Albulipe

663 posts

Albulipe

Albulipe

@Albulipe1

Kan't descartes reason.

Katılım Mart 2019
1 Takip Edilen5 Takipçiler
Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@alz_zyd_ beyond what highly conditional (and conditioned) models are able to reflect? It may fail at this stage. (2/2)
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@alz_zyd_ What are the necessary elements of a science to you? That it has empirically testable hypotheses? Check for economics. That it makes falsifiable predictions? Check. That it has a rigorous methodological toolkit? Check. That it advances our understanding of the world (1/2)
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alz
alz@alz_zyd_·
The problem with macro-development is that it is not a science. Recently, economists increasingly like pretending their field is a science, meaning macro-development has ceded lots of ground to the much more scientific, but much less useful, field of micro-development
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

Good thread. Lots of development economists study growth policies. The problem is that evidence for any of them is very shaky. The people who say "Let's focus on the big questions" actually just want big sweeping theories that no one can prove or disprove.

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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@elliotismz @DecoloniseNow @vicijlo scholarly effort, a person as open-minded and curious as Jesús would approach the work without bias, even if he didn't like Marx or Marxism. In fact, he would do so all the more in this case as a personal challenge to himself. Jesús is all about learning. In order to learn (2/3)
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victor loxen
victor loxen@vicijlo·
Gerade die ersten 100 slides durchgesehen: das ist ein so wohlwollendes, im Ganzen vertretbares und (geisteswissenschaftlich) kenntnisreiches treatment, wie ich es aus mainstream economics an einer amerikanischen Uni nicht erwartet hätte.
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde@JesusFerna7026

Since I have posted so much on Marx vs. Weber, modernity, and development over the last few weeks, I have posted an updated slide deck of my lectures on Karl Marx and the Marxian Tradition (together with @ferarteaga) here: sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/ET_3_… This is a long deck: 437 slides in the last compilation! (It also takes a few seconds to upload.) If I were to teach it carefully, with plenty of class discussion, I would require a whole semester. Even then, some topics (e.g., the Frankfurt School) receive only a cursory treatment because I focus more on economics and political economy, broadly construed. I hope to extend the discussion of those someday. However, I cover topics rarely seen in these courses, such as Hans-Georg Backhaus and the Neue Marx-Lektüre, because most of the work is not translated into English and must be read in the original German. I don’t have an equivalent slide deck on Max Weber, as I haven’t lectured on him. Hopefully, one day I will. Comments and feedback are very welcome.

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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@elliotismz @DecoloniseNow @vicijlo No, these slides are good because the author is genuinely open-minded and curious and wouldn't dismiss (or support) anything just because of its association with a particular school of thought. Such reasoning is for lame people who decide what they like based on superficialities.
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elliotism
elliotism@elliotismz·
@DecoloniseNow @vicijlo Ich glaube das kommt teilweise davon, dass OP die analytischen Marxisten echt gut leiden kann und folglich keine Notwendigkeit darin sieht, die gesamte Tradition abzulehnen. Was ja durchaus lobenswert ist
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@vicijlo eliciting emotional rather than intellectual agreement. We read and nod along because they say the right things, and it feels good to agree with obvious moral truths. Yet all the while we have to suspend our awareness of just how fluffy the offered argument really is. (3/3)
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@vicijlo not, how do they differ? What does 'overcoming neoliberalism' actually mean and entail? Complex concepts are explained by other complex concepts, and we end up in a chain of vagueness. While texts like this one are always smartly written, they invariably operate by (2/3)
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victor loxen
victor loxen@vicijlo·
Sperber in der neuen New Left Review:
victor loxen tweet media
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@JesusFerna7026 Jesús, is there an example of a country that got rich, such as South Korea, without industrialising? Or can the question of getting rich historically be reduced to a question about industrialisation? (Possibly not as a sufficient condition, see the USSR, but as a necessary one.)
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde@JesusFerna7026·
A fundamental lesson from my posts these last two weeks on modernization, industrial policy, and development is that development economics should be about understanding why South Korea got rich but Bolivia did not. The current field has largely given up on that question. Sharply identified RCTs on small micro programs are a fine way to publish in the AER and get tenure at a fancy university, but a profession that knows everything about microfinance impact evaluations and almost nothing about industrialization has misallocated its own intellectual capital on a pretty heroic scale. Four images of Seoul:
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde tweet media
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@BachmannRudi He's just so good, isn't he? I would say that many of his tweets about economics, economic history, and the social sciences more broadly are among the most interesting in these fields on this platform (at least among people with enough reach for me to be aware of them).
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Rudi Bachmann
Rudi Bachmann@BachmannRudi·
““Degrowth” is only for sociology lecturers with bad hairdos. Nobody with half a brain takes it seriously.” Jesus on 🔥
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde@JesusFerna7026

