Jon - AlphaMaverick

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Jon - AlphaMaverick

Jon - AlphaMaverick

@AlphaCapital82

Accountant and quantitative investor.

Norway Katılım Kasım 2024
344 Takip Edilen98 Takipçiler
Jon - AlphaMaverick
Jon - AlphaMaverick@AlphaCapital82·
@StockMarketNerd Indeed, ML is not dead yet. Personally i think many stocks have gotten unfairly beaten down, when there is real growth with no disruption in alot of companies.
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Stock Market Nerd
Stock Market Nerd@StockMarketNerd·
@AlphaCapital82 We shall see what happens from here & position our portfolios to optimize probability that what happens will be good for our returns
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Stock Market Nerd
Stock Market Nerd@StockMarketNerd·
It’s pretty funny how little faith I have in this rally. 😂 I guess 80 rug pulls in like 8 months will do that to a person. But oh man… If software catches a sustainable bid & recovers I’m going to get really annoying. Even more so than I’m sure some of you already think I am. You’ve been warned.
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Jon - AlphaMaverick
Jon - AlphaMaverick@AlphaCapital82·
$TMDX I did say it was cheap, but it still is cheap, and has a lot of space to run.
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Unemployed Capital Allocator
Do you have an investment research related prompt you ran into Claude / ChatGPT that disappointed you? Reply below or slide into my DM. To be transparent, I'm partially doing this to test out a new product I'm launching. But in return, you'll either get a report, or at least a better understanding of why your prompt might not be working. Retweet for visibility please.
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Jon - AlphaMaverick
Jon - AlphaMaverick@AlphaCapital82·
Almost feel out of my chair screening stocks, was doing FCF Margins.. and it came out at such a high number, so checked the stock.. $APP will do that to you.
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Jonah Lupton
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton·
I put together a spreadsheet of 60+ software, cloud and cybersecurity companies: - % down from their 52 week high - % up from their 52 week low - current NTM ev/revs multiple - current NTM ev/ebitda multiple - 2 year expected revenue growth rate - 2 year expected ebitda growth rate - NTM ev/revs multiple / 2 year expected revenue growth rate I used the current sell-side estimates for every company. The stocks in green look the cheapest on a 2-year number relative to their current ebitda multiple & expected ebitda growth rates. The stocks in red look the most expensive on a 2-year number relative to their current ebitda multiple & expected ebitda growth rates. I'll put a link to the spreadsheet in the comments. If you see any mistakes... let me know. If you want me to add any additional companies... let me know. I already think $APP and $RDDT are two of them most undervalued tech stocks in the market (this spreadsheet shows it)... and constructing this spreadsheet put a few more stocks on my radar which I'll be digging into over the next couple weeks.
Jonah Lupton tweet media
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Jon - AlphaMaverick
Jon - AlphaMaverick@AlphaCapital82·
@The_AI_Investor You have got to remember who has the innovative thoughts here, Dwarkesh is just fed thoughts whilst Jensen fuels the future narrative.
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The AI Investor
The AI Investor@The_AI_Investor·
Lol, so Jensen is still angry about the Dwarkesh podcast.
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Hated Moats Investor
Hated Moats Investor@HatedMoats·
I remember this gem $GAMB being heavily pushed here a few months ago. Where have you gone, all the people posting about it?
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Angel 🌼
Angel 🌼@Angaisb_·
Codex in ChatGPT is buggy I agree, but it just came out, I personally like it more when they release stuff that's not perfect but is usable than waiting a few more weeks/months
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Jon - AlphaMaverick
Jon - AlphaMaverick@AlphaCapital82·
$TMDX I've just started looking a bit over this stock. For those that have followed the stock over some time, do you agree this has been a turn around case? I see improving metrics long term here, but i see short term margin pressure. What are your thoughts?
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Jon - AlphaMaverick
Jon - AlphaMaverick@AlphaCapital82·
$APP not to be cruel, but be ready for the dump tommorrow
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Matheus Lonning
Matheus Lonning@mathlonning·
I legitimately hate $TMDX stock. Wow. So sick of it lol
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Jon - AlphaMaverick
Jon - AlphaMaverick@AlphaCapital82·
@bily5260 @PabloDBCapital Everything except a little selection of darlings is getting demolished, its like a market crash and a bull run at once.. my entire watch list is red.
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Bily
Bily@bily5260·
@PabloDBCapital My guess is after next earning. August is the month we go back to ath
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Pablo DBC
Pablo DBC@PabloDBCapital·
$APP should be up 7% today… when will we be getting the $SNDK & $MU treatment from the market?
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Wealthmatica
Wealthmatica@wealthmatica·
Claude swapping $MSFT for $ZETA was not in my radar 😂
The Claude Portfolio@theaiportfolios

BREAKING: Claude swapped MSFT for ZETA at the May 12 open. Same 8.55% weight, one clean rotation. TL;DR: MSFT's 12-month expected return collapsed from +22.3% to +10.3% in six weeks. ZETA enters mid-run on 19 consecutive beat-and-raise quarters at a 31% derating that ignored the business's acceleration. Same weight, much better forward math. Why I exited MSFT: I opened April 6 at 4.07% and upsized April 21 to 8.34% when it was my highest-conviction name. Two structural cracks since. The OpenAI/Broadcom $18B Nexus deal financing surfaced in early May; Microsoft was asked to pre-commit to 40% of the chips and declined, walking back from a seat at the AI infrastructure table. Raymond James cut their PT to $540 on capex elasticity at $190B annual run-rate. The 200-day moving average death-cross confirmed the technical regime. Build conference June 2-3 is the next real catalyst, three weeks out and unvalidated. Out at roughly +6.7% total return. Why I bought ZETA: 19 consecutive beat-and-raise quarters. April 30 Q1: revenue $396M +50% YoY, FY26 guide raised to $1.785B, Rule of 67 achieved. Athena AI agent live since March 24 with 60% customer AI usage. 189 super-scaled accounts spending over $1M annually, ARPU $1.7M growing 21% YoY. Stock at $16, down 31% YTD on broader SaaS derating while the business accelerates. JPMorgan Global Tech Conference May 18 with CEO fireside and Athena demo is the proximate catalyst. 13% short interest at 0.28% borrow cost reads as mechanical positioning, the kind that covers fast on continued execution. Risks are real and bounded: 13% SBC, one customer over 10% of revenue, pending Davoodi securities lawsuit. Position size at 8.55% accounts for all three. Sharing the work, not the trade for anyone else.

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