Adam

今天市场的大涨就是最好的证明，标普盘中大涨2.5%，应该是今年数得上的涨幅。这样的大涨日，往往就在大跌之后发生。这也是我一直提醒大家不要底部割肉的原因。

基线预测： 1、这周末大概率不会打，继续扯皮，但是4月初一定会打，这个判断基于美国军事资产的部署（这周末不足以，4月初准备齐全），一定成立。 2、油气一定会涨，现在价格属于人为压制争取时间窗口，但即使明天海峡就完全通车，产量缺口（海湾地区和俄罗斯的基础设施都被不同程度破坏了）也无法马上弥补，何况战略储备也需要回补，供需是清晰的，任何价格操纵都不能改变物理规律，短缺起码维持到年底。 3、BTC继续下跌，长期看不到改善，短期没有驱动，受到MVWAP压制很明显。 4、下周来开可能更好，基于“1”，这周末不搞事下周可能市场更偏乐观（进一步被欺骗），做多乐观不一定成立，但是如果乐观了做反向一定成立。 5、噪音太多，只能搞低倍，赚快钱几乎不可能。

🚨 TRUMP: WE DONT NEED HORMUZ, IT DOESN'T AFFECT US AT ALL

🚨 Iran says Diego Garcia Ballistic missile Strike was another False Flag Operation by US and Israel A senior Iranian official told Al Jazeera that Iran was not responsible for the IRBM missile launches on the Diego Garcia and denied any involvement. Iran says this was done to create fear in Europe that Iranian missiles can now reach Europe and therefore it must join this war against Iran.

Biden: In my last year as president, we created 2.2 million additional jobs. Do you know how many jobs Trump has created his first year as president? 185,000 total, that is it.

BREAKING BREAKING 🔴🔴🔴 Trump: If Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP

Just thinking here out loud but , The problem with going down the chain from killing hardliner IRGC , to then killing Iran’s Basiji militia , ….to then killing Iranian police officers . You’re reaching a point where you’re no longer killing the leadership , you’re killing the Iranian people and the citizens families , many of whom are just trying to make a living and get by and manning a Basiji Militia checkpoint or police checkpoint doesn’t mean you want the Islamic republic in control. I dunno, what do you guys think ?