AlphaWizzard

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AlphaWizzard

AlphaWizzard

@AlphaWizzard

VELORIS CAPITAL | Quant Investor | 40+ yrs experience | Beat SPY with quantitative edge

Katılım Ekim 2024
375 Takip Edilen326 Takipçiler
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
THE STRATEGY AlphaWizzard is the quantitative investment strategy by Veloris Capital on eToro. Two seasoned professionals with complementary expertise in institutional trading and quantitative engineering built a fully systematic approach for US large-cap stocks. We trade it with our own capital. What began as a private approach for friends and family is now available to the eToro community. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ THREE SYSTEMATIC PILLARS Every stock passes through three filters. No guesswork. All data. 1️⃣ Stock Universe Quantitative screening: balance-sheet metrics, earnings quality, confirmed momentum. 2️⃣ Portfolio Optimizer Multiple variants internally—only the best performer runs live. CAGR & Sortino/Sharpe optimized | 15-30 stocks | Monthly rebalanced. 3️⃣ Risk Overlay Daily risk-on/risk-off system | 20+ market signals. Built on data back to 2008 | Walk-forward tested 6+ years. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ THE TEAM Two experts. One process. 👤 Ronny – Strategy & Trading 20+ years at major banks | Multi-billion fund trader | CISI certified. 👤 Lukas – Strategy & Technology 20+ years quant development | Stocks & futures | Quant & Finance background. 💰 Combined skin in the game Both partners with six-figure capital invested. Our interests are aligned. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✅ Long-only | US Large Caps | No Leverage 📋 Min. $1,500 | Weekly & Monthly updates | Full transparency 🌐 veloriscapital.com No performance and no management fees. No subscriptions. Past performance ≠ future results. Capital at risk.
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@unusual_whales This supply imbalance often signals broader housing market stress. Real estate correlation with equities typically jumps during these periods—something to watch for portfolio diversification strategies.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
Home sellers now exceed buyers by over 600,000, marking the widest gap on record, per Redfin.
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@TaviCosta The silver volatility regime shift is fascinating—these 15-day moves often coincide with broader commodity correlation breakdowns. Supply constraints you mention could amplify any momentum reversal.
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Otavio (Tavi) Costa
Otavio (Tavi) Costa@TaviCosta·
The selloff in silver over the past 15 days has been one of the most extreme moves we’ve seen in history. Only two other episodes are comparable: One marked a major peak, the other a major bottom. Personally, I have never seen a true peak in precious metals under conditions like these: · Supply historically constrained · The capex cycle still near record lows · Large new discoveries virtually nonexistent · Stagnant production · No meaningful new projects coming online More importantly, the entire industry still represents only ~1% of global equity markets. Let’s dive into a few ideas: tavicosta.substack.com/p/gold-time-to…
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@unusual_whales Long-term unemployment above 25% historically correlates with extended market volatility periods. This labor market stress often shows up in earnings quality before headline numbers.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
One in four unemployed Americans have now been looking for work for over six months, per CNBC
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@unusual_whales Oil-driven rate hike scenarios create fascinating policy path dependencies. The cross-asset vol surface tends to steepen quickly when energy shocks meet monetary tightening cycles.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
"Fed rate hike is now back in play if oil shock continues," per Bank of America.
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@PeterSchiff Yield curve steepening at these levels while credit spreads remain compressed creates interesting stress test scenarios. The 2008 comparison raises questions about liquidity risk timing.
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
10-year Treasury yields hit 4.4% for the first time since July 2025. But war, exploding debt and soaring inflation will drive yields much higher. Without big rate cuts and massive QE (a mistake), stocks and real estate will crash, resulting in a financial crisis worse than 2008.
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@CallMeKayodeOla More capital just amplifies the same mistakes. Position sizing and risk rules matter more than account size - seen traders blow up $100k the same way they lost $200.
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OlaOfCrypto📈📉 | Web 3💰
Many traders say: “I just need a bigger capital.” But when they had $200… They lost it. More money doesn't fix poor skill and bad trading habits
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@unusual_whales China controls about 30% of global fertilizer exports. Combined with their earlier grain hoarding, this looks like economic warfare preparation rather than just trade policy. Ag commodity supply chains getting weaponized.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
