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BLASH_DAIKO
8.1K posts
@CeeMacBee It is inevitable. UK is an island and much like Japan. El imperio en el que nunca se pone el sol was lala land for few centuries in Europe and about 5 decades for jp. History is a spring and it's time for British(Japanese) living in reality.
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Here is my new paper for the Great British Business Council on the importance of oil, gas and coal to the UK economy.
The UK’s industrial decline is not inevitable, but the result of decades of deliberate policy choices that have undermined domestic energy production and driven manufacturing offshore. Lowering UK employment and tax revenues, while increasing the UK trade deficit.
The paper also includes a plan to reverse this.
gbbc.uk/uk-deindustria…
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@FortuneOptions I'm not sure about July or Oct as the low yet. But man this market is getting exciting and more challenging then 2024/25 for sure
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I’ll be very clear with my thoughts: If conflict is ongoing, still lower. If conflict is resolved still lower. Crude I still see staying higher into June. Dollar put in low of year already. I still see the best buying opportunity in October of this year for our index’s.
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Bullflag bear flag etc until it stops working
Failed breakup/breakdown is a wayyyy better phrase to saying and psychological change the entry/exit strategy! @Barkworth17 thank you so much Barky!
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If I'm not stopped out, I would take profit here at 6600-6610.
Sold some MT baghold into this strength.
I'm not bullish and think it's a counter rally. Close above 6680, I'll assess bull case
BLASH_DAIKO@BLASH_Daiko
Historically we never have a straight down to target (5600-5700 for me in July, mb Oct). 1973 2000 08 23 we all bounced to at least 50%. For the worst local low I see, I see the bounce back to 6575 to 6710 range.
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This is actually why the #lag7 will continue to underperform
amit@amitisinvesting
SPACEX HAS OFFICIALLY FILED FOR AN IPO. SpaceX Revenue — $15B, targeting a $1.75T valuation $META Revenue — $200B, currently at a $1.45T valuation Are you buying the SpaceX IPO?
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@DonMiami3 @adamscochran @JibbaJabb That's beauty of language. My reading: 3 US officials told discussion (btw Pentagon and WH) if we ceasefire with Iran, strait will open with these conditions.
The officials said it is unclear if (a final list can be reached btw Pentagon and WH)
No Iran ever involved
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Every time Axios has had one of these headlines in the past two weeks we find out:
-It came from multiple US officials
-No mediator countries or Iranian sources validated the reporting
-The multiple sources on the US side resolve to the same source in the admin
That's not to say it isn't happening - but we certainly can't take the statements at face value at this point.
Axios@axios
🚨 NEW: The U.S. and Iran are discussing a potential deal that would involve a ceasefire in exchange for Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, three U.S. officials tell Axios. axios.com/2026/04/01/tru…
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@sal_zinger @adamscochran Let me rephrase English to all of you. 3 US officials told me discussion (Pentagon and WH are discussing) xxx ceasefire with Iran in return (if we list ABC, Iran would open the strait!).
The officials said it is unclear if (a final list can be reached btw Pentagon and WH!)
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@adamscochran It's Barak Ravi, all signs of deflecting attention then launching a ground invasion..
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6647-6672
My level 6603-6628
But most time they make blizzard move in few minutes so I can't trade future to begin with due to time strain
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4
Levels are certainly respecting well. There is nothing to do but hold runner in #ES_F. 6592 was support given at 8am. It held almost exact for low of day. Targets given were 6624 (hit), 6638 (hit), 6647 (we've been here 1hr, holding almost exact). There is just 6672 left above
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@RyanCraigMusick @TimeTrades1 Heading into multiple resists above. Fights and bad news come over the weekend.
Looking for acceptance there TT's white levrl (even gap up ON), structure breakdown fail leading higher (bullish)
Longer the consolidation, worse (bearish) and ofc bear flag forming later.
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$NQ harmonic to harmonic bounce.
This won't be bullish to me until we separate above the white line.
Time Trades@TimeTrades1
$NQ Clean bounce off the harmonic support level at 23013. This bounce should retest the next higher harmonic at 24240 or the white magic level at 24480.
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BLASH_DAIKO retweetledi
@Trading_Boxes "it found acceptance inside of it and a move to other side of the range was target." After watching @Barkworth17 video I finally realize I never watch the acceptance, just in when price and time aligned with my system and I became lazy to not look 3 diff TFs.
