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Moreno ML Brandon Moreno takes on Lone’er Kavanagh. Moreno is coming off an unusual loss to Tatsuro Taira, where the fight concluded prematurely; however, Taira displayed clear grappling superiority, which was somewhat anticipated. In this scenario, we have Moreno, who is accustomed to competing at high altitudes, facing an opponent who is not, and who has never experienced the demands of a five-round bout. Moreno has occasionally struggled to elevate his performance when necessary; he often seems content to do just enough to secure a victory. This was evident in his match against Steve Erceg, where he appeared satisfied with merely exchanging strikes, making the contest appear competitive despite the statistics indicating a close fight. Furthermore, Moreno seems to have lost some of his killer instinct; typically, a fighter seeks to finish the match decisively and quickly. Currently, Moreno appears to be fighting too cautiously, engaging in a style where he strikes his opponent and then waits to defend against counterattacks, resembling a form of intense sparring. I am concerned that he may adopt this approach against a motivated Kavanagh, who has a significant opportunity to break into the top 10 of the division following a disappointing loss to Johnson. Once the fight reaches the third round, one should expect a noticeable disparity in output between the two fighters, as Kavanagh is not accustomed to competing at high altitudes, and his cardio issues are likely to manifest around that time. PICK- Brandon Moreno ML -197

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