Inrah Lakha | Oqtlohs Ihslgnt

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$NVDA up 4% yesterday but $SMH unchanged. I added a put condor on Semis last week, here's why... One: Very overbought levels with RSI hitting 85, but bearish divergence on the composite indicator (my preferred momentum gauge) Two: the move is parabolic. Not "trending hard." Parabolic. The angle of the chart is steeper than anything that's held for the last six months. Three: Catalyst. Earnings have been great from $INTC and $TSM and we have $AMD coming next week. If that disappoints already high expectations then a pullback is likely. There is also the "small" issue of helium shortages due to lack of movement in SoH which has been masked by inventories so far. That can't last forever, so the longer this issue isn't resolved the more likely we hit the sudden stop risk. Vol is pretty high in SMH, but selling calls in a parabolic up move is not my style. Put condors give me access to the pullback, time for it to play out and low theta while I wait.

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