Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋.

54 posts

Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋.

Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋.

@Applman94

Katılım Mayıs 2011
114 Takip Edilen38 Takipçiler
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus·
Yes. Similar to the $AMD DD, you’re making a huge mistake if you do not take the time to consider this opportunity. The ER sell-off for $CLS presented an incredible buying opportunity that has already been engulfed. I’ll be sharing dives on $MRVL $CRDO $BE $AMPX $RDDT next.
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus

$CLS Fundamental Deep Dive 🟢 Celestica OVERVIEW Celestica operates as a leading electronics manufacturing services (EMS) provider across Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) and Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS). FY2025 results showed significant momentum, with annual revenue of $12.39B, growing +28% YoY. CCS Segment delivered the bulk of growth (~74% of revenue), driven by hyperscaler demand, AI data center infrastructure, networking (400G/800G switches), and enterprise solutions. This is only the beginning of this vertical and their future driver of growth. Excited to see how their 1.6T programs and continued AI ramps perform in hyperscaler data centers in 2H 2026 and beyond. Broadcom provides the core switch silicon + optical engines. Celestica is the one turning that into deployable, rack-ready systems at volume for hyperscalers. They're the picks-and-shovels manufacturer riding the 1.6T + photonics wave. This is a big reason why $CLS has been positioned as a leveraged AI networking play. Their designed and ready to order 1.6T data center switches (DS6000 + DS6001), based on Broadcom Tomahawk 6 (TH6) silicon, helps to deliver 102.4 Tbps switching capacity, doubling capacity from their prior 800G platforms. The ATS Segment provides more stable contributions from industrial, aerospace/defense, and health tech, though with flatter growth as focus shifts toward high-margin CCS opportunities. Profitability is set to explode in the years moving forward as AI products mix into the portfolio. Adjusted operating margin reached new highs around 7.5%+ with strong EPS growth (~$6.05). FCF remains solid despite the planned capital expenditure ramp for AI capacity. I initiated a position in $CLS in early April and doubled down on my exposure yesterday after the recent drawdown it experienced despite an extremely strong earnings report this week. Technically, the $310-$350 range serves as the ideal area to accumulate; however, it reached that yesterday and the corrective process may already be over, running strongly AH today. $CLS sits at a $43 Billion market capitalization. Its valuation reflects strong growth expectations with a ~44x Trailing P/E and ~3x P/S Ratio, indicative of the stock sitting at a premium. Despite guiding for $19 Billion in revenue this year, the reason for the valuation being so tame is secondary to it being a low margin business. As they grow margins over the coming quarters and EPS explodes higher, anticipate a smooth rise in valuation. Their TAM is significant and this is an extremely comfortable long moving forward. ----------------------------------- GROWTH OUTLOOK Under CEO Rob Mionis, Celestica has consistently outperformed expectations. Management projects robust revenue growth over the next 3–5 years, driven largely by CCS + AI infrastructure acceleration. The CCS Segment projects strong double-digit growth (~30-40% YoY in FY26 and FY27 sequentially) due to expanded hyperscaler/AI focus, a vertical that will also leads to adjusted Operating Margins expanding toward 8%+. Product roadmaps support this outlook, as shown by their unveiling of 1.6T data center switches becoming available to order with next-generation AI programs such as 800G acceleration ramping in 2H 2026. Over 2026, the company is projected to report ~$19B Revenue and $10.15 adjusted EPS. This will be followed by even stronger growth in 2027, implying visibility and penetration improvement. I am positioning before this inflection starts, similar to the idea with $AMD when we entered in the $180s. Risks include cyclical demand, supply chain/CapEx execution, customer concentration, and broader macro slowdowns in tech spending. ----------------------------------- FAIR VALUE ESTIMATE Using an aggregated valuation approach based on many different disciplines of FA (DCF, Relative Multiples, Analysts, etc.), the current FVE of $CLS is $440/share according to my estimates. This does not take into account its future prospects and potential for momentum to accelerate price far beyond this FVE due to that. LONG-TERM ESTIMATES Assuming $CLS consistently meets aggressive growth targets (revenue ramps and margins expanding), this is their potential path forward valuation-wise when using P/E multiples and expected EPS values. End-2026 = $500+ End-2027 = $700+ End-2028 = $900+ End-2029 = $1,100+ All in all, this is a high conviction investment in the years to come and I find that, with great execution, it is one that can easily multiply its valuation over the next half a decade.

