA/256)
Matt (SHA/256)@Matt_R_256·
@Rajatsoni What market cap do you expect or estimate by 2030? I'm guessing 15 trillion.
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Rajat Soni, CFA
Rajat Soni, CFA@Rajatsoni·
Don't listen to the people telling you 0.1 BTC won't change your life They haven't done the math, and they have lost touch with reality - they don't understand what "life changing money" is $MSTR has eliminated 7.6M people from ever accumulating 0.1 BTC In total, 210,000,000 people can own 0.1 BTC simultaneously if the entire supply was available MSTR eliminated 3.61% of 0.1 BTC holders by purchasing 7.6M parcels of 0.1 BTC (760,000 BTC) Do you get it?
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Joey
Joey@gothamhiphop·
WOW: Joey Bada$$ implies that he thinks JID wasn’t on ‘The Fall-Off’ bc Cole didn’t want to get bodied on his own record 👀 “Truth is dudes don’t be wanting to collab out of fear of getting bodied on they own record…This is exactly why you didn’t see JID on ‘The Fall-Off’…I loved the album but let’s be fr.” I wanted JID on the album too but damn I wasn’t expecting this sentiment from Joey
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@YSLONIKA A nobody with multi $billion empire. I'm not Jay's biggest fan but Drake couldn't even shine his shoes. Jay is bigger than music. Drake isn't. Keep hating.
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welp.@YSLONIKA·
“i’m fcking jay z” you’re literally a nobody outside of america, not a single Gen Z person can name 5 of your songs.. your biggest achievement in the last 30 years was marrying Beyoncé.
Kurrco@Kurrco

JAY-Z responds to claims that he chose Kendrick Lamar for the Super Bowl as a move to undermine Drake: “I chose the guy that was having a monster year, it wasn't in some sort of alliance to a battle... Like what? I’m f*cking Jay-Z.” (via GQ)

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Zach
Zach@alwaysaimbig·
I'm a Bitcoin maxi but find Kaspa interesting. Ultimately it only cost me a few hundred dollars to buy the same % of supply I own that represents my dream BTC stack. If it goes to $0 who cares
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SUDO
SUDO@Ed_L_P·
@21MWTF @alwaysaimbig @BitcoinMicropig There is no answer to "It can never be absolutely scarce because it wasn't the genesis of digital scarcity like bitcoin." Because it's just hilarious bullshit lmfao
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hulmeheights
hulmeheights@hulmeheights·
@Rajatsoni lol this is much worse than anything we’ve experienced before
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Rajat Soni, CFA
Rajat Soni, CFA@Rajatsoni·
Was sentiment around Bitcoin worse or better when FTX collapsed?
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@CryptoFeras When will u people learn that both time and price based capitulation matter? Price capitulation is almost done. We have a little more downside but spread over the next 6-8 months so it's going to be incredibly boring before that next pop.
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Kenneth A. Grimm ن "K. A. G. Sundaram"
@LauraLoomer @shivvnp Our first child had colic nearly 24/7 for his first year. Our pediatrician, who had 40 years of experience by then, said this happens in perhaps 1 in 3000 babies. 10-hour cries were common. I learned to sleep while walking the baby. There is nothing to do about it but wait.
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Laura Loomer
Laura Loomer@LauraLoomer·
Is there anything worse than a crying baby on a plane? I wish parents would control their children. It’s so disruptive. I refuse to believe a baby cries for 10 hours. At some point this is just bad parenting, right?
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Zach
Zach@alwaysaimbig·
@BitcoinMicropig It's a joke Not a dick Don't take it so hard
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SatsySiren
SatsySiren@SatsySiren·
Bitcoin is the hurdle rate. Do you really think #kaspa can beat it long term? $KAS.
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21 Million Ways to Freedom
@GTPro777 @Rajatsoni @SatsySiren It's a numbers game....SOL was the needle in haystack and nobody can find it without pure luck. Fact remains that there is no logic in altcoins. Its a gamble. The product/adoption/community means nothing for price. Bitcoin guarantees returns...the rest do not.
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21 Million Ways to Freedom
@SatsySiren Nothing beats the 👑 Something like Kas deserves no more than a 5% portfolio allocation.... pretty much applies to any altcoin
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