Tony 🛡️ Risk-first | Crypto + Macro

🌍 Macro Market Dashboard - Friday, 20th. Less relief than conviction: high oil, a firm dollar, and volatility still uncomfortably elevated. 📉 🇺🇸 U.S. Futures: S&P 500: 6,660 (-0.38%) Nasdaq 100: 24,463 (-0.53%) Dow Jones: 46,341 (-0.29%) The open points to caution, and the Nasdaq remains the most sensitive to the rise in yields and energy. 🇪🇺 Europe: Euro Stoxx 50: 5,614 (-2.14%) DAX: 22,840 (-2.82%) IBEX 35: 16,906 (-2.27%) FTSE 100: 10,064 (-2.35%) Europe comes off a clearly defensive session, heavily marked by the energy shock. 🌏 Asia: 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225: 53,373 (-3.38%) 🇨🇳 China: 3,957 (-2.61%) Asia also reflected a risk-off tone, with Japan and China correcting sharply. 🛢️ Oil: WTI: $94 (-2.03%) Brent: $104 (-0.13%) Crude has eased from recent highs, but it remains in a very elevated range and keeps inflation pressure alive. 🇺🇸 Bonds: U.S. 10-year Treasury: 4.28% (+0.52%) Yields remain high: although they are easing somewhat intraday today, the broader message is still one of less accommodative rates. 💵 🇺🇸 Dollar: DXY: 99.39 (+0.16%) The dollar remains firm, a sign that the market is still cautious. 📊 Volatility: VIX: 25.22 (+4.82%) Volatility remains at uncomfortable levels and does not confirm a normalization in risk. 🥇 Gold: $4,662 (+1.22%) Gold is once again acting as a safe haven despite the firm dollar. 🥈 Silver: $71.88 (+0.93%) Silver is rebounding, but with less prominence than Gold. ₿ Bitcoin: $71,100 (+1.56%) Bitcoin is holding up better than the macro tone would suggest, but for now it looks more like a tactical rebound than a clear return in risk appetite. 😱 Sentiment: Stock Fear & Greed: 17.3 — Extreme Fear Crypto Fear & Greed: 11 — Extreme Fear Sentiment remains very deteriorated in both equities and crypto, although equities show a slight improvement versus yesterday. 🧠 Quick read: 📉 Equities: falling 🛢 Oil: down 📈 Yields: rising 💵 Dollar: strong 📊 Volatility: rising 🥇 Gold: strong ₿ Bitcoin: sideways 🥈 Silver: strong ➡️ Market regime: defensive tone, with energy still under tension, elevated volatility, and selective safe-haven demand. Disclaimer: educational analysis, not financial advice. If you find it useful, support me so I can keep sharing this dashboard every day.

GM — exactly. Strong picture. This is what real adoption looks like. Still plenty ahead.

Very interesting 🤔

@MarioNawfal Exactly: saying “no” to Trump is the easy part; the real test starts when energy prices spike, markets get shaky, and every country goes back to protecting its own wallet. That’s when you find out whether Europe is actually serious or just united for the photo.

🚨🇪🇺🇺🇸 Trump just did something remarkable: he united Europe by asking them to join his Iran war. One by one, from Poland to Spain, every European ally told him no. Germany's chancellor said the question of military involvement "does not arise." Even Poland, usually Washington's most loyal partner, passed. This is a different Europe than the one that split over the Iraq War two decades ago. But the unity is surface-level. Behind closed doors, EU countries are fighting over energy bailouts, whether to normalize relations with Russia for cheap gas, and how much to appease Trump versus confront him. As one EU foreign minister put it: "Each new geopolitical crisis pulls us apart a little more and makes it increasingly obvious that we can't act as a united bloc." Europe wasn't consulted before this war started and won't help fight it, but it's stuck dealing with the fallout anyway. Source: Financial Times

This is heading straight to swallow the friction between Wall Street and the rest of the world.

You aren't crazy. Your money just buys less. Beat the system. Invest! 🫵

🚨BREAKING $ADA has been listed officially by the SEC as being a commodity among other crypto like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP.

🚨BREAKING: US recession probability is about to cross 50%. Since the Iran War began, oil has surged ~60% from $70 to nearly $120 a barrel in under 3 weeks. Moody's expects the next update to push recession odds past 50%, a level not seen outside an active recession. That's a +15 point surge in just 6 months. The chart below tells you everything you need to know. Every single recession since WW2, except COVID, was preceded by an oil spike. History is rhyming.

