Albert Engst

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U.S. President Donald Trump stated on the 20th that withdrawing American troops stationed in Spain and Germany is "reasonable." Trump claimed that some U.S. political figures who had long supported NATO are now expressing dissatisfaction with the alliance.

On March 20, local time, President Donald Trump stated that he believes Israel will be ready to end the conflict with Iran when the United States is. When asked if Israel is prepared to end the war against Iran once the U.S. completes its military operations, Trump replied, "I think so." Trump stated that he is not interested in a ceasefire with Iran. Speaking before leaving the White House for Florida, Trump said: "We can have a dialogue, but I don’t want a ceasefire. You know, you don’t do a ceasefire when you’re totally destroying the other side." Trump claimed, "They have no navy, no air force, they have no equipment left." Regarding assistance from the United Kingdom, Trump remarked that the UK was slow to react and should have moved faster. On March 20, local time, the British government authorized the United States to use military bases within the UK to "conduct strikes against Iranian missile facilities used to target shipping in the Strait of Hormuz."

On March 20, local time, the three major U.S. stock indices closed lower across the board, with the Dow falling 0.97%, the Nasdaq dropping 2.01%, and the S&P 500 declining 1.51%.

On March 19 local time, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard acknowledged during a hearing before the House Intelligence Committee that the objectives of the United States and Israel in the war against Iran are not aligned. She noted that Israel’s focus is on "disabling the Iranian leadership," while the goals set by President Trump are "focused on destroying Iran’s ballistic missile program and naval forces."

On March 18, local time, U.S. officials stated that following the Israeli strike on Iran’s South Pars gas field, President Trump expressed that he "does not want to see further attacks against Iranian energy facilities." U.S. officials noted that Trump was informed in advance of Israel’s plan to strike the South Pars field and voiced his support, intending to send a message to Iran as a "response to its actions blocking the Strait of Hormuz." According to U.S. officials, Trump believes that "Iran has gotten the message," and therefore he currently opposes continued strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure. However, depending on Iran’s future conduct in the strategic waterway, Trump may once again consider targeting additional Iranian energy facilities.

The Federal Reserve announced on the 18th that it would maintain the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%. The move was in line with market expectations. The Federal Reserve noted that developments in the Middle East create uncertainty regarding their impact on the U.S. economy. The Fed stated that in determining whether and when to adjust interest rates in the future, the Committee will comprehensively assess incoming economic data, the evolving economic outlook, and the balance of risks.

On March 17, local time, the U.S. State Department requested all overseas embassies worldwide to "immediately" conduct security assessments, citing ongoing tensions in the Middle East and the potential for spillover effects.

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On March 17, local time, U.S. President Donald Trump once again expressed his dissatisfaction with NATO at the White House. Trump stated that whether the United States should withdraw from NATO is "certainly something we should be looking at." When asked if he is re-evaluating the U.S. relationship with NATO or even considering a withdrawal, Trump said: "It’s something we should look at, and I don’t need Congress to make that decision." However, he added at the same time that there are currently "no specific plans," but he is "not happy" with the status quo. In recent days, President Trump has repeatedly proposed that European countries, as well as Japan and South Korea, assist the U.S. in jointly ensuring the safety of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. He has pressured NATO allies, stating that if NATO cannot assist the U.S. in ensuring normal passage through the strait, they will face "very bad" consequences. However, Trump told the media at the White House on the 16th that some countries were "not keen" on the U.S. call. Earlier on the 17th, Trump again criticized NATO allies on his personal social media platform, stating on the matter that the United States no longer needs or desires the assistance of NATO countries.

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On March 16, local time, President Donald Trump stated that the United States has struck over 7,000 targets across Iran, primarily hitting commercial and military sites. He noted that the full-scale military campaign has continued in force over the past few days, with three missile and drone manufacturing facilities struck today. Discussing the Strait of Hormuz, Trump stated that the U.S. has destroyed 30 mine-laying ships, though it remains uncertain whether any mines have actually been deployed. Trump added that he does not expect much further engagement, as Iran has very little ammunition left.

On the night of March 15, local time, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that the United States is in discussions with other countries to jointly ensure the safety of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, but that he still does not intend to "declare an end" to military operations against Iran. Trump answered media questions aboard the presidential aircraft "Air Force One" earlier that day while returning to Washington from Florida. He stated that the U.S. is in talks with other nations to jointly secure the Strait of Hormuz, with about seven countries involved; the U.S. has "received some positive responses," though a small number of countries have indicated they "would rather not get involved." Trump declined to disclose which specific countries the U.S. government had contacted. Trump further claimed that, in his view, the United States has "basically defeated Iran" and that the military results have been "incredible," adding, "Maybe they can still organize sporadic counterattacks, but they won't make much of a wave." He noted that the U.S. launched a surprise attack on Kharg Island, leaving only "that corner" where the oil pipelines meet, and that the U.S. could strike the island again at any time. Despite touting the U.S. military’s successes, when asked if he was ready to declare victory, Trump gave a negative response. Trump stated that Iran has been so severely damaged that even if operations were halted now, it would take at least ten years or longer to rebuild. "However, I still don't intend to declare an end to it just yet," he said. Trump asserted that the Iranian side is "desperate to negotiate" and called Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi’s statement about never requesting negotiations "fake news." Trump denied any friction between the U.S. and Israel, saying he has a great relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Trump also mentioned that he would settle the Iran issue before dealing with Cuba. Regarding Cuba, he said there will be "movement very soon."

Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar stated on the 15th that Israel and the United States share a common resolve and "will continue to fight Iran until our goals are achieved."

On March 14 local time, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that the U.S. strikes on Iran's Kharg Island have "completely destroyed" a large portion of the island, adding, "We might bomb it a couple more times just for fun." In an interview, Trump confirmed that the U.S. military had launched the attack on Kharg Island, stating: "We totally wiped it out. Just, as you know, I didn't touch anything to do with energy lines because that would take years to rebuild." Kharg Island is a strategic island off the coast of Iran, housing terminals responsible for the majority of the country's oil exports. Regarding the military operation against Iran, Trump also remarked: "We’ve destroyed most of their missiles. Destroyed most of their drones. Pretty much destroyed their ability to make missiles and drones. Within two days, it’ll be completely finished." U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) stated on the 14th that the U.S. military conducted a massive strike on Kharg Island on the night of the 13th, with over 90 military targets on the island being "successfully engaged." The U.S. military destroyed military targets such as Iranian naval mine storage facilities and missile storage bunkers but "spared" the oil infrastructure. According to Iranian sources on the 14th, the situation on Kharg Island has been brought under control, and defense systems were restarted shortly after the attack. The attackers failed to achieve their intended strategic objectives. On the same day, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi reiterated that if Iran's oil and energy infrastructure were to become targets, the Iranian side would certainly retaliate.

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