@jcrohsaine Reminds me of the old weekend update joke (from Norm?) about an election like this. "That's right, folks, my vote still wouldn't have mattered."
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Adam Zelizer
1.3K posts
Adam Zelizer
@AdamZelizer
Assistant professor of Political Economy at Chicago Harris interested in legislatures, RCTs, and locked room mysteries.
Chicago, IL Katılım Haziran 2014
307 Takip Edilen810 Takipçiler
Riker and Ordeshook might actually say it is rational to vote in the next primary election in my State Senate district...! (and before you ask, of course I voted in this one!)
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@kevin_mcnellis This is my hobby horse too. Glad to hear others share it.
BTW - when did the recorded votes start in the CoW? It was after the LRA of 1970, but did it start in 1970, or the following congress or session?
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Adam Zelizer retweetledi
My procedural hobby horse is that bringing back non-recorded votes could solve a lot of problems caused by polarization. Before 1970, there were not recorded votes in the Committee of the Whole, which allowed non-recorded votes on appropriations bills.
Jake Sherman@JakeSherman
THE HOUSE just funded DHS by voice vote. 76-day DHS shutdown is over. They didnt even take a recorded vote
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@jawillick PS - I will be using this exchange for my intro lecture tomorrow night about why our Master's students take classes on strategic thinking in public policy. Game theory ftw. Thanks!
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@jawillick Restating your 'main point' does not engage with the broader strategic implications of your suggestion. Think through the implications and other rules / institutions / incentives, and your suggestion achieves the opposite of what you say it does.
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Today’s column is on the uses of the filibuster—and a potential compromise no one would accept.
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@jawillick Unless you have a plan for lowering the threshold to override a veto, your thoughts on the effects of nuking the filibuster are confused.
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@jawillick Most importantly, nuking the filibuster for legislation doesn't support your argument. The President still has the veto. S majorities who oppose the President still face a 67 vote threshold; S majorities who align now have a 51 vote threshold. How does that empower the Senate?
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The reality all this does is make it easier for Congress to give the president what he wants. So I think it’s the opposite of what @jawillick says
Jason Willick@jawillick
Today’s column is on the uses of the filibuster—and a potential compromise no one would accept.
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@jawillick Lindsay Rogers' "The American Senate", published in 1926, argues the opposite, that the filibuster is crucial to Congress' independence from the President. Worth checking out.
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Adam Zelizer retweetledi
We are heartbroken to announce that Brewers icon & Baseball Hall of Famer Bob Uecker passed away today at the age of 90
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Adam Zelizer retweetledi
The Harris School of Public Policy is searching for an Assistant Instructional Professor (full time lecturer) to teach in its degree programs and coordinate its core classes. All are welcome to apply at apply.interfolio.com/161634. EOE/Vet/Disability.
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@annabellehutch Before the games I put the O/U on close games at 0.5 and took the under. Next round I’d say it’s 1.5 and I’m still taking the under.
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I actually like the 12 team playoff so far. It’s clear some teams didn’t look great today. But would y’all have known the before hand? Maybe for some, but the playoff just makes it clear who has it and who doesn’t.
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I'm no expert on healthcare, but I can imagine two political economy angles:
1) The medical community will fight these changes with all they've got.
2) Will cutting this spending lead to hospital closures in low-income / rural areas?
Marc Goldwein@MarcGoldwein
Here’s about $2 trillion, if you did the most aggressive version of each policy: 1) prevent Medicare Advantage ‘upcoding’ 2) pay hospitals the same as doctors offices 3) prevent states and hospitals from colluding to inflate their federal Medicaid match 4) end Medicare Advantage quality bonuses that go to all plans, pretty much regardless of quality 5) reduce excess post-acute care reimbursements in Medicare 6) restrict Medigap wrap-around plans that charge seniors big premiums and encourage unnecessary care 7) End reimbursents for bad debts 8) build on recent drug pricing reforms 9) reduce LIS copays for generic drugs and increase for name brand 10) fund cost sharing reductions directly instead of through crazy-quilt “silver loading”
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@mbarber83 And if one member dies, another shall be sacrificed to preserve the median voter.
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I would like a constitutional amendment making it illegal for any legislature to have an even number of seats.
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If this tactic is valid, Biden and the current Democratic Senate could use it now to preemptively fill any SCOTUS vacancies that arise during Trump's term (or, for that matter, until the end of time).
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@carlosodio Thanks! I'm curious if you can speak to a pet theory - that the immigration discussion has shifted from 2016. It was primarily about Mexican immigration, but is now South American (Venezuelan in particular). Might that explain shifts in Trump support among some Latino voters?
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@AdamZelizer Sorry, implied in chart. Lawrence is mostly Dominican, RGV is Tejano, Osceola & PA are PR, Broward is South American, WI is Mexican-American etc.
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Sharing a preliminary, step-back look at Latino shifts based on precincts & dense locales…
Before I do, remember: we should study big Latino shifts, but that is separate from a diagnosis of how Trump won, which can't be reduced to any single demo.
x.com/carlosodio/sta…
Carlos Odio@carlosodio
@NickRiccardi We can tell two stories -- (1) huge, historic Latino swings, (2) uniform swing across demos that actually determined the election -- without conflating them. That's the kind of political education we need from our reporters & political scientists.
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