BadBetBrian

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BadBetBrian

BadBetBrian

@BadBetBrian1

Enthusiastic tipster with below optimal results, hence the name. DM for EV, got plenty spare.

England, United Kingdom Katılım Nisan 2019
609 Takip Edilen76 Takipçiler
BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@background Amazing, thanks. Can’t wait to run analysis like this for myself
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@background Thanks, interesting results. Will users ever have the ability to do this type of analysis?
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َ@background·
hello mate sorry been super busy & the automating this on the backend caused some server problems the last few days. Think I've fixed that now so can build a rolling view of this but these are the manual calculations from the platform launching (24th Feb). Worth noting that in a big chunk of these races, if the top rated didn't win, the second rated did so may run some further analysis on that. Hope this helps
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@background Yeah of course. Lot of bets (40-50 a day I assume) so like 300-350 bets but would be great to compare the winners/losers over that period on that scale. Be amazing to see some insight into a genuine large scale sample
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@background SP proves or disproves the value at the point of the market moving in play. If people can use that to analyse and find value, it’s still great. If you’re a punter calculating EV per horse you bet, they have to do that themselves.
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َ@background·
@BadBetBrian1 yeah exactly that mate 🤝 Will let people test strike rates on their own HorseStat methods, the rating system or even bets outside the platform as long as they’re using it to add them to the tracker. I can’t track live odds so would only be to SP though
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@background Being able to test historical strike rates and PnL on horses based on its rating at the time of the race would be awesome.
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َ@background·
@BadBetBrian1 Leave with me should be able to put