English
1
0
15
2.2K
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus·
Awesome :) Happy to see $AUR finally working out. A patient one, but I anticipate the company to lead the frontier of autonomous freight. I am keen on a long once it confirms a strong shift in trend and converts overhead resistance ($7-$8) to support. It’s nice to see tickers that have been weak for so long finally gain momentum. It is a great sign that the market is healing.
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋 tweet media
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus

$AUR LT Wave 5 PT = $15 🟢 Base Case Starting to show signs of reversal, Aurora may begin to run hot during this Bull Market leg moving forward as long as the upcoming ER is strong and the theme of autonomous semis gains traction. A leader in the space alongside $TSLA, this is a long-term holding as the company has the tech stack to dominate the field eventually. Ahead of the game in terms of proven and trained mileage, revenue will begin to be generated this year, rapidly inflecting 2027 and beyond. Their connections to $NVDA help as well no doubt. Anyways. The stock perfectly landed on my .786 Fib ($3.60) of LT Wave 4 to form a low in early November. It has been a patient wait, but the first signs of a strong base breakout following accumulation are here. A Weekly 8/21EMA Bullish Crossover has been held thus far, with tight Bollingers on the Weekly that can lead to an explosive move once it starts moving and cuts through massive overhead resistance between $5-$7. Converting that support will confirm a comfortably initiation of LT Wave 5. Just a matter of time. R/R is favorable at this time. Best of luck if interested!

English
5
1
47
3.6K
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus·
Chartradamus Portfolio - (4/29/2026) I've consolidated my positions. At this time, these are my holdings and their respective weight. I do not expect to initiate many new positions. I plan to ride these winners out, trimming/cutting into strength and adding when appropriate.
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋 tweet media
English
11
1
69
2.8K
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus·
The great Magnificent 7 Flash Crash of April 2026 will be one to remember. RIP to the paper hands.
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋 tweet media
English
2
0
23
1.6K
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus·
$ASTS Seems the stove is on and the water is about to boil. If not, I guess we can go ahead and never trust this source of options activity ever again. It should serve as a good test of its effectiveness.
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋 tweet media
English
12
3
94
7K
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus·
Clean upside on all 5 adds from yesterday thus far despite the market bleeding even further. I expect the broader market to shake off much of the current macro pressure easily. Momentum is far too strong on a long-term outlook and historical precedence sets the tone for upside. $ES_F $SPX $SPY tested the Daily 8EMA today as $DJI is experiencing 5 consecutive red days in a row, a phenomenon that often marks a bottom for an index. Perhaps that will force upside across the board too or simply outperformance from the Dow Jones Industrials - I am not sure. This comes as the $MMFD (Stocks Above 5DMA) reading is at 27, which is quite low and nearing a bottom signal. At the end of the day, it seems bears will only roughly receive a maximal drawdown of 2% from here. Very tame and I’m sleeping easy on all of my positions. High beta has been getting crushed, but many of the strongest setups are simply carving a higher low ahead of earnings. Perhaps a bit of de-risking. The companies that deliver great results will be rewarded in the weeks moving forward.
Ch🅰️rtradamus 🔋@Chartradamus

Starting to dip my toes into a few names here. $CRDO $MRVL $CLS $NBIS $AMPX in particular. Fond of the RSI Bullish Divergence forming on $ES_F on lower timeframes as we backtest its 1H 200MA. I’ll deploy additional buying power in the event we trend another 1-2% lower over the coming days. Calmly averaging into positions. There are several rising indicators below to refer to on the road down that will dictate the resilience of this market. $VIX has not blown out today, remaining tame despite the magnitude of the drawdown. A positive sign. I’ll be sure to monitor data as always and raise any red flags when I observe them, but for now everything seems in order.

English
1
0
18
1.8K
Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋.
Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋.@Applman94·
"Tired of feeling stuck in your language learning Try this: 10 minutes of shadowing (repeat native speakers immediately) + 5 new words in context daily. Small, consistent steps = BIG progress. #LanguageHacks #LearnEnglish"
Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋. tweet media
English
0
0
1
4
Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋. retweetledi
natasha
natasha@natashap1951·
Just finished binge-watching the latest season of [综艺名,如:Running Man]—the laughter, challenges, and unexpected twists had me hooked! Who’s your favorite cast member Drop a comment below! #VarietyShowBinge #MustWatch #PopCultureVibes
natasha tweet media
English
0
2
0
3
Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋. retweetledi
edra
edra@wawamady·
Sunshine, iced coffee u0026 a good book—perfect lazy afternoon combo
edra tweet media
English
0
1
0
3
Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋.
Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋.@Applman94·
Just finished binging the latest episode of [综艺名]—the game challenges had me screaming, laughing, and gasping! Who’s your favorite cast member Drop a if you’re hooked too! #综艺打卡 #MustWatchVariety
Ch🅰️rtardannus 🔋. tweet media
English
0
0
2
10