TODAY 🚨: The Commission issued an interpretation that clarifies the application of federal securities laws to crypto assets. This is a major step to provide greater clarity regarding the Commission’s treatment of crypto assets. Read the release here: ow.ly/XhhV50YvxvO

🌍 Macro Market Dashboard — March 18. Less euphoria, more tension: crude remains elevated, the dollar is not letting up, and the stock market rebound is still coexisting with fear. 🏦 Fed: Key decision this afternoon (FOMC Statement: 19:00h) Powell speaks at 19:30h. The market expects a pause in rates, but the real focus will be on the message, the projections, and the tone around inflation, oil, and next moves. 📉 🇺🇸 U.S. futures: S&P 500: 6,806 (+0.49% 24h) Nasdaq 100: 25,124 (+0.50% 24h) Dow Jones: 47,032 (+0.31% 24h) Tactical rebound ahead of the Fed. 🇪🇺 Europe: Euro Stoxx 50: 5,816 (+0.82% 24h) DAX: 23,872 (+0.59% 24h) IBEX 35: 17,447 (+1.16% 24h) FTSE 100: 10,423 (+0.19% 24h) Europe is rebounding strongly, but remains highly sensitive to energy and central banks. 🌏 Asia: 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225: 55,239 (+2.87% 24h) 🇨🇳 China: 4,062 (+0.32% 24h) Asia joined the global rebound, with Japan leading. 🛢️ Oil: WTI: $94 (-1.60% 24h) Brent: $102 (-1.11% 24h) It is pulling back somewhat, but still remains in an uncomfortable zone for inflation and growth. 🇺🇸 Bonds: U.S. 10-year Treasury: 4.18% (-0.41% 24h) Yields are easing somewhat, a sign of caution ahead of the Fed. 💵 🇺🇸 Dollar: DXY: 99 (+0.03% 24h) Dollar remains firm, with the underlying tone still defensive. 📊 Volatility: VIX: 22 (-1.43% 24h) The tone is improving, but volatility remains uncomfortable. 🥇 Gold: $5,001 (-0.14% 24h) The safe haven is losing some traction today, without breaking its structural strength. 🥈 Silver: $79 It remains weaker than gold in relative terms. ₿ Bitcoin: $72,954 (-1.47% 24h) Persistent weakness; no clean signal of a return to risk. 😱 Sentiment: Stocks Fear & Greed: 26.2 — extreme fear Crypto Fear & Greed: 26 — fear Sentiment remains deteriorated; the price rebound has not yet rebuilt confidence. 🧠 Quick read: 📉 Stocks: up 🛢 Oil: down 📈 Yields: down 💵 Dollar: strong 📊 Volatility: down 🥇 Gold: sideways ₿ Bitcoin: weak 🥈 Silver: sideways-weak ➡️ Market regime: tactical rebound in equities, but with a still defensive tone and the Fed as the key catalyst for the session. Disclaimer: educational analysis, not financial advice. If you find this useful, support me so I can keep sharing this dashboard every day.

Hormuz moving slower doesn’t feel calming, it feels ominous. The real hit comes later through insurance, shipping and inflation… and then everyone pretends it was a surprise.

@BunkerEconomico 50€ para 2 Max!

¿En qué precio una cena deja de ser un plan y pasa a ser un vacile? 💸 La nueva experiencia premium:

🤯

@coinbureau Por fin!!

⚡️CARDANO ADDS SPANISH LANGUAGE SUPPORT Cardano’s official website cardano .org has added Spanish, joining Japanese, Vietnamese, and German as supported languages. The update comes as community contributors continue translating the site.

@LaPetiteADA Mi pasión el padel!!!

The ball is in our court now. 😉🎾

🌍 Macro Market Dashboard — March 16. Relief bounce in equities, but the market is still not pricing in calm: oil remains elevated, the dollar is firm, and sentiment stays defensive. 📉 🇺🇸 U.S. Futures: S&P 500: 6,672 (+0.50% 24h) Nasdaq 100: 24,557 (+0.70% 24h) Dow Jones: 46,746 (+0.30% 24h) Futures are rebounding, but the move still looks more like a relief bid than a clean return to risk appetite. 🇪🇺 Europe: Euro Stoxx 50: 5,691 (-0.43% 24h) DAX: 23,602 (+0.66% 24h) IBEX 35: 16,927 (-0.77% 24h) FTSE 100: 10,305 (+0.43% 24h) Europe is mixed, with energy and inflation pressure still preventing a broad-based risk-on tone. 🌏 Asia: 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225: 53,751 (-0.13% 24h) 🇨🇳 China / Shanghai Composite: 4,084.79 (-0.26% 24h) Asia closed softer, reflecting caution rather than confidence ahead of central-bank risk and the oil shock backdrop. 🛢️ Oil: WTI: $97.17 (-1.56% 24h) Brent: $103.01 (-0.13% 24h) Crude is off the highs, but prices remain high enough to keep inflation and growth concerns alive. 🇺🇸 Bonds: U.S. 10-year Treasury: 4.261% (-0.49% 24h) Yields are easing modestly this morning, which is helping the equity bounce, but they remain elevated in a market still repricing inflation risk. 💵 🇺🇸 Dollar: DXY: 100.34 The dollar remains firm near multi-month highs, consistent with a still-defensive macro backdrop. 📊 Volatility: VIX: 25.46 (-6.36% 24h) Volatility is cooling from stressed levels, but it remains high enough to say the market has not fully normalized. 🥇 Gold: $5,001 (-1.02% 24h) Reading: Gold is pulling back as the dollar stays firm and the market trims part of the immediate panic bid. 🥈 Silver: $78.73 (-3.21% 24h) Reading: Silver is underperforming gold, signaling weaker cyclical metal demand and a less constructive message from the growth side of the tape. ₿ Bitcoin: $73,887 (+3.48% 24h) Reading: Bitcoin is rebounding, but with the dollar still firm and sentiment still fearful, this reads more like a tactical bounce than a full risk-on reset. 😱 Sentiment: Stock Fear & Greed: 22 / Extreme Fear Crypto Fear & Greed: 23 / Extreme Fear Sentiment remains clearly defensive across both traditional and crypto markets despite the rebound in prices. Liquidity is not collapsing, but it is also not yet delivering the kind of fresh impulse that would clearly overpower geopolitical and inflation stress. 🧠 Quick read: 📉 Equities: mixed to higher 🛢 Oil: still elevated, off intraday highs 📈 Yields: lower this morning 💵 Dollar: firm 📊 Volatility: easing, still elevated 🥇 Gold: weaker ₿ Bitcoin: tactical rebound 🥈 Silver: weak ➡️ Market regime: Relief rally inside a still-defensive macro regime, with oil and sentiment preventing a clean return to risk. Disclaimer: educational analysis, not investment advice. If this dashboard is useful, support me so I can keep sharing it every day.