Since today is May Day, it would be fun to show how modernity and capitalism are related yet distinct by analyzing the video of the Soviet Anthem that was broadcast twice a day on Soviet State TV around 1984. I do this exercise with my students at UPenn when we cover the economic history of the Soviet Union (yes, I spent too much time covering it every semester), and they always enjoy it quite a bit. youtube.com/watch?v=rHomET… The video loops twice over the Anthem, once with subtitles in Russian and English and once with subtitles in Russian and Spanish. We open with a shot of the Kremlin in Moscow, and we are told that we have “An unbreakable union of free republics, The Great Rus’ has sealed forever.” There you have it: right off the bat, nationalism, a fundamental aspect of modernity. Yes, we are free republics, but the Russians are really in charge. If you are Georgian or Latvian, smile and accept your destiny. If the 20th century taught us anything, it is that Marx got it wrong: religion is not the opium of the masses; nationalism is the crack cocaine, much more powerful and addictive. Then we switch to the ultimate symbols of modernity: a rocket about to launch (yes, a bit of a phallic symbol right there), a gigantic steelworks (nothing a good communist loves more than steel) with a manly man working on it (gendered forms of labor), and oil drills (fossil capital and CO2 emissions all around; wasn’t capitalism supposed to be about fossil fuels? Well, never mind). We continue with more manly men, dirty from hard but very manly work, building pipelines, big dams that dominate nature, trains, and nuclear power plants. No tree-hugging here: socialism is about exploiting nature, and you should get the point! Now that we have established that this business of the Soviet Union is a creation of the Russians to quickly industrialize the land and dominate nature, we move on to show what we get out of it. First, a hospital that gives strength to the people (picking a child delivery is not casual either), a cosmonaut, and the rocket, finally firing off! We are achieving, people! A good moment to loop back into history: the October Revolution (shots from Eisenstein’s movie), our holy father, Lenin, and how he led to more factories, more dams, and our ultimate legitimizing instrument: victory over fascism in World War II. This seems a good moment to pivot to the modern Soviet armed forces: jets, a Victor-class nuclear submarine, paratroopers, and frontier guards (do not think about leaving without a permit! The home of the free is, more than anything, home). Well, it is time to go back to the farmers now. We start with a handsome Russian farmer, and then we have a couple of Central Asians (not many minorities so far in the video, so we need some diversity casting) with cotton and grain from the big plains of Asia (talking about ecological degradation, nothing beats what the Soviet Union did with cotton). Next, some miscellaneous accomplishments: a nuclear icebreaker (I believe it is from the Arktika class; yes, a true communist loves nuclear power; renewables are for petit bourgeois professors of English in California who believe in silly “degrowth” ideas), health and education services for minorities, and rail tracks. Time to return to manly men building manly things like trucks and ships, to introduce Andropov, addressing all of us under Lenin’s statue (a fantastic shot), and to the May Day parade (this is why I am showing this video today), with a final close-up of the Lenin banner. We wrap by returning to the very beginning: the Kremlin. As a piece of propaganda, this is magnificent work. The music by Alexander Vasilyevich Alexandrov is moving, classical but not stuffy; the lyrics (1977 version) get all the messages across, and the selection of visual themes has been curated with incredible care. I like to show propaganda videos of regimes (including those from other totalitarian regimes) because they document how the regime wanted to be seen. I am not the one selecting the message; the Soviet Union leadership is. And it is selecting a message of modernity: big factories, rockets, hospitals, nuclear power, and oil wells. If your analytic framework cannot distinguish between modernity and capitalism, as most social theory cannot today, you are at a deep loss when trying to understand the Soviet Union. You are even more at a loss to understand why socialism was so attractive in the 20th century. Socialism promised underdeveloped countries a faster route to modernity. If you were a young Honduran in 1960 or a young Egyptian in 1962, you fell in love with socialism because you thought it could deliver modernity faster and better. Socialism was the ultimate engine of modernity. “Degrowth” is only for sociology lecturers with bad hairdos. Nobody with half a brain takes it seriously. But most contemporary social theorists, which are activists, not scholars any longer, are only interested in criticizing capitalism, so they pile onto it a list of flaws, including nationalism, fossil fuel consumption, the use of nuclear power, the gendered division of labor, bureaucratic gigantism, inequality of income, wealth, and power, and many other phenomena that, at their very core, are about modernity, not about capitalism per se. Their own ideological narrowness leads to a lack of nuance and theoretical blind alleys that are driving most of social theory to absolute irrelevance. It is a pity, because we need social theory more than ever.