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@Trading_Boxes My levels are for spx. ES is abt 40 points higher than spx. For an option trader also wants the cheap gamma so generally in early a bit. I got swept out during ystday close.
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850 point move or as some would call it 18R on the 23k buy in #NQ_F. Here is the video to breakdown Location, Market structure, and Entry criteria all aligning to help me enter last night and close this afternoon. #NQ_F
Trading Boxes📦@Trading_Boxes
Doing a video on what I was looking for down there (on top of the weekend video) and will share here if interested
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Realized one more thing that I got deeply wrong after watching Barky's video. When market tends to backtest previous support, ex 6440 now. I was thinking to size UP for same nominal profit. However just realize I should DOWN in case of failed breakup.
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$NQ_F How Did the System Give the Big Long Again?
Full demonstration of system, entry model and Tradingview indicator here:
vimeo.com/1179095544/939…
🅱🄰🆁🅺🆆🄾🆁🆃🅷 ™@Barkworth17
$ES_F $SPY $NQ_F $QQQ Week 14 Plan Complete and Paid. 820 points NQ 202 points ES Yesterday’s plan was to get higher and test the daily EMA9. That worked and completed the plan for this week. Called in real time, here's the proof: barkworth17.substack.com/p/markets-at-f… Are markets tough? I typically see people quit their trading career when market is this difficult, but I offer a simple framework with an entry model, and teach with the use of video shorts every single day via my newsletter. One plan. One edge. One Newsletter - Every single day!
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@Barkworth17 x.com/i/status/20378… is this the video you refer to?
I'm buying the reversal since I trade options and want the cheap gamma. My system does prediction on timing as well.
🅱🄰🆁🅺🆆🄾🆁🆃🅷 ™@Barkworth17
$NQ_F - so how did my system nail the exact day the market broke down after I gave you reversal setups for 4 months in a row? This market has been extremely rewarding for me and my group, simply because the system defines when a trend ends and from that moment we are only allowed to buy/sell reversals. This signal came late November last year, when the daily EMA9 uptrend ended, and then sellers failed to break her down. So both buyers and sellers failed to establish an EMA9 trend after a strong advance. That principle alone defines neutralisation of a trend. From that moment, you buy/sell EMA9 reversals and trail until the EMA9 trend ends. I've done a short video on the current market status and explain this simple concept that for some reason so many are oblivious to. What is the logic? - Price action is binary, there are only two groups: buyers and sellers. - At the end of an advance, both groups get only one shot at continuation. - When the break out and the breakdown both have failed, the trend is neutralised and we have to zoom out to the EMA9 trend on the related timeframe above. This is a peek into my methodology. The Discord is full of educational videos like this, and my daily video guidance teaches the principles before we take our trades.
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@BLASH_Daiko PS. The entry was Tuesday - Monday was just the bounce to form the setup. Continuation failed on Tuesday 8PM New York time.
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$ES_F $SPY $NQ_F $QQQ
Week 14 Plan Complete and Paid.
820 points NQ
202 points ES
Yesterday’s plan was to get higher and test the daily EMA9. That worked and completed the plan for this week.
Called in real time, here's the proof: barkworth17.substack.com/p/markets-at-f…
Are markets tough? I typically see people quit their trading career when market is this difficult, but I offer a simple framework with an entry model, and teach with the use of video shorts every single day via my newsletter.
One plan. One edge. One Newsletter - Every single day!
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BLASH_DAIKO retweetledi
B: The 4-Year Cycle is NOT Respected (Soft Landing / Blow-off Top)
Blow-off Top phase 9k until Feb–Mar 2027.
Then recession hits in mid-to-late 2027, leads to a massive correction during the Shemitah year, crashing -70/80% back to COVID levels (~2800 area) by 2032/33 (chart)
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A: The 4-Year Cycle is Respected (Recession Now) and the market hits 5300 (chart) around October 2026.It triggers a massive wave of (QE) and resets the market cycle.
Because the cycle resets normally, the long-term growth is leading to targets of 14K–20K by 2032.
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His scenarios:
A: 4 yr cycle on. 2026 Oct low 5k3. QE on. 14k-20k by 2032
B: 4 yr off. No recession. Blow off top 9k feb/mar 2027. massive "double-down" during the Shemitah year, back to COVID levels (~2800 area) by 2032/33 (chart
BLASH_DAIKO@BLASH_Daiko
@EtherRawl @grok what does "valid if this year we do not respect the four-year cycle, as most expect. If we do respect it, we have a clear invalidation point" mean?
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