Alexandru D. Moise

Together with @alexdmoise & @ZTruchlewski we propose to look at the off-diagonal in preferences for EU polity building and specific policies. We then analyse a wealth of data on public attitudes in 4 policy domains and how they have evolved over the course of the war.

Privatization reforms have a bitter aftertaste. New paper out in @jepp_journal w @PopicTamara We show that privatization leads to worse evaluations of health systems down the line, despite initial optimism. Proximity to policy is key, ideology less so tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

🎯 Want to learn about regression analysis using R? 👇 🚀 Join the #ecprms online course 💻 Applied Regression Analysis: Estimation, Diagnostics, and Modelling 👩‍🏫 @alexdmoise 📆 24–28 Mar 🚨 Register by Fri 24 Jan ecpr.eu/Events/Event/P…

🚨 Final chance to register 🚨 🚀 #ecprms online course 💻 Applied Regression Analysis: Estimation, Diagnostics, and Modelling 🧑‍🏫 @alexdmoise 🎯 Learn about regression analysis using R 📆 24–28 Mar 👇 Secure your space now ecpr.eu/Events/Event/P…

Honored to receive the Gordon Smith and Vincent Wright Memorial Prize from @WEPsocial, with @JamesRDennison and Hanspeter Kriesi. We show a spill-over from support for Ukrainian to other refugee groups - both come from attitudes to the war. @ERC_SOLID tandfonline.com/journals/fwep2…

🚀 #ecprms online course 💻 Applied Regression Analysis: Estimation, Diagnostics, and Modelling @alexdmoise 🎯 Learn about regression analysis using R ecpr.eu/Events/Event/P… 📆 24–28 Mar 🛎️ Limited spots, secure your space now!

Excited to see our paper out in Political Behavior. We test the Tillian "war makes states" hypotheses for the EU in the context of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, in a survey experimental design - we vary Russian threat and the US response Open Access: link.springer.com/article/10.100…

Populist autocrats benefit from apathy. That's how Orbán managed to dismantle Hungarian democracy. Extreme polarization in the US, for all its downsides, may actually save it during the long 4 years ahead. While the shock is not as big as in 2016, the resistance may yet be.

Top shows marginal effects under continued US support, EU army has less support than increasing cooperation at EU level, and increasing defense independently. Bottom shows "US withdrawal" scenario - EU army is preferred compared to national capacity only. Cooperation still on top

In a forthcoming article in Political Behavior, @NenaOana @ZTruchlewski and I experimentally show greater support for EU defense cooperation and even an EU army, if the US weakens commitments to Ukraine and Europe. Sad to see this has become a more realistic scenario @ERC_SOLID

🚀 #ecprms online course 💻 Applied Regression Analysis: Estimation, Diagnostics, and Modelling @alexdmoise 🎯 Learn about regression analysis using R ecpr.eu/Events/Event/P… 📆 24–28 Mar 🐦 Early Bird rates until 31 Oct with #ECPRMemberPerks

🚀 #ecprms online course 💻 Applied Regression Analysis: Estimation, Diagnostics, and Modelling @alexdmoise 📉 Learn about the classical theory of OLS regression & non-linear regression skills ecpr.eu/Events/Event/P… 📆 24–28 Mar 🐦 Early Bird rates until 31 Oct #ECPRMemberPerks

New article out with Hanspeter Kriesi. We explain why policymaking was different in the Ukrainian refugee crisis compared to the 2015 one - and why, paradoxically, this didn't make a difference for how Germany and Hungary accepted refugees! Open access! doi.org/10.1080/135017…

⚡#ecprss24 online course 💻 Applied Regression Analysis: Estimation, Diagnostics & Modelling @alexdmoise 📉 Learn about the classical theory of OLS regression & non-linear regression techniques 📆 22–26 Jul, 09:00–12:00 CEST 👇 Book ecpr.eu/Events/Event/P…

Pundits and scholars still often question whether the economy plays a significant role in populism. In my latest piece @ConversationUS, I dive into our first-of-its-kind meta-analysis @BJPolS to argue that economic insecurity is a crucial driver of populism. While cultural anxieties play a role, the media's focus on populist voters' "bad manners" and cultural provocations overshadows the broader appeal of populist movements. For instance, The Democrats have been hemorrhaging support among working-class Americans, regardless of race, losing voters who are more attracted to Trump's populism than technocratic centrism. This is not merely a cultural problem; it's a political challenge arising from working-class economic anxieties. Successful populists expand their appeal by tapping into economic fears and thereby go beyond their racist/culturalist core base. To combat populism, we must transcend the dichotomy of culture versus economy and recognize their interplay. Addressing right-wing populism requires a concerted effort to alleviate the economic insecurity that underpins this global phenomenon. theconversation.com/populism-can-d… @DrMcNamara @davidstuckler @ManuSeral @alexdmoise @EuropeAtHarvard @GUQatar

⚡#ecprss24 online course 💻 Applied Regression Analysis: Estimation, Diagnostics & Modelling @alexdmoise 💡 Learn to apply various data & models to determine when & how regression can be applied effectively using #R 📆 22–26 Jul, 09:00–12:00 CEST 👇 Book ecpr.eu/Events/Event/P…

⚙️ Get an intro to #RegressionAnalysis using R. Learn classical theory of Ordinary Least Squares regression + non-linear regression techniques with @alexdmoise course at #ecprws23 🇧🇪 Leuven bit.ly/3Otwvo4 🧠 Basic knowledge of probability required ✍🏼 Register by 15 Jan

New paper w Hanspeter Kriesi and @NenaOana - determinants of EU solidarity in @WEPsocial We show - transnational solidarity depends more on functional compared to territorial cleavages & find evidence for an empathy effect Full paper, open access: tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

.@gscheiring's post on @ConversationUK references his recent #OpenAccess article with @ManuSeral, @alexdmoise, @drmcnamara & @davidstuckler - cup.org/43keEaP