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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@SaibotTN @schnellenbachj Mankiw - Principles of Economics. Or Blanchard - Macroeconomics. Or the slides of any first semester introductory course on economics. You'll find plenty online.
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Tobias N
Tobias N@SaibotTN·
@schnellenbachj Was kann/sollte man sich als Laie denn stattdessen zu Gemüte führen?
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Jan Schnellenbach 🇺🇦🇮🇱
3sat hat eine Wissenschafts-Talkshow. Nicht zum ersten Mal wird dort heute esoterischer Quatsch von den obskuren Rändern der Ökonomik (heute: Donut-Ökonomie) als Stand des Wissens verkauft. Was soll das?
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@GautiEggertsson @JesusFerna7026 @paulnovosad @asymmetricinfo That's one way to think about it. However, you could also argue that it's precisely the fact that Chinese is not a phonetic language that makes it equally accessible as a common language for people from completely different linguistic backgrounds. Very efficient!
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde@JesusFerna7026·
A couple of days ago, Megan McArdle (@asymmetricinfo) posted about how she uses LLMs in her journalism: research, transcription, fact-checking, sharpening questions, compressing ancillary tasks, etc. The reaction from some quarters included calls for her dismissal, accusations of fraud, and moral outrage galore. This is a good reminder of why Karl Marx is useful: “It is not the consciousness of men that determines their being, but, on the contrary, their social being that determines their consciousness.” People’s moral positions on LLMs track their position in the relations of production with remarkable precision. A senior journalist who can use LLMs to become more productive is harder to replace. But a junior journalist or an adjunct professor whose work is now much easier to replace has every incentive to find moral arguments against LLMs or to exaggerate their flaws. Narratives follow economics, not the other way around. The calls for McArdle’s removal aren’t about journalistic integrity; they’re about defending a labor market position that’s becoming hard to justify. And framing that defense as a moral stance is just shifting the argument into a territory where the author feels more comfortable: moral judgments. Oldest trick in the book. Bourdieu would call it a field strategy: when you cannot win on competence, you redefine the game so that the relevant capital is moral authority rather than productivity. The people loudest about the ethics of LLMs are, not coincidentally, the people with the most to lose from them.
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde tweet media
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Jona Salome K.
Jona Salome K.@JonaSalKupper·
♦️Was wäre die linksintellektuelle BRD ohne den wissenschaftlichen Suhrkamp Verlag? Jetzt wird ein Band dem gestrandeten Wal Timmy gewidmet. Das Inaltsverzeichnis ist vielversprechend.
Jona Salome K. tweet media
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@Chaos_x33 @MRaZiNoHe @schnellenbachj @Schorch_D_W dummerweise gewesen, dass alle Produkte und Dienstleistungen aus dem DM-Bereich (d. h. Westdeutschland) im Ostmarkgebiet auch dreimal so teuer gewesen wären: Jeans, Elektroartikel, Computer, Autos, Kosmetika, West-Lebensmittel – alles dreimal teurer. Ob das unter dem (3/4)
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@GautiEggertsson @JesusFerna7026 @paulnovosad @asymmetricinfo I'd say whether you think it's logically inconsistent for the spelling and pronunciation of a word to differ depends on whether you think words are self-contained entities or whether their attributes are at least partially informed by their context. Thanks for the explanation!
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Gauti Eggertsson 🇺🇦
Gauti Eggertsson 🇺🇦@GautiEggertsson·
My son was 7 at the time(!) He was also very dissatisfied with the fact that the distributive property was taken as given in math as opposed to being shown explicitly why it was true. So I guess he was very stubborn and insistent in internal logic at the time. He felt that writing should logically document how a word sounded, so it made then no sense to him that the same sounding word would be written in multiple ways. I tought he had a point at the time, realising how much easier it was to write in my own mother language.
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@GautiEggertsson @JesusFerna7026 @paulnovosad @asymmetricinfo such as "napkin", or "lavatory" instead of "toilet", or "spectacles" instead of "glasses". However, I'm still curious as to why you (or your son) think it is illogical for a language to contain words that are spelled the same but pronounced differently, or vice versa. (2/2)
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Albulipe
Albulipe@Albulipe1·
@GautiEggertsson @JesusFerna7026 @paulnovosad @asymmetricinfo Thanks for these interesting thoughts. Picking up on your last sentence, English, being the melting-pot language that it is, is indeed fascinating in that it allows a speaker to distinguish themselves by using fancy words such as "serviette" instead of more pedestrian words (1/2)
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