Anca Agachi

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Anca Agachi

Anca Agachi

@AncaAgachi

🇷🇴 in 🇺🇲 via 🇪🇺. Defense Policy Analyst @RANDCorporation. Fellow @AtlanticCouncil. Security, conflict, emerging threats, foresight. Soapbox my own.

Washington, DC Katılım Temmuz 2016
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Anca Agachi
Anca Agachi@AncaAgachi·
🧵Those who know me know I care a lot about understanding the future of security+conflict & helping policy systems adapt for what tomorrow may bring. So it's a *great* day when I get to geek out about these issues w/ @politico. cc @POLITICOMag 1/n politico.com/news/magazine/…
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Anca Agachi
Anca Agachi@AncaAgachi·
Hope and patience. 🇷🇴 My analysis for @AtlanticCouncil on the recent Romanian election's implications.
Atlantic Council@AtlanticCouncil

Romanians don’t want more of the same, so how will Dan be different? “Hope and patience.” This is what Dan, the now president-elect of Romania, asked for in his speech when the first exit polls were released. Patience because his mandate will be an incredibly difficult one. Immediately, he will have to choose a prime minister and help establish a pro-European political coalition in the Romanian Parliament, one third of which is made up of far-right parties. He will need to help build trust in an economy that has the EU’s highest budget deficit compared to gross domestic product. And he will need to lead the country’s foreign policy at a time when the regional context for Romania has never been more dangerous given Russia’s continued war in Ukraine. In the long term, Dan will have to face down the unaddressed root causes of discontent that gave oxygen to far-right parties in the first place and brought Romania to the brink of disaster. The country is plagued by poverty, inequality, a failing public health system, corruption, and inefficient, unresponsive, and distrusted state institutions, as well as a forgotten diaspora. He will have to “rebuild a one Romania” together with a divided population. But Dan was also right to ask for hope. In the election result Sunday, Romania decided it cannot go back, and Romanians have firmly made the choice to remain anchored in the Western, transatlantic community. Despite external pressures, disinformation campaigns, suspicions of Russian interference, and fears of a contested election result, Romanians made it clear that they are European. But the same voters who turned out in massive numbers for two anti-system candidates also made it clear that more of the same in Romanian politics is simply not acceptable. This is the hope and the opportunity Romania is facing—starting now. — @AncaAgachi is a nonresident fellow with Transatlantic Security Initiative in the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. She currently serves as a defense policy analyst at the RAND Corporation, where she focuses on international security and defense issues.

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Anca Agachi
Anca Agachi@AncaAgachi·
My thoughts on yesterday's Romanian🇷🇴 election. The result certifies Romanians want to be firmly anchored in Europe, but the new president will have a difficult mandate ahead.
Atlantic Council@AtlanticCouncil

FAST THINKING: Bucharest Mayor @NicusorDanRO won Sunday’s 🇷🇴 Romanian presidential election. @Olari_Victoria, @AmbDanFried, and @AncaAgachi share their insights on what to expect next for Romania and for the country’s relations with the world: atlanticcouncil.org/content-series…

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Paul Poast
Paul Poast@ProfPaulPoast·
@AncaAgachi Yes, I do think there is something to this argument. Multipolarity simultaneously means more potential for proxy conflict (if great powers wish to get involved) AND more potential for neglect/distraction (if great powers occupied elsewhere). both undermine mediation.
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Anca Agachi
Anca Agachi@AncaAgachi·
Most anything @ProfPaulPoast writes is insightful, but this piece is particularly helpful in putting things into perspective, particularly in considering multipolarity as a potential underlying cause of present challenges.
Paul Poast@ProfPaulPoast

"We do not need to be in a world war to be in a world at war." I wrote that statement in a piece for @TheAtlantic, "Not a World War But a World at War" What does that statement mean? [THREAD] theatlantic.com/international/…

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Anca Agachi
Anca Agachi@AncaAgachi·
@ProfPaulPoast Of course! I do have a question: I have been thinking about the same question your article asks, and one idea I keep coming back to relates to this piece direct.mit.edu/daed/article/1… - do you consider multipolarity to supersede or underpin the demise of the standard treatment? 🙏🙏
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Anca Agachi
Anca Agachi@AncaAgachi·
And I also never read New Yorker articles about writing and post them on Twitter instead of actually writing the thing I am supposed to. newyorker.com/magazine/2017/…
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Rasmus Hindren
Rasmus Hindren@RasmusHindren·
A very welcome even if at times overly critical review of crisis management. There is now room for out-of-the-box thinking about the future of crisis management. What could crisis management look like in the era and context of strategic competition? 1/4
Jyrki Ruohomäki@JyrkiRuohomaki

In order to remain relevant, int. crisis management needs to change and adapt to the changing world. In this @FIIA_fi paper me and Olli Ruohomäki suggest ways towards more realistic, shorter, smaller and more effective interventions.

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Rasmus Hindren
Rasmus Hindren@RasmusHindren·
After three years at @HybridCoE, the time has come for me to move on, or rather return to @DefenceFinland. I will start in September in a newly created position where I will be in charge of Finland’s NATO and EU defence policy. A challenge that I’m eager to tackle.
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Anca Agachi
Anca Agachi@AncaAgachi·
@Rmanning4 @FT As early as 2018 the UN wrote about this and only now we are catching up. I recommend the entire HDR, it's good. Also, the problem is not only our "lifestyles" but rather systemic incentive structures that allow the unsustainable exploitation of resources. undp.org/belarus/public…
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Anca Agachi
Anca Agachi@AncaAgachi·
This is an excellent piece from @ricbdc about how we can move the needle on foresight. The need to make the discipline much more responsive and action-oriented is especially well taken.
Ricardo Borges de Castro 🇺🇦🇬🇱🟧@ricbdc

❓As EU’s executive capacity increases, #foresight should focus more on action & consider what needs to be done to avoid future problems before they develop. In simple terms, foresight needs to become #forethought‼️ Read @FabianZuleeg’s & my take: epc.eu/en/Publication… @epc_eu

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