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Ali
2.3K posts


this is my formal notice that i’ve exited the simulation.
fully derisked around a week ago, clipped every meaningful exit i needed, and sent the money somewhere far away from screens, terminals and people who say “buy the fear” like it’s a personality trait.
i’m not even particularly bearish on crypto anymore. i’m bearish on staying indoors arguing about altcoins while the outside world starts sounding like a history documentary.
iran, hormuz, oil, metals, shipping, constant escalation… none of that pairs especially well with me pretending my biggest concern should be whether some token can reclaim a local range high.
so yeah, i bought myself the only real hedge left:
a tiny place in the mountains,
bad road access,
good water,
no neighbours with podcasts,
and spending time with people who think “macro” is just a camera setting.
hope you all made something this cycle.
i definitely did.
that’s why i’m leaving now instead of waiting to be humbled with the rest of you.
good luck if you’re staying in. genuinely.
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@bundledbyhaan Well you should take a look at it, this shit’s genuinely gold. Grab a %, it’s free here

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@MetalLegBob So how do you solve it. Supply control that won’t be nuked when the coin runs? Transparently and locked?
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the issue with pump LPs isn't the amm fee
the issue is selling 80% of the supply into circulation for a tiny amount of sol which gets paired with a tiny amount of the token which creates an inflated and completely unrealistic mcap on paper
couple that with starting bonding curves at heinously low prices and you have a recipe for disaster where lots of people with lots of supply are up multiple x's with an LP incapable of stomaching anywhere close to that amount of sell pressure
this has always been an issue and will always be an issue with pumps setup no matter whether the LPs are on pumpswap or raydium
there's plenty of reasons why we don't have meme runners like we used too but the amm fee isn't one
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@AliSolSon5 I just added section #4 to the simulator. scroll down, is this what you were asking for?
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@cxnversion What stimulants exactly? And what about long term consequences, they don’t have any? Or haven’t been researched in depth yet
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Really good take looking back now. My (uneducated) prediction is we are close to bottom here, probably go into 50k's with a possible wick down to 40's. Chop for a few months while strength slowly returns into the 2nd half of the year before midterms. Now the 2nd half of 2026 I'd like to believe will be bullish to the likes people are not expecting. Trump is not going to let sentiment be down on one of his biggest campaign points in crypto, right before midterms. The prices we are seeing now and will see will be seen as generational opportunities in hindsight later on. Crypto is not going to 0, and if anyone truly thinks that what are you doing in crypto.
On chain likely bounce back soon though when things stabilize more. Opportunities will still be available and those that don't disappear will catch them. Holding culture will return and there will be some incredible memes to come out of this pain where new millionaires will be minted.
Again all a guess and hopefulness from my part.
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@AliSolSon5 Good place for starting positions. But we can still wick as low as 43k imo
$hype eco will be the decisive winner for 2026
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The prophecy has been fulfilled
Atum@DefiApes
I'm sorry boys.. but this is the dead cat bounce $BTC the liquidations at 60k are going to be biblical
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@OnChainTerror That’s tomorrow. You mean we’re getting 10/10 but in reverse right 😭
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As everyone panics, I’m thrilled with hope and optimism
doji crow@conviction_meta
Entering panic mode ✋😳🤚
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