Alisson Oliveira
21 posts

Alisson Oliveira
@Alisson50047298
Preserving Capital in Volatile Markets Value Investing • Asset Allocation • Long-term Focus
ConservativeInvestor Katılım Nisan 2020
121 Takip Edilen117 Takipçiler

The Full AI Optics Stack You Need to Know 🔦
Optical components are becoming one of the hottest segments in the AI infrastructure boom.
Here’s the complete list:
Transmission: $LITE $COHR $AAOI $FN $CIEN $INFN
Components: $MTSI $LASR $LPTH $POET $LWLG $ALMU $OPTX
Networking: $ANET $MRVL $AVGO $CSCO $NVDA

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Trump Proposes $1.5 Trillion Defense Budget for FY2027— The largest single-year increase since World War II (+~40%).
My Take:Short-term, this is strongly bullish for the defense sector with major new orders expected soon. However, in the long run, it will further inflate America’s already massive deficit.
Stocks to Watch:$LMT $RTX $GD $NOC $HII
Is the big military spending a great opportunity or a growing risk?

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My 5 Stocks I’m Most Bullish
$NVDA — AI king, still leading the data center boom Predicted upside: +35-45% by year-end 2026
$AVGO — Custom AI chips + strong VMware integration Predicted upside: +30-40% in the next 9-12 months
$MU — Memory & HBM demand exploding, capacity sold out Predicted upside: +40-55% as AI training/inference ramps
$PLTR — Commercial growth accelerating + government wins Predicted upside: +45-60% on expanding AI platform adoption
$AMD — Competitive AI accelerators gaining share Predicted upside: +30-45% with MI400 series rollout
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Daily stock screener
1.market cap above $2B
2.HQ in the US
3.2026 revenue growth (est.) above 20%
4.2027 revenue growth (est.) above 20%
5.2026 EPS growth (est.) above 25%
6.2027 EPS growth (est.) above 25%
$ADMA $ALAB $ALHC $ALNY $AMD $APP $AVGO $BE $COHR $CRWD $FTAI $GLBE $GRAB $INTR $KRMN $KTOS $LITE $MELI $MOD $MRVL $MU $NESR $NU $NVDA $PLTR $SHOP $SITM $SMCI $SNOW $SOFI $TER $TVTX $VRT $WDC
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Amazon ($AMZN) Hit by Bahrain Cloud Center Strike
$AMZN dropped as much as 2.7% in early trading today after reports of an attack on its Bahrain cloud facility amid rising geopolitical tensions.
Despite the sell-off, U.S. stocks showed resilience:
S&P 500 +0.72%
Nasdaq stronger
Short-term pressure from geopolitics is real, but the impact on AWS is limited due to Amazon’s global spread. Valuation is reasonable now.
I expect $AMZN to stabilize and recover within 3-6 months if tensions don’t escalate further. Still a core long-term AI/cloud holding.
$AMZN $NVDA $MSFT

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Nike ($NKE) Crashes 15.5% Today
Nike plunged 15.5% to $44.63 after Q3 earnings beat estimates but delivered a weak Q4 outlook — forecasting 2-4% revenue decline and ~20% drop in Greater China sales.
Meanwhile:
$IQC +2%
$JD -2.3%
$BABA -1%
U.S. market stayed strong:
S&P 500 +0.72%
Nike is facing real pain in China + inventory issues short-term. However, at current levels it looks oversold. Long-term recovery potential is solid if turnaround gains traction — possible rebound to $60+ by end of 2026.
Worth buying the dip? Or still too early?
$NKE $IQ $JD $BABA

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@gabz_investing All-in $NVO for rapid 2x potential in April.
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After mass deliberations, I'm officially closing my entire $BMNR position and going all-in on $NVO.
Why?
$NVO can realistically 2x from today's prices in under a month.
$BMNR simply cannot do this.
Sometimes you just have to follow the math.
Position size: 100%
Timeline: April
Conviction: Unshakeable 🤡
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@aleabitoreddit Nike lost cool factor, real-world signals clear.
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$NKE is a good lesson to trust your real life instincts.
- If you see everyone wearing Oncloud / new balance shoes instead of Nike
- You see everyone wearing vuori or lululemon shorts instead of Nike
- Even Uniqlo / GU for casual/athletic wear instead of Nike
Then the only place you see Nike are at your local Walmart or Ross discount stores.
Nike has definitely lost its “cool factor” and when the stock is at 26 fwd p/e, maybe there’s better longs out there.

