AK4SustainableBudget 📊

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AK4SustainableBudget 📊

AK4SustainableBudget 📊

@AK4SB

A non-partisan project focused on helping develop and advocate for responsible state and federal fiscal policies.

Anchorage, AK Katılım Ağustos 2012
909 Takip Edilen883 Takipçiler
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
Through our involvement w/ @BudgetHawks we have b/c part of @FixUSorg, a project focused on developing ways to help bridge the divide in the country. As part of those efforts, FixUs has developed a "civility pledge" that we are adopting going forward as a standard on these pages.
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
An indirect expenditure is a "provision of state law that results in foregone revenue to the state" (i.e., a tax break or subsidy). DOR compiles a list every two years. The 2026 report was released earlier this month. Guess what? Even DOR included the S-corp loophole. #AKleg
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
The Wednesday Chart| To help better understand the primary market for ANS, we look at the supply to USWC refiners each Wed: YTD 2026 avg USWC (approx % of pre (2019)- and post (2022)-COVID levels): > Crude demand: 81% & 89%; > Domestic share: 84% & 97%. #akleg
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
Alaska is running $1.9+ billion deficits. Why? Ds (and some Rs) resist significant spending cuts for their supporters. Rs (and some Ds) resist eliminating significant tax subsidies for theirs. Caught in the crossfire? Middle-income #AKfams now paying a 5+% income tax. #akleg
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
The 8:35a Chart| Given the importance of Permanent Fund returns to #AKrev levels, we have developed a second morning chart comparing the S&P 500 5-, 3- & 1-yr returns to the PFC's. #akleg * 5-yr: S&P 13.13% v PFC 6.70% * 3-yr: S&P 20.35% v PFC 10.52% * 1-yr: S&P 21.79% v PFC 14.07%
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
The 8:30a Chart| To provide context to current $$oil, we publish daily (ex-Su) a running avg of FY27-34 $$ANS, Brent & WTI actual+futures. Projected ANS v. SPRING26 rev F'cast: > FY27 ⬆️ $10 (+$439mil) > FY28-34 ⬆️ $6 (avg annual +$224mil) #akleg
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
It is increasingly hard at both the national and state levels for Rs to claim they are the "fiscally responsible" party. They just grow the debt for different things. #akleg
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
Isn't this just a redressed version of Lesil's 2016 proposal? #akleg
Bill Walker@BillWalkerAk

☕️Coffee Talk☕️7/14/26☕️ “Dividend Options: A True Resource Dividend Proposal.” After listening to Alaskans across the state, Bill Walker and Randy Hoffbeck discuss a new proposal to create an Alaska Resource Dividend. The proposal would preserve an annual dividend funded from a dedicated share of resource production taxes rather than from the Permanent Fund Earnings Reserve. A minimum annual dividend of $1,000 would be guaranteed with the opportunity for future growth as resource revenues increase. With recent legislative discussions and proposals for no dividend or a $500 dividend, it would eliminate the debate that consumes every legislative session and provide Alaskans with a meaningful annual dividend they can count on.

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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
Alaska's oil revenue stream comprises four components: royalties, production taxes, property taxes, and the petroleum corporate income taxes. That is how the state achieves its Constitutional obligation to achieve "maximum benefit." #akleg The S-corp fix is to ensure that Hilcorp and other S-corps contribute the fourth component, like other corporations. Without it, the state isn't achieving the "maximum benefit" obligation with respect to their production.
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
The 8:35a Chart| Given the importance of Permanent Fund returns to #AKrev levels, we have developed a second morning chart comparing the S&P 500 5-, 3- & 1-yr returns to the PFC's. #akleg * 5-yr: S&P 13.08% v PFC 6.70% * 3-yr: S&P 20.16% v PFC 10.52% * 1-yr: S&P 21.50% v PFC 14.07%
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
The 8:30a Chart| To provide context to current $$oil, we publish daily (ex-Su) a running avg of FY27-34 $$ANS, Brent & WTI actual+futures. Projected ANS v. SPRING26 rev F'cast: > FY27 ⬆️ $10 (+$439mil) > FY28-34 ⬆️ $6 (avg annual +$207mil) #akleg
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
July Oil Mkt Rpts| While EIA and IEA project overall supply deficits this year, both continue to see huge supply surpluses for next year (2027), likely leading to a significant softening in prices. #akleg
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
In a sort of in terrorem claim, some argue that #akleg adoption of an S-corp fix for petroleum companies would require its application to all S-corps. That's false; the Alaska Supreme Court has long held that Alaska can tax petroleum corporations differently. law.justia.com/cases/alaska/s…
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
The 8:35a Chart| Given the importance of Permanent Fund returns to #AKrev levels, we have developed a second morning chart comparing the S&P 500 5-, 3- & 1-yr returns to the PFC's. #akleg * 5-yr: S&P 13.25% v PFC 6.70% * 3-yr: S&P 21.39% v PFC 10.52% * 1-yr: S&P 22.07% v PFC 14.07%
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
The 8:30a Chart| To provide context to current $$oil, we publish daily (ex-Su) a running avg of FY27-34 $$ANS, Brent & WTI actual+futures. Projected ANS v. SPRING26 rev F'cast: > FY27 ⬆️ $6 (+$263mil) > FY28-34 ⬆️ $5 (avg annual +$189mil) #akleg
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
The Monday Charts | Consistent with the approach explained at bit.ly/3QhAUju, each Monday we use current futures market prices to compare the projected #AKLNG in-state-only (Phase 1) and #AKLNG export (Phase 2) prices against market alternatives. #akleg
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
🤷‍♂️ In competitive global commodity markets, prices are generally determined by the cost of the marginal producer, not by the costs of every producer. Producers with lower costs simply earn larger profits at that price. Because oil & gas are global markets, the marginal producer is typically not located in Alaska. The incremental cost of the tax will simply reduce Hilcorp's profits.
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AnzuBird
AnzuBird@AnzubirdAK·
@AK4SB @BullseyeAk That's exactly how markets work but whats your point you were originally making the argument that the taxes were going to be layed on the stock holder thats somewhat if not mostly false in this case depending on a few factors - corporations dont pay taxes consumers do -
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AK4SustainableBudget 📊
AK4SustainableBudget 📊@AK4SB·
The argument that Hilcorp shouldn't be required to pay income tax because it has invested in development is odd. Producers have a legal obligation to develop the leases. The argument is basically the state should subsidize them (by foregoing taxes) for doing its job. 🤷‍♂️ #akleg
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