Stephen Ayers

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AI capex spend is expected to go to "$3 to $4 trillion annually" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. You're not bullish enough. And it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom: -> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics. -> $SOI controls the AI buildout with silicon photonics. -> $SIVE controls laser chokepoints for CPO. -> $IQE controls Western epiwafer supply chains for photonics. All these started off as tiny companies, yet the trillions of projected capex gradually upward to them.  There's many more in other industries as well. -> AI Capex flows to Neoclouds like $NBIS. -> AI Capex flows to memory like $MU and $SNDK. And many of the "commodity" materials or "science projects" for the past 20 years now a sudden shift in exponential TAM expansion. We're witnessing the next industrial revolution with Artificial Intelligence + Physical AI.

People think they missed the memory trade. I don’t think they have even seen the middle of it. Right before the AI boom hit $MU, $SNDK, and $SK Hynix all cut production. The memory cycle had been brutal. Prices were collapsing. The rational move was to slow output and wait for demand to recover. Then ChatGPT happened. Then agentic AI happened. Then every hyperscaler on earth started building data centers at a scale nobody had ever planned for. Memory demand exploded overnight and the companies that make it had just deliberately slowed their production lines. You cannot turn a semiconductor fab back on like a light switch. These are multi-year buildouts. The fabs being built today do not reach full production until 2028 to 2030. That is the structural story. A demand curve that compounds every year with AI and a supply response that is years behind it. Now look at the valuations. $MU trades at roughly 10x forward earnings despite 196% revenue growth and 75% gross margins. $SNDK is still cheap relative to its locked in revenue commitments. $SK Hynix is printing $26 billion in operating profit per quarter on an HBM monopoly and still trades at a discount to US peers. The forward multiples on these companies do not reflect a shortage that runs through 2029. $DRAM is the cleanest way to own all of it. One ticker. Every single company within wins from the same structural imbalance. The shortage created the trade. The valuations keep it going.

This was 7 months ago btw

EVERY $PLTR investor should watch this. My primary scenario is one final squeeze higher, potentially pushing the stock into the $240–$312 zone. But the air is definitely getting thinner. An immediate downside move without a new ATH is currently my alternative with a probability of around 40%. The setup is becoming increasingly stretched. Will we get one last $PLTR squeeze?

Quantum names are ripping right now after the Trump administration reportedly committed $2B to quantum computing: • $INFQ +34% • $QBTS +23% • $RGTI +21% • $QUBT +15% • $IONQ +8%

DUMP: $430,000,000,000 wiped out from Gold and Silver in just 60 MINUTES.

European quantum/optical/glass chokepoints go BRRR? $ALRIB +8.35% $LPK +3.21% $IQE +5.68% $SOI +4.98% As a side thought, it’s a nice vote of confidence to retail that the LPKF CEO bought shares off the market. More CEOs should do the same, even if it’s small.

Holy shit. Turkey’s 10Y bond yield just jumped to 33.63%. The reason is wild…

$BTC is still holding above the $75,000-$76,000 support zone. As long as this holds, I'm expecting a rally towards $79,500-$80,000.

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