Best Ball Data Muse

Best Ball Muse is now live. Search your Underdog username and see where you rank on the leaderboard, your 3-year BBM advance rate, and your best + worst picks of all time. 5 years of best ball stats, ADP tracking, strategy trends, and every article I write. All free.

@DaShmutz Yooo this is sick! You grinded this out!

@BBDataMuse Finally won all 5 BBMs 🥇 🥇 🥇 🥇 🥇

Best Ball Muse is now live. Search your Underdog username and see where you rank on the leaderboard, your 3-year BBM advance rate, and your best + worst picks of all time. 5 years of best ball stats, ADP tracking, strategy trends, and every article I write. All free.

@ChessLiam @Sherman_FFB yes lower = better, means a smaller % of teams could've beaten the week 17 winner score. Basically a 3-way tie with ameen and lgrewe

@BBDataMuse @Sherman_FFB Is .03% better than .04%? Just checking if Sam was “much higher than co.”?

Winning BBM takes an insane roster AND a string of good luck in pod stages. Here's a quick look at how "lucky" the last 5 winners have gotten on their way to the finals. @ChessLiam had the strongest team throughout pods and the highest week 17 total. @Sherman_FFB had the narrowest path. He had under a 2% chance to make the finals, and didn't have above a 50% chance to advance in any of his pods.

@Sherman_FFB @ChessLiam better than Pat & Liam, close with lgrewe and ameen % of playoff teams who would've outscored the champ in week 17, by year 2021 chessliam - 0.1% 2022 dailyrojo - 1.4% (Damar Hamlin) 2023 ameen0811 - 0.04% 2024 lgrewe50 - 0.03% 2025 sherman - 0.04%

@BBDataMuse @ChessLiam and resting my case - I assume that is a much higher percentile than Pat, Liam, & co.?

1) that's okay- I have other sources for Marshawn Lloyd bull takes 2) sure- there were 129 teams in the contest (672,672 total entries) that could've beat your week 17 score. 44/129 made the playoffs. Only 3/44 made it to week 16 before losing. So percentile wise, your score was top 0.04% of all playoff teams

@BBDataMuse @ChessLiam 1) blocked and reported 2) curious if you look at what percentile the week 17 score was relative to all other playoff teams, how do the teams compare?

How I calc'd these: for each winner's round score, I took the % of that year's field at the winner's score who advanced. The "reach finals" odds multiplies the per-round rates together (treats each round independently). I used actual advance data from each year, so anyone can replicate this.

@ChessLiam @Sherman_FFB See if you can beat their teams: bestballmuse.com/colosseum

@M00NSHOTINATI Yo nice!! You win the $25 gift card- check your DMs.

@BBDataMuse Loved the contest! Just pulled a win on mixed era + Ball Knowledge mode!

First person to win 1st place in Mixed Era + Ball Knowledge mode and reply/quote with the screenshot gets a $25 Amazon gift card. This is VERY challenging, because you need to remember who had a great season and who popped off in the playoff weeks. Not expecting this to happen quickly, but prove me wrong!

@SnakeTendencies Thanks man! Insanely impressive on ball knowledge mode

@BBDataMuse Incredible work here, for real. This is fun. Top Ten finish! Mixed Era/Ball Knowledge.

Even if you knew the future, could you win Best Ball Mania? Introducing BBM Colosseum: my best ball spin on the 82-0 game. You draft 9 players with hindsight. A CPU co-drafter fills the other 9 around ADP. Then your roster has to survive real BBM pod luck and win the finals.

@RealJimWebb Yeah really tough to get through weeks 15 and 16 with those scores. Crazy how much you have to balance week 17 performers with the week 15/16 performers you need to get there.

@DaShmutz Yeah I spent a lot of time "testing" this game lol- super addicting chasing the guys you need and then tryna get lucky in pods

@BBDataMuse Absolutely brutal game, but I’m hooked

@DynastyZack 5th place on your first attempt is nuts. Getting through week 15 with only 29% chance with good pod luck is huge though, really allows you to prioritize the week16/week17 big hitters. Also good CPU RNG on week 17 hits- '25 Charbonnet and '21 DK Metcalf is great.

@DaShmutz Nice! Some lucky CPU picks with George Pickens & Luther Burden. It does feel like hammering the good QBs makes getting to the finals easier (and of course Kyle Pitts every single time)

@BBDataMuse 1st Try

@billhiggins23 Yeah CPU can be brutal, really shows how many 0s there end up being in ranges of the draft you expect to get value. I also get tilted being forced to pick 2025 Kyle Pitts every time I see his name, because that 40 point week 16 is huge for making the finals.

@BBDataMuse this is fun for sure. I want to strangle the CPU tho, picked 4 playoff zeroes for me.

You can also freshen up on the best playoff performances by week and year here: bestballmuse.com/history/leader…

I had a ton of fun making and testing this. Play a few times and you'll realize just how hard it is to win BBM. You can draft an absurd team, hit 9 great picks, and still lose in the pod stages or not have enough gas in week 17 to finish 1st.

@Aliquickk Thanks- only BBM data right now. If UD or DK ever publishes other raw contest data, I'll absolutely add them.

@BBDataMuse Does this exist with other contest types potentially? Great work.