Sergio Cabrera

Feel free to drop any sports betting related questions. I’ll do my best to answer/help. 👇📝

@FabrizioRomano If I wanted to know about Griezmann’s posts on IG, I would follow him on IG.

📲 Antoine Griezmann on Instagram: “Is this picture too harsh?”.

@FabrizioRomano What ever happened to “innocent until proven guilty”?

🚨 BREAKING: Gianluca Prestianni will NOT play against Real Madrid, suspended by UEFA. Provisional suspension has been notified to Benfica today while investigation for the racism case with Vinicius Jr continues.

It’s never about a single bet.

I used to dislike some bets because the odds “weren’t good enough”. ▪️ As long as your bet has an edge (i.e. +EV) it’s a good bet. ▪️ Value can be found at any odds range.

I never win all my bets. I can never tell which ones will hit. The only thing I do know is that all my bets have an edge.

Today’s Sports Betting Reminder • Every piece of information about an event is already factored into the odds. • Sportsbooks follow sharp action and adjust their odds accordingly. • Plus, their odds will include the vig, this is the book’s profit margin.

Do you know how sportsbooks make money?

What does a profitable bet look like? ✅ +EV (Positive Expected Value): Bet only when the odds undervalue the true probability of an outcome. Spot mispriced lines by tracking dropping odds, sharp money often signals value. ✅ Best Available Odds (Line Shopping): Compare odds across multiple sportsbooks. Even a slight edge, like 1.90 vs. 1.88, boosts long-term profits. ✅ Stake = 1% Bankroll: Keep bets at 1% of your bankroll to manage risk and stay in the game through ups and downs.

Expected Value is a simple concept: It’s the average amount you’d expect to win (or lose) per bet if you could repeat it infinitely. If the EV is positive, you’re making money over time (doesn’t mean every bet wins, just that the math tilts in your favor).

You’ll become a profitable bettor once you understand nobody knows the future.

@BetfairExchange How come Celtic is favorite? Do you know something I don’t? 👀

It’s TIGHT at the top 🤏 🥇 Hearts Played: 27 | Points: 57 🥈 Rangers Played: 27 | Points: 55 🥉 Celtic Played: 26 | Points: 54 Who wins the Scottish Premiership? 🏆

@ESPNFC This is a perfect example of how motivation is correlated to performance. Atlético de Madrid is focused on their next match vs Brugge.

After throttling Barcelona in the Copa del Rey, Atletico Madrid get thrashed in LALIGA to Rayo Vallecano 😳 Anything can happen in football 👀

Pro Tip This isn’t over until the final whistle. Applicable to sports betting and personal life.

Is this Barcelona’s worst GK ever?

@FabrizioRomano Nottingham Forest must be the best example of how not to manage a club.

🚨🌳 BREAKING: Sean Dyche has been sacked by Nottingham Forest with immediate effect. #NFFC fire the coach after 4 months in charge.

You don’t need to bet on every single thing to become profitable. You need to identify the value in the market and take advantage of it. Making money sports betting isn’t exciting, that’s why 98% of gamblers pay the price.

@TheAthleticFC Why did Leicester had points deducted?

Ten years ago, Leicester City were two points clear at the top of the Premier League. They were FA Cup winners less than five years ago. Now, they are out of the Championship relegation zone only on goal difference having inexplicably surrendered a 3-0 lead against Southampton, who completed a remarkable comeback to win 4-3 at the King Power Stadium.

🧠 Real winners bet with an edge, not based on emotion. ‼️ 98% of gamblers don’t make money. 💸 Invest in your sports betting knowledge, learn how the betting industry works. 📲 Follow the right people: Those who talk about long-term, bankroll management, +EV. 💡 Your betting skill right now is irrelevant, what matters is the willingness to become a profitable bettor.

@ESPNFC How far is he willing to go? 😂

✅ Win vs. Man City ✅ Win vs. Arsenal ✅ Win vs. Fulham ✅ Win vs. Tottenham ❌ Draw vs. West Ham The haircut will have to wait 💔