$60k looks like the key battlefield — you might get a quick wick below, but if power-law support + the gold/BTC ratio hold, that zone should act as the floor.

Stocks rebound, tension stays. 📊 Global snapshot U.S.: moderate rebound Europe: slightly better, but fragile Japan: in the red China: in the red Stocks are bouncing. The market, not really. The signal is still the same: high oil, a stronger dollar, and more noise around rates. That weakens the fast-cuts narrative and puts the uncomfortable word back on the table: stagflation. Today looks like tactical relief. But the broader tone is still defensive. WHAT TO WATCH TODAY: Whether oil cools off or tightens again Whether the dollar and bonds keep putting pressure on markets Whether this rebound holds or fades If this market snapshot helps, like, share, and follow for the daily read. #Economy #Finance #Markets #Investing

🌍 Market Macro Dashboard — March 13 A defensive tone again: high crude, a firm dollar, and equities under pressure. Quick read for today: 📉 Equities: down 🛢 Oil: up 📈 Yields: mixed 💵 Dollar: strong 📊 Volatility: elevated ₿ Bitcoin: rebounding 🥇 Gold: strong 🥈 Silver: weak Broad money keeps expanding and weekly liquidity is up versus the prior week, but the market is still being driven by energy, inflation, and safe-haven flows. ➡️ Market regime: risk-off, with high crude, a strong dollar, and pressure on equities. 📉 U.S. Futures: 🇺🇸 S&P 500: 6,675 (-0.03%) 🇺🇸 Nasdaq 100: 24,542 (-0.07%) 🇺🇸 Dow Jones: 46,717 (-0.01%) 🇪🇺 Europe: 🇪🇺 Euro Stoxx 50: 5,688 (-1.15%) 🇩🇪 DAX: 23,387 (-0.86%) 🇪🇸 IBEX 35: 16,969 (-1.00%) 🇬🇧 FTSE 100: 10,259 (-0.45%) 🌏 Asia: 🇯🇵 Nikkei: 225: 53,693 (+0.39%) 🇨🇳 China / Shanghai Composite: 4,095 (-0.82%) 🛢️ Oil: 🇺🇸 WTI: $95.40 (-0.34%) 🌍 Brent: $101.17 (+0.71%) 🇺🇸 U.S. 10Y Treasury: 4.272% (-0.05%) 💵 U.S. Dollar: 100.15 (+0.41%) 🇺🇸 VIX: 27.10 (-0.70%) 🥇 Gold: $5,097 (-0.55%) 🥈 Silver: $82.582 (-2.97%) ₿ Bitcoin: $72,264 (+3.29%) 😱 Sentiment: 🇺🇸 Stock Market Fear & Greed: 21/100 ₿ Crypto Fear & Greed: 15/100 Takeaway: U.S. futures are soft, while Europe is clearly in the red.

Most people still misunderstand how giant companies really make money. Amazon looks like e-commerce, but AWS was only ~18% of 2025 sales and still generated ~57% of operating income. Google looks like AI, but ads still brought in ~73% of revenue. Microsoft looks like software, but Azure alone is already more than 26% of total revenue. NVIDIA looks like gaming, but ~91.5% of its latest quarter came from Data Center. McDonald’s looks like burgers, but the real machine is the franchise network. The product gets the attention. The hidden toll booth gets the profits. If you want to understand a business, don’t just ask what it sells. Ask where the economics really sit.