Ali Mamouri

A blockade that cannot be made total, and cannot be sustained indefinitely, is ultimately a pressure tactic — not a strategy. menanuances.com/p/the-us-hormu…

د. علي المعموري كبير الباحثين بجامعة ديكن الأسترالية: لا توجد ثقة كبيرة لدى إيران في سير المفاوضات الجارية #تابع_سوشيال_القاهرة #القاهرة_الإخبارية

Speaking to AlQahera News, I highlighted the deep mistrust shaping Iran–U.S. negotiations. Given past experiences, prospects for a deal remain limited—making renewed conflict or a prolonged cold war more likely. youtube.com/shorts/LGnMMK2…

No matter how this blockade of a blockade plays out, Iran will be in a far better position in the long term when it comes to maintaining control over the strait – not the US. abc.net.au/listen/program…

•Notably, some countries have already begun coordinating with Iran to ensure passage through Hormuz, reflecting the limits of external control over the strait.

•Iran is unlikely to give up its leverage over the Hormuz without firm guarantees against future hostilities and some form of compensation for war losses. •The current US-led blockade is a key driver of the global economic shock, but it is unlikely to be sustainable for long.

Joining BBC to discuss the Hormuz issue, I highlighted: •A comprehensive agreement in the current negotiations is unlikely, given the complexity of issues and the expanded scope beyond the nuclear file.

Iran emerges from the conflict materially damaged but strategically repositioned. menanuances.com/p/the-war-that…

Joining Iraqi State TV to discuss two potential trajectories: renewed conflict or a prolonged cold war between the U.S. and Iran, as the prospects for a comprehensive agreement remain uncertain. youtube.com/watch?v=moEqkv…

Ironically, while US & Israel aimed to weaken Iran’s nuclear & missile capabilities, the conflict has given Tehran a powerful new tool, the Strait. In this sense, Hormuz risks becoming America’s Suez moment, a strategic chokepoint reveals limits of power rather than its reach.

When commentators abandon integrity and justify illegitimate wars, they become participants. Narratives that normalise violence or silence dissent carry real human consequences. menanuances.com/p/beyond-propa…

‘AS dan Israel berusaha menghentikan Iran — namun justru memberinya jenis kekuatan baru’. ‘Iran memanfaatkan Selat Hormuz sebagai alat tawar-menawar: pendapatan, keamanan, dan tekanan sanksi’ — Ali Mamouri, peneliti di Universitas Deakin.

•Iran has not yet activated additional pressure points such as Bab al-Mandab; further escalation by the U.S. risks extending the conflict and amplifying its impact on global economic markets.

While Iran has shown willingness to negotiate, current U.S. policy appears to prioritise capitulation—similar to the Venezuela model—which is unlikely to succeed in the Iranian case.

Discussing US blockade on Iraqi State TV: •The U.S. blockade is unlikely to be sustainable due to multiple factors, including its impact on global energy prices & the complex ownership of vessels trading with Iran—many of which are linked to China.  youtube.com/watch?v=rUm70_…

USA i Izrael próbowały powstrzymać Iran, ale zamiast tego dały mu nowy rodzaj władzy Iran wykorzystuje Cieśninę Ormuz jako dźwignię: dochody, bezpieczeństwo i presję na sankcje - Ali Mamouri, pracownik naukowy Uniwersytetu Deakin

‘US and Israel tried to stop Iran — but instead gave it a new kind of power’ ‘Iran is using the Strait of Hormuz as leverage: income, security, and sanctions pressure’ — Ali Mamouri, research fellow at the Deakin University WATCH HERE rumble.com/v78azs0-crosst…

I joined @RT_com with Peter Lavelle to discuss the fragility of the current #ceasefire, the undermining role of #Israel, and the intelligence narratives triggering the war and influencing the ongoing negotiations. Also on the panel: @AliAlMamouri and @MarcoCarnelos. rumble.com/v78azs0-crosst…