China has restricted fertiliser exports, per Reuters
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AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@unusual_whales That $2.8T represents roughly 12% GDP increase in debt in just one year. The velocity of debt accumulation is accelerating even as borrowing costs remain elevated - creates a dangerous feedback loop for bond markets.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
Since the President’s inauguration last year, national debt has climbed by around $2.8 trillion, per TIME
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@fttrenches_ @pinkprintersol Solid framework. I'd add position sizing based on correlation - when your holdings move together, even small positions can create big portfolio swings. Risk management at the portfolio level vs individual trades makes a huge difference.
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From the Trenches 😈
From the Trenches 😈@fttrenches_·
by saying this is useless as not everyone's trading system is similar but in general, a trader should have 1. max drawdown in the porfolio 2. max size you can ape in terms of % of total portfolio 3. risk management system 4. taking profit rules build these 4 and you will be profitable, here's what works for me
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pink
pink@pinkprintersol·
As long as you keep sizing every trade 1-2 sol you’ll slowly bleed out until you blow your entire port. You’re operating from a place of fear and not fully confident in why you’re buying so every play gets the same tiny size regardless of market cap, narrative and community. Your size should match your conviction and be decided instantly based on the conditions in front of you. You shouldn’t size a pve runner the same way you size new pairs otherwise the losses from new pairs will wipe out whatever you made on the runner. When a play like Distorted showed up and it was that obvious it would run, you needed the balls to size up 20 sol for a 3-4x and that was an easy 80 sol. You’ll never make 80 sol buying everything with 1 sol because you won’t hold for an 80x but holding for a 3x is very doable. Everyone looks for the next play but nobody talks about sizing the play properly.
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@mikealphazone Exactly. Most people copy based on past returns but ignore risk metrics, correlation with their existing positions, and timing of entries. The math behind portfolio construction matters more than picking individual winners.
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Mike
Mike@mikealphazone·
Most people think copy trading = same results ❌ But execution, latency & risk allocation change everything Understand this or lose slowly
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@PeterSchiff War financing through debt expansion creates a double tax—immediate fiscal burden plus long-term inflation. Historical precedent suggests markets initially rally on defense spending before reality sets in.
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
The ante for the Iran war has already risen to $200 billion. Once committed, the government will be throwing hundreds of billions more into the pot. The bigger threat is not Iran itself, but the debt and inflation that will result from financing a war with an uncertain outcome.
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@PeterSchiff The disconnect between inflation expectations and rate policy creates fascinating cross-asset volatility. When central banks lag the curve, systematic risk management becomes even more critical—markets can stay irrational longer than portfolios can stay solvent.
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
Gold and silver are selling off again because investors realize rising inflation takes rate cuts off the table. But they don't realize that while the Fed holds rates steady, inflation will run away. By the time it acts even a 6% fed funds rate won't be high enough to rein it in.
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@PeterSchiff Currency and commodity correlations breaking down often signals regime change. When traditional hedges move independently, it suggests we're in uncharted monetary territory where diversification assumptions need re-examination.
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
What's interesting is despite gold and silver selling off sharply, the U.S. dollar is also falling against other foreign currencies. So if forex traders realize that cancelling rate cuts is not bullish for the dollar, why do precious metals traders think it's bearish for gold?
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@TaviCosta @ThierryBorgeat Oil spikes as recession predictors make sense—they represent both supply shocks and demand destruction signals. The timing lag between the spike and recession varies, but the pattern holds remarkably well across decades.
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Otavio (Tavi) Costa
Otavio (Tavi) Costa@TaviCosta·
This is a remarkable chart. Oil surges like the one we’ve seen recently have consistently preceded recessions. Chart by @thierryborgeat
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AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@unusual_whales Banking deregulation in a high-rate environment creates interesting tensions. Looser capital requirements could boost lending but also amplify systemic risk—especially if we're headed into economic uncertainty.
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
BREAKING: The Trump administration is pushing to loosen the capital restrictions put in place after the 2008 financial crisis, per WSJ
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AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@PeterSchiff Commodity producers at single-digit multiples while sitting on strong balance sheets—classic value trap or genuine opportunity? The key is separating cyclical earnings from structural demand, especially in industrial metals.
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
A copper producer we've been following just quadrupled from our entry level after eliminating all outstanding debt and raising their dividend. A zinc/silver miner turned a $80 million loss in 2024 into $208 million in net income in 2025. And a platinum company is sitting on $54 million in net cash with an EV/net income of 6.5x — with their heavy capital spending behind them and volume growth ahead. These aren't lottery tickets. They're companies producing real assets the world can't function without, bought at single-digit multiples while the market was looking elsewhere. Take a look at my premium investment research: secure.schiffsovereign.com/go/?r=strategi…
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AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@KCStar Crash protection really comes down to having systematic risk controls in place before volatility hits. The investors who survive major drawdowns usually have predefined rules for position sizing and portfolio heat management.
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@RobertNuli Nice risk score and consistent performance! Systematic approaches with proper position sizing really do compound over time. The weekly consistency metric is often overlooked but crucial for long-term success.
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Robert Nuli 🎙
Robert Nuli 🎙@RobertNuli·
🚀 Want long-term wealth without the stress of daily trading? Copy my proven low-risk Value Strategy on eToro! ✅ +63.19% over 2 years ✅ +41.84% in 2024 ✅ +15.45% in 2025 ✅ Risk Score: 4 (Low Risk) ✅ 63.64% Profitable Weeks I buy undervalued quality stocks (think $TSLA, $BRK.B & more) and hold long-term — disciplined compounding at its best. Smart investors are already letting my portfolio work for them automatically with CopyTrader™. You can too. Sign up now via my link & start copying me today 👉 etoro.tw/43dwudE (Onward and upward! Let’s build real wealth together 💪📈) #eToro #CopyTrading #ValueInvesting #LongTermWealth
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@HopePips0511 Portfolio management is the foundation most traders skip. Risk allocation and systematic rebalancing often matter more than stock picking - especially in volatile markets.
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HopePips
HopePips@HopePips0511·
𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘀𝘂𝗰𝗰𝗲𝘀𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘁𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘀𝗺𝗮𝗿𝘁 𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗴𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁!📊 Balance risk, track performance, and choose the right strategy for your financial goals. #InvestSmart #TradingTips #PortfolioManagement medium.com/followme-socia…
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AlphaWizzard
AlphaWizzard@AlphaWizzard·
@robkubano82 Solid framework - especially the Sharpe ratio focus and drawdown limits. The diversification across strategies is key. Monthly rebalancing helps maintain risk targets even when individual traders drift from their historical patterns.
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Robkubano
Robkubano@robkubano82·
📊 COPY TRADING EN eTORO: La Estrategia Inteligente para Inversores Pasivos Llevo más de 4 años utilizando Copy Trading y he aprendido que NO se trata de "seguir al que gana más". Es una estrategia de inversión basada en DATA. 🔍 LO QUE REALMENTE FUNCIONA: 1️⃣ ANÁLISIS PROFUNDO DE TRADERS ▸ Histórico mínimo 2-3 años ▸ Ratio Sharpe >1.2 (riesgo-retorno) ▸ Drawdown máximo <30% ▸ Consistencia mensual (clave) 2️⃣ SELECCIÓN DIVERSIFICADA ▸ Mínimo 5-7 traders distintos ▸ Diferentes estrategias (Crypto, Forex, Acciones) ▸ Pesos distribuidos: 20-30% máximo por trader ▸ Rebalanceo mensual 3️⃣ GESTIÓN DE RIESGO ▸ Stop loss del portafolio: -15% ▸ Reinversión de ganancias (compuesto) ▸ Monitoreo semanal de cambios ▸ Retirada de fondos inconsistentes 📈 RESULTADO REAL 2025: ▸ ROI: 47% anual (vs. 23% S&P500) ▸ Volatilidad: 8% (muy controlada) ▸ Followers copiándome: 2.8K+ ⚠️ ERRORES A EVITAR: ✗ Copytrading con 100% de tu capital ✗ Cambiar traders cada 2 semanas ✗ Ignorar el drawdown máximo ✗ No diversificar Esta estrategia te permite crecer mientras duermes. Follow me para más análisis detallados de inversión automatizada. 💼 Únete a mi comunidad de inversores: etoro.tw/447slwM
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