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@AlgoXTrades
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Two earnings lottos. Both report tonight. Calling them now. Real talk first — these are lottos. I’m calling them lottos because that’s what they are. Earnings options go to zero a lot more than they hit. Sized accordingly. First one — $ALAB. Astera Labs, $310 calls, May 15 expiry. Reports today after close. Consensus is 54 cents on EPS, revenue up 83% year over year. The setup — AI infrastructure name, hot money’s been positioning for this print, and the 5/15 expiry gives the option ten days to play out post-earnings instead of dying overnight. That’s the only reason I’m in calls and not lottery scratch tickets. Second one — $SMCI. Super Micro, $27.5 calls, May 8 expiry. Also reports tonight. The setup is uglier — there’s a legal overhang on the name, and options are pricing in a roughly 12% move in either direction. Translation — this is a coin flip with leverage. 5/8 expiry means three days post-print to be right, or it’s done. Both positions are tiny. If they hit, it pays for the misses. If they don’t, that’s the deal — that’s why they’re called lottos. I’ll post the result tomorrow either way. Wins and losers, same Discord. Drop the ticker you’re playing into earnings tonight.


$SMCI earnings tonight. Stocktwits is 50/50 split between "$50 next week" and "$15 by Friday." Chart shows price capped under the 21EMA, multi-year lows, DoJ investigation unresolved. Expected move ~$3. No clean technical level. Pure binary. This is the trade I sit out. Not because the upside isn't there — because the setup isn't there. The setup is the trade. Always.


$SMCI earnings tonight. Stocktwits is 50/50 split between "$50 next week" and "$15 by Friday." Chart shows price capped under the 21EMA, multi-year lows, DoJ investigation unresolved. Expected move ~$3. No clean technical level. Pure binary. This is the trade I sit out. Not because the upside isn't there — because the setup isn't there. The setup is the trade. Always.












$TSLA 415 CALL 5/8 @ .75 $TSLA curling above every SMA here / breakout retest on 15


$TSLA 415 CALL 5/8 @ .75 $TSLA curling above every SMA here / breakout retest on 15


$MARA chart looks READY TO GO. $MARA $20 CALL MAY 15TH @ .03




$MSTR THE SETUP IS REAL — broke the downtrend, holding above $150, earnings May 5. But people in discord are asking about 5/1 $170 calls @ $1.20. Stock needs +4% by tomorrow's close just to break even. That's BTC ripping overnight or nothing. The setup is a 2-week swing. The option is a 1-day coin flip.
