Alan Ferris

131 posts

Alan Ferris

Alan Ferris

@AlanLFerris

MSE Graduate Student NC State University

Katılım Mayıs 2020
90 Takip Edilen34 Takipçiler
Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats It’s strange because even 2021 and 2024 didn’t have as good offensive team stats as this group does. Yes, they may have played slightly better comp to this point but not significantly. Killshot rate definitely points to reliance on big innings.
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
State is still at nearly 2 home runs per game but it feels shaky. Yesterday was Nixon’s 2nd. It’s boom or bust: 4 other regulars have hit 1 while the other four have 5+. Just went 14 innings without an extra base hit.
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@PackUniforms Hope we get to see the red with Wolfpack script this year. Weird we haven’t yet considering it was new last year.
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats Might have a 20/20 season, not sure if a state guy has done that before.
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
I have no clue what to make of any of the bats right now but I’m in on what Ty Head is doing. Slashing 300/500/780; 178 wRC+ and .536 wOBA while a .195 BABIP is dragging him down. 26% BBs, 4% Ks and 55% fly balls are improved from last year when they were good to begin with
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats I’m concerned Ryan’s bat won’t be enough to make up for the defensive inconsistency we’ve seen. He deserves the long leash with his profile, but I’m also high on Serrano and been impressed with what I’ve seen so far.
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
Too early to look at numbers but I can't help myself so looked at underlying data to do some buy/sell. Buying: Ty Head Dudan Rett Johnson Lanphere Selling: Sherman Johnson (BABIP) Ryan (K rate) Hemric (BB%, BABIP) Some of both: Consiglio Bargo
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Gary Hahn’s Burner
Gary Hahn’s Burner@nba__whiteboy·
This is a no brainer man. They’d literally sell so many hats with a new baseball specific logo
Gary Hahn’s Burner tweet media
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats Why has there been no word on Wiggins in any of the D1 reports? Seems strange that he wouldn't be mentioned at all considering his profile.
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
Awesome website that analyzes team strength. This model has State 27th, projected for 16 ACC wins and has 2013 as Avent’s best team by a mile. Also says if Wiggins hits leadoff all year, State is guaranteed to host. Wow! pearatings.com/cbase/d1/team-…
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats Seems like first four have would be locks. Wouldnt be surprised if Rett gets a look at that last spot.
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
Great to see college baseball back on the time line. State had a logjam on the corners, 5 spots for these options: 1) .365/.462/.533 2) .279/.329/.498 3) .271/.462/.500 4) .272/.366/.559 5) .241/.313/.382 6) .256/.454/.414 7) FR Rett Johnson who Avent loves
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats Honestly the hit rate on the under the radar 3 stars is probably higher as of late. This is probably the lowest risk method of doing things, with a heavy emphasis on portal. Does limit the upside.
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
As a proponent of the importance of stars in recruiting, it stings to not land a four-star in this class. At the same time, look at the recent output from the best recruits State has landed… I don’t blame them for not wanting to pay up for those guys
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats Let Texas completely dictate what we did offensively. We should be attempting 30 threes a night.
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
The other team shoots like that, you tip your hat and move on defensively. Offense needs to keep you attached and they didn’t, that was terrible shot selection and shot-making. 8/15 layups 13 midrange attempts 5 threes attempted 8% TOs but only 1.05 PPP, awful
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats The way people talking you would think we were 300th in allowed offensive rebounding. We’re close to 3% better than wades teams have ever been at LSU or McNeese.
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
State's four factors on the defensive side in each of the four games so far.
Wolfpack Stats tweet media
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats Torvik has us at 18th offensively and Miya has 25th defensively. Worst case has us mid thirties offensively and 68 defense. Ceiling going to be determined by the defense it seems.
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
Kenpom has State 38th and 4th in the ACC. 34th on offense, 36th on defense. Torvik, Miya and Kenpom all have State in the 25-40 range
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
I have a lot of Terrell Anderson stock
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
UVA destroyed Coastal but stats didn’t indicate a 6 TD bloodbath: Averaged 5.7 YPP, allowed 3.8 Won 22/32 third downs 5.2 points/redzone trip, allowed 3.5 +3 in turnovers, recovered 5/6 fumbles 7 explosives, allowed 5 4 TFLs, 3 allowed 4.2 YPC vs 3.4 Due for negative regression
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@TRnayouborn @ncstatestats D1 baseball has synergy stats going back to 2023 that look at defensive runs saved and WAR along with a bunch of other info.
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CP1887
CP1887@TRnayouborn·
@AlanLFerris @ncstatestats Awesome stat. Where did you find the data to do this comparison? Would love to look at the breakdown
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
Three main position player losses are Sosa, DeCriscio and Hogue. They totaled 6.65 WAR. They’ve more or less been replaced by Bargo, Wiggins and Peifer who totaled 5.97 WAR last year and 13.92 in their career. Easily State’s best portal cycle to this point
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
Bargo has been a full time player in the SEC for 3 years. Known commodity and consistent with 5.3 career WAR. Power is his calling card with 27 homers and 56 XBH in his career. K rate is high at 26% but you live with it, should be a plug and play middle of the order bat
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tom livolsi
tom livolsi@wolfpacktom·
Gonna need an explanation here @johnnieO . Spotted in Beaufort, NC. Turrrble
tom livolsi tweet media
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Alan Ferris
Alan Ferris@AlanLFerris·
@ncstatestats Think those 4 led the team in exit velo too. Any guys for in the past for state have a big jump in flyball%?
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
Offensive needs: 1) add a lower level portal bat to mash at DH 2) Nixon and Head to run. 20 combined steals needs to triple 3) Lanphere, McHugh, Novy, Fraasman combined for 22 HRs and had the 4 highest GB% on the team. Those 4 specifically need to elevate the ball
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Wolfpack Stats
Wolfpack Stats@ncstatestats·
MLB draft starts tomorrow. As always, anybody picked in the first 10 rounds is gone. 11th round and later is when it gets interesting
Wolfpack Stats tweet media
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