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Despite U.S. Crude Inventory Surge, Oil Prices Narrow Losses
EIA reported a much larger-than-expected build of +6.9 million barrels last week. Although this bearish data pushed WTI and Brent lower in early trading, both contracts narrowed their losses into the close, showing some demand support remains intact.
Meanwhile, U.S. stocks stayed resilient today: S&P 500 +0.5% Nasdaq modestly higher Dow slightly up
Energy sector under pressure, but AI and tech stocks continue to support the broader market.
The inventory overhang is partly priced in. Oil may stay volatile short-term, but the longer-term outlook still hinges on supply/demand and geopolitics.
$USO $XLE $CVX

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@HedgebergCom Smart call. Relief rally likely, but bearish structure intact. $45 target still in play. Stay disciplined.
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$RKLB
The break out occurred yesterday as expected in my previous post. Don't let yourself get lured in by the current mini rally we see. It might go till $65 or even a bit higher but Rocket Lab confirmed the bearish structure yesterday. That won't change in a day.
It is an expected relief rally as we know the stocks movements occur in waves.
Target remains $45
Hedgeberg | Technical Precision. Fundamental Depth@HedgebergCom
$RKLB Rocket Lab is trading pre-market at its support at $65. I expect a break through this support soon. Accumulation volume was low and sell-off last week high. There is more sell pressure than buy interest. RKLB hast finished its wave to at its ATH and transitioned into a corrective wave a. The accumulation we saw could break above its 0.38 Fibo which makes the correction into wave c more likely. My price target: $43.50
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@BramVGenechten @DimitryNakhla Smart take. ASML’s long-term partnerships over short-term margins is a masterclass in sustainable scale economics.
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@DimitryNakhla one of the best ever.
Would add $ASML to Scale Economics Shared. Not in a traditional way, but they could generate higher margins. Instead, they choose to partner with their customers and go for long term relationships.
Example: $TSM has higher margins than $ASML.
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+20.8% annualized. +921% cumulative.
Dwarfed the index by nearly 8x over 13 years. That’s Nick Sleep’s Nomad Partnership 💸
The letters he left behind are filled with investment wisdom.
A few lessons that have stuck with me:
𝐒𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐞 𝐄𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐬 𝐒𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝: most companies capture scale benefits for shareholders. The great ones 𝘱𝘢𝘴𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘮 𝘵𝘰 𝘤𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘴. That’s how you build a moat that compounds. $AMZN $COST $MELI
𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐤 𝐢𝐧 𝐝𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬, 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐝𝐞𝐭𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐬: Sleep OBSESSED over where a business would be in 10 years, not what it would earn next quarter. The short-term crowd can’t compete with someone 𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘩𝘰𝘳𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘭𝘰𝘯𝘨 𝘳𝘶𝘯.
𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐢𝐬 𝐚 𝐟𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞: Nomad’s top positions were often 75%+ of the fund. High conviction and patience equals alpha. Over-diversification can sometimes be disguised ignorance.
𝐈𝐧𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐢𝐬 𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝: after finding a great business at a sensible price, the best move is often to do nothing. Sleep called 𝘱𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘦𝘵𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘢𝘨𝘦. That competitive advantage matters precisely because the investment industry equates activity with value. Constant repositioning, quarterly narratives, performative conviction. But activity is never the goal — it compounding at attractive rates, through exceptional businesses, is.

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The mistakes that drain accounts fast in this AI/storage rally:
• Chasing every wiggle on the $MU chart
• FOMO entries with zero AI thesis
• Refusing to cut a loser in memory names
• Grabbing knives like a hero in volatile infra plays
• Trading without a clear NVIDIA ecosystem blueprint
• Buying dips that keep dipping in the storage surge
• Calling bottoms like a fortune-teller on HBM demand
• Letting hope replace discipline during Nasdaq wobbles
• Averaging down into disaster on hype-cycle stocks
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Memory & storage stocks are broadly higher today!
AI-driven memory demand continues to explode — $MU and peers leading the charge as HBM capacity remains sold out through 2026, with strong pricing power.
While the broader market is mixed (Nasdaq trading slightly soft), the AI infrastructure backbone stays resilient. Storage isn't just a short-term play — it's a long-term necessity for NVIDIA's ecosystem.
Bullish on the next leg up in memory names? 🚀
$MU $WDC $SNDK
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Here are the 10 stocks powering NVIDIA's ($NVDA) AI engine:
1.$IREN turns cheap renewable energy into massive AI compute power — recently added over 50k NVIDIA B300 GPUs, expanding its fleet to 150k and targeting $3.7B AI cloud ARR by end of 2026.
2.$CIFR leverages energy-rich sites and facilities to scale AI data centers — just signed a 15-year hyperscale lease and secured $200M financing to accelerate HPC/AI buildout.
3.$MU provides the memory backbone for AI models to store context and run efficiently — Q2 FY2026 results crushed expectations on AI demand, with HBM4 in volume production and 2026 capacity sold out.
4.$AMD expands the AI compute market with competitive accelerators.
5.$PLTR sits at the execution layer, turning AI outputs into real decisions.
6.$TSLA applies AI beyond screens — integrating intelligence into vehicles, robots, and more.
7.$ASML enables the entire semiconductor ecosystem.
8.$OKLO tackles AI power constraints through nuclear energy solutions.
9.$AVGO designs custom silicon that integrates processing and memory networks in AI systems.
10.$NBIS builds AI-first cloud infrastructure.
Short, clean, and ready to post. Let me know if you want any tweaks!
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