BTC Tides

Here’s the real reason behind this equity rally that no one has been able to tell you: Positioning unwind (see thread below) + markets front-running the initial nominal revenue boost from the coming energy-driven inflation shock (Yes, inflation is coming). Prices rise first → short-term earnings look great. This is what markets are front running now. But once inflation hits costs and triggers demand destruction, equities WILL reprice lower. HARD. This is exactly why BTC WON’T see a new ATH rally anytime soon. Anyone that tells you it will, is going to cost you money. BTC has no corporate revenue, currently no options positioning tailwind to unwind, and no ability to pass on inflation. BTC price is driven PURELY by macro TIDES. I will tell you as soon as the Tide shifts from Falling to Rising = THE time to go ALL IN BTC/Crypto.

@elchantaal I can; 85k is my max upside, but given the current macro flows, it will likely reverse.

Conseguiá Bitcoin romper los 80k? Es una barrera psicológica muy fuerte

@bariksis Trust me, It's Oct-Nov 2019, and I will make a post today/tomorrow showing why exactly based on macro conditions

I'm getting November 2024 vibes. Anyone else?

@fammetaX Did we really think Trump will open the Strait before the Xi meeting on May 15? He'll go in that meeting with a winning hand - art of the deal and all.

they signed a ceasefire iran already mined the water 20+ mines sitting in the strait that moves 20% of the world’s oil pentagon says 6 months to clear won’t even start until the war officially ends peace on paper minefield in the water

@TheBTCKnight In about 4-5 months after money printer re-starts (I will make a post as to why exactly, today or tomorrow). A few months after that, ATH + the craziest retuns for Alts, BUT, only for solid projects, most coins will NOT make ATH, EVER, sadly.

When does bitcoin hit $250k? Best guess.

@CryptosBatman 👆I think, sadly, the meme frenzy isn't coming back (cheap-money days are over), and SOL will underperform ETH (in about four months when money printer turns on).

After its meme coin frenzy era, $SOL seems to be fading. Technically, it's not moving like its large-cap peers. It's still below its resistance level, and if it continues like this, a lower low seems like the only direction. However, if it manages to break through, it becomes interesting again.

ETH short is starting to look appealing. Patience.

@cryptojack 👍 I'm monitoring ETH short too

HEAD AND SHOULDERS FORMING ON $ETH !!

@rickjeff78 I would say more like October 2019, based on real rates.

Today feels exactly like Thursday, February 20th, 2020.

@CryptoJelleNL Could be, but based on macro backdrop, VERY unlikely bottom is in.

Every bear market so far has bottomed well below the 200-week MA. This time different? Time will tell. bitcoin:native

@MikybullCrypto Except macro flows don't support it, AT ALL. Macro Tide has been FALLING since Aug 2025. Coincident with BTC top? I don't think so.

Quick review: Key indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and on-chain signals, indicate a potential micro-bottom on Bitcoin However, a weekly close is essential for confirmation. Professional traders base their decisions on chart data rather than emotion. It is imperative to have this in mind.

@DeFiTracer YES

🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸 WARREN BUFFETT JUST SAID LIVE ON CNBC: "THE LATEST MARKET DROP WAS NOTHING. A LARGER DECLINE IS STILL AHEAD." HE KNOWS SOMETHIND BAD IS COMING SOON...

@DeFiTracer Sounds like BS to me.

🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRANIAN MILITARY SPOKESMAN JUST SAID LIVE: "WE HAVE MOVED 34 IRAN-LINKED CRUDE OIL TANKERS PAST THE U.S. SO-CALLED STRICT BLOCKADE." SOURCES REPORT THAT THEY ARE CONTINUING TO SELL OIL IN YUAN SOMETHING BAD IS HAPPENING...

@neppy Can it be a BIG pump?

something good is gonna happen to you today.

@marc02200 Let's test the waters. Anyone unhappy with BTC and wanting to see the manager, like this so we can count how many 😁

@BTCTides Maybe we should!

I’m Dutch, so I complain a lot. But I complain way less about Bitcoin than about my energy bill.

@zerohedge UK is so fucked beyond repair at this point.

UK High Court Backs Facial Recognition Rollout zerohedge.com/technology/uk-…

@guru2602 Aug, 8, 25 was, when Tide shifted bearish 🕵️‍♀️

So 10th October was top signal to take #BTC down to 30k. Hmmmmmm

@MikybullCrypto This is not a meric, it's just a curve fit. You can generate the same 'metric' with so many different powelaws and they will all tell you diffent things.

Looking at this metric, Bitcoin has probably bottomed The same scenarios occurred in the previous bear trend

@CryptoJelleNL NO - not when macro Tide has been falling since Aug 2025.

$BTC - almost completely through the major resistance zone. Can it make it all the way through?

@ArdiNSC 👆

Position still remains macro bearish.

$BTC This is the path for BTC as this move develops. Right now, we are seeing price test support at the breakout pivot, which has flipped into liquidity support for continuation up. What we’ve seen throughout this range is repeated testing of deeper liquidity before each rally. Every meaningful move in this has come from a trendline test paired with an established liquidity zone. If price can hold this recent breakout pivot, it would mean the momentum behind the uptrend is strong and we likely see continuation up over the next few days. However, based on how price has behaved around these intersecting liquidity points in this range, the more likely retest is still the $75.5K-76K liquidity pivot before another attempt higher. Both outcomes are healthy and normal for this type of local move. What I’m watching is whether price needs to move even lower first to find the liquidity required for another breakout attempt. That would be the bearish scenario, and would signal there is still heavy distribution in this pocket which needs to be met with deeper force of liquidity to maintain the trend. It would also mean losing the trendline which has kept this uptrend intact since 65K. Price will follow one of these paths. Enjoy the show. 🤝