Amit Agrawal

@AshishB60558222 Thanks a lot Ashish ji for clarifying. I am trying my level best to understand market casino modus operendi by reading your analysis.

Which volume data to trust, Futures or Option ? When you say look for volume, what does it mean... 1. volume of nifty future current month, or 2. volume of CE or PE or 3. which strike of CE/PE. This is a phenomenal execution question. You can have the perfect theory, but if you look for volume in the wrong place, you will be completely blinded by the Casino's noise. The definitive answer to your question is: 1. Volume of the Nifty Future Current Month. Here is the institutional mechanics of why you must ignore the others: 1. The Spot Chart (The Mathematical Illusion): The Nifty Spot chart is just a mathematical weighted average of 50 underlying stocks. It is not a tradable instrument by itself, therefore it does not generate its own volume data. 2. Option Chart Volume (The Noise Trap): Never look at CE or PE volumes to gauge institutional accumulation. Option volume is highly fragmented across hundreds of different strike prices. The volume you see on a 24,000 CE chart is heavily polluted by retail speculation, intraday scalpers, and automated hedging algorithms fighting over Theta. The Operator does not leave their primary structural footprints in a decaying derivative. It is pure noise. 3. The Futures Contract (The Institutional Hub): When I tell you to look for "Volume Absorption," you must strictly look at the Nifty Current Month Futures chart. The Futures contract is the centralized hub for institutional order flow regarding the Index. When the Operator steps in to catch a falling knife at 23,800, they park massive passive Limit-Buy orders in the Futures market to absorb the retail panic selling. This is exactly where the anomaly will appear: A massive volume spike combined with a very small price spread (a small candle body). The Commander's Directive: The Spot Chart is your Map (Draw your Support/Resistance and FVGs here). The Futures Chart is your Scanner (Look for Volume Absorption and Order Flow here). You are asking all the right questions. Lock and load. Keep your shields up! 🦅♟️@Amit515301

@AshishB60558222 Ashish ji, when you say look for volume, what does it mean... 1. volume of nifty future current month, or 2. volume of CE or PE or 3. which strike of CE/PE. please help on this @AshishB60558222

Warrior, excellent questions. You are looking past the narrative and demanding to understand the actual algorithmic mechanics of the market. This is how the 1% think. Let us decode both of your queries: 1. Where on the chart can we see the Operator accumulating longs?Smart Money accumulation does not look like a massive green candle; it is hidden inside the panic selling. You look for these 3 specific algorithmic footprints: The Liquidity Sweep: The price intentionally pierces a major psychological floor (like 23,800), triggering retail stop-losses, but immediately rejects, leaving a long lower wick. That wick is the Operator's limit-buy order block. Volume Absorption: You will see a candle with massive volume, but a very tight price spread (small body). This means retail is aggressively market-selling, but the Operator is sitting there with passive Limit Orders, absorbing all the sell pressure without letting the price drop further. The Micro-CHoCH: On the 3m or 5m timeframe, the price will suddenly break the last lower-high, signaling an institutional Change of Character (CHoCH) from bearish to bullish. 2. Does a 280-point rally happen just from Stop-Losses, or actual Nifty 50 stock buying?This is a brilliant mechanical question. The answer is: It is an Algorithmic Arbitrage Loop. The Ignition: The initial 50-80 point violent spike is purely fueled by the forced liquidation of retail bears. When short positions hit their stop-losses, they become forced Market Buy orders. The Engine: However, Nifty cannot sustain a 280-point rally purely on stop-losses. Nifty is a derivative of its 50 underlying components. When the Nifty Futures aggressively spike due to short-covering, it creates a pricing gap between the Futures and the Cash market. Massive institutional "Arbitrage Algorithms" immediately step in and aggressively buy the heavyweights (Reliance, HDFC Bank, ICICI) in the cash market to close that pricing gap. Retail stop-losses light the match; institutional algorithmic buying in the heavyweights provides the rocket fuel. You are analyzing the matrix exactly how it should be analyzed. Keep your shields up! 🦅♟️

@AshishB60558222 @JainSamudra May I please ask why you have multiplied by 0.0523 in the calculation line.

Question: Sir, today 24100 straddle closed at 186 at 18.36 vix. Is the straddle value correct? I believe straddle value should have been higher @JainSamudra Lets do the math according to The Black-Scholes Method Market does not operate on beliefs; it operates on absolute mathematics. And the math says the 186 premium is not deflated at all; it is flawlessly priced. The Institutional Pricing Masterclass: To price an At-The-Money (ATM) straddle, Market Makers use a standard approximation derived from the Black-Scholes model: Straddle Premium ≈ 0.8 × Current Price × Implied Volatility × √(Days to Expiry / 365) Let us plug in your exact coordinates: Price: 24100 IV (VIX): 18.36% (0.1836) Time: 1 DTE Calculation:0.8 × 24100 × 0.1836 × √(1 / 365) = 3540 × 0.0523 = 185.14 Points The market is quoting 186, and the theoretical exact value is 185.14. The Casino is pricing this with absolute, terrifying precision. They are not offering you a discount, nor are they overcharging you. The Execution Reality for Tomorrow: By pricing the straddle at 186 on the day before expiry, the Operator is establishing the 'No-Loss Zone' for option sellers. The market is mathematically projecting that Nifty will expire between 23,914 and 24,286. If you buy this straddle tomorrow, you are betting against the math. Unless Nifty violently breaches those external boundaries, the intense Expiry Day Theta decay will crush that 186 premium down to zero by 3:00 PM. Do not fight the Casino's math without a lethal, high-probability directional setup. Keep your shields up! 🦅♟️

@sudheep8531 Hi, is it telegram or WhatsApp’s group. I would like to join

cosmofeed.com/vig/68edbd7fa5… Us opportunity group

Applied opto electronics #appliedopto $AAOl Doubled in 20 days. Another US stock doubles for me in very short time. This one has gone up 10x in last one year. So many great opportunities in USA. New stocks coming this Monday in our USA opportunity group.

@ViveKSingh_DC Pls share screener query

6 months ago, I ran this screener and shortlisted just 2 stocks. 📈 #ISTRNETWK delivered +400% 📈 #WAAREEINDO made a +120% high 🔍 Today, I ran the same screener again. 👉 Result: 13 companies selected from 7,500+ listed stocks The question is not if The question is which one will be the next big mover 🚀 Stay focused. Data speaks. Follow me @ViveKSingh_DC #StockMarket #Screening #Multibagger #SmartMoney #Investing

@Atulsingh_asan This $15 billion should be less than because there will be need to import the equipment. So construction cost plus some more is net FDI. Whats you’re view.

Google to Begin Construction of Its Largest Data Centre , which is $15-billion data centre project Outside the US in vishakhapatnam , Andhra Pradesh on April 28. It would be the largest single Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in India.

@connectgurmeet @PMOIndia @FinMinIndia IMO, the biggest reason for FII exit is no gain in dollar terms. Tax is always on income and one is okay to pay tax if he earns.

Honourable @PMOIndia and @FinMinIndia We are losing Foreign Capital of almost $1 Bn a day. Since July 2024, post hike in capital gain tax and STT, we have lost $100 Bn and our markets have become globally unattractive .we need patient risk capital to fund our growth story. It’s undoing the good work done through various reforms. A responsive govt like yours has always taken feedback on taxation - GST, Income tax and given relief. I urge you to reconsider.

A star is born He single handle demolished @dhruv_rathee He ate him and spitted!! What a splendid rebuttal

@shome_rajarshi Highly appreciate both of you for making efforts to bring and discuss about high potential companies.

Mauka Mauka Series Episode 16: Rama Vision A very small company with a market cap of Rs 120 CR is doing all the right things.

@Portfolio_Bull What about not working traffic signals, pot holes on road. @nitin_gadkari @PMOIndia

New Traffic Challan Rules 🤯 Drunk~ ₹10,000 + Jail Mobile Phone while Driving~ ₹5,000 No License~ ₹5,000 NO RC~ ₹5,000 No Insurance~ ₹2,000 No Helmet~ ₹1,000 + License Suspend No Seat Belt~ ₹1,000 Triple Riding~ ₹1,000 + DL Suspend Over Speeding~ ₹1,000…Show more

@RahulGandhi mom Sonia is hospitalized at Sir Ganga Ram for systemic infection, treated by upper caste Kayastha general category doctor Dr. Arup Basu. This dynastic casteist fraud first raised Dalit hopes with his “social justice” circus, then viciously backstabbed and humiliated the entire Dalit community by rejecting any Dalit doctor for his own mother. Yet this same clown lectures the nation that India has “no Dalit, OBC or Adivasi doctors” in top private hospitals because “merit is casteist.” So where is the -40 marks NEET-PG reserved candidate for his mom? Does this hypocrite secretly believe Reserved doctors are incompetent ? Purest, most disgusting caste discrimination and double standards!

@justshailendra High chance they will loose it. They can’t restrict themselves not to trade further.

आप उस खुशी का अंदाज़ा नहीं कर सकते जब कोई आकर कहता है कि सर मेरे पति बीस हज़ार मंथली कमाते हैं, आपका मैसेज देखकर एक लाख का पुट ले लिया था वो अब 25 लाख हो गया, बेटी की पढ़ाई , शादी की सब चिंता खत्म हो गई । आज ही सारा पैसा उसके नाम से एफ डी कर दिया।

@curiosityonx @EshaKaul1

🚨This is wild: CRISPR gene-editing removed HIV DNA from infected cells — and those edited cells didn’t get infected again when exposed. Science is starting to rewrite the rules. 🧬⚡

@_vatsalasingh Why are you jealous. Stop getting mad for anyone. Focus on yourself.

विराट कोहली अपने बेटे अकाय के साथ लंदन की सड़कों पर। >भाई इंडिया के लिए खेलता है >इंडिया में ही सारा नाम कमाया >इंडियन एक्ट्रेस अनुष्का से शादी की >लेकिन लंदन में रहता है रोहित शर्मा भी उनके जितना ही टैलेंटेड है लेकिन उसने अपने बच्चों की परवरिश के लिए कभी लंदन को नहीं चुना

@_vatsalasingh stop posting non-sense just for 1 Rs payout

ये, गौतम गंभीर हैं, जिन्होंने अपने लोकसभा क्षेत्र में 5 अलग अलग जन रसोई बनाई है, जिसके लिए आपके केवल 1 Rs खर्च करने है। सांसद गौतम गंभीर ने अपने लोकसभा क्षेत्र में इसी साल पांचवीं जनरसोई का उद्घाटन किया. इस जन रसोई में 1 रुपए में भरपेट खाना मिलता है। पूर्वी दिल्ली में गरीबों और आर्थिक रूप से कमजोर, वंचित वर्ग के लिए यह जन रसोई बड़ा वरदान साबित हुई है. इन जन रसोई का खर्च गौतम गंभीर खुद उठाते हैं...see more

मेरे इस पोस्ट से कुछ आइटी वालों को आपत्ति हुई है । मेरा ये कत्तई मतलब नहीं था । आपका क्या दोष , आप तो नौकरी कर रहे हैं । ये पोस्ट उन मालिकान पर तंज़ है जिन्हें इंप्लायी से काम दिन में 19 घंटे लेना है पर इनोवेशन के नाम पर कुछ नहीं किया । इंजीनियर को तीन लाख सैलरी दी, बिल बीस लाख का पकड़ाया और सतरह लाख जेब में । कोई आर एन डी नहीं । दुनिया में ए आई की क्रांति हो गई और जिन्हें सबसे ज्यादा इससे प्रभावित होना था वो कपिल शर्मा शो में जाकर वो कितने हंबल हैं इसका प्रचार कर रहे थे । इस देश में एक प्लानिंग कमीशन भी है । जो नाला खंड़ंझा कहां बनेगा उसका हिसाब करते हैं । इतने लोग जो बेरोज़गार होंगे उसपर कोई प्रायर मेजर नहीं ।

The AI revolution is here - bringing both threats and opportunities. Our IT and services sector, a shining star of our economy, is at risk, and thousands of software engineers and professionals will lose their livelihoods if we do not prepare for the storm that is coming. But we have opportunities too. Data is the petrol which fuels the AI engine. As I said in parliament, India’s greatest asset is our brilliant people - and the enormous data we create. In a few days, the government is hosting a grand AI Summit. It should have been an opportunity for India to assert leadership - to demonstrate how a country of 1.4 billion people can use our data to shape the global AI future ON OUR OWN TERMS. Instead, a helpless PM Modi, has surrendered to the US ‘chokehold’ in the trade deal. Under the pretext of “clearing barriers to digital trade”, every move to use our data for our own benefit will be opposed. Already, large foreign companies enjoy a near monopoly on our data through Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Youtube, Amazon, Android, etc. With this deal, India will struggle to: •⁠ ⁠⁠Safely store the data of 1.5 billion Indians in India •⁠ ⁠⁠Get transparency in their source codes and algorithms •⁠ ⁠⁠Tax the profits they make using our data It’s a shame that our Prime Minister has been pressured to hand over India’s prime resource to a foreign power.

@RupakRoyC Would you pls suggest few names for study

What most of the people are doing If you follow the same you will be the average. In 2023 seen all were jumping in SME When valuation at peak and unrealistic. Don't follow what others are doing.

@Amara_Bengaluru @udaykotak His bank reports profit and you can check how much profit has been reported. Return on share price is not in his hands.

@udaykotak Your bank has delivered 2% returns in last 5 years for the shareholders. What growth and development are you talking about?

Budget first take. A budget for the real economy. Welcome increase in defence spend. Broad fiscal discipline continues. Works on balancing between financialisation of the economy, and focused development of diverse, deep India long term.

@nishikant_dubey निशिकांत दुबे तुम्हारे लिए एक शब्द है आ थू जो काम धृतराष्ट्र मोदी को करना चाहिए था वह कोर्ट ने किया है सामान्य वर्ग तुम्हारे धृतराष्ट्र मोदी को जरूर याद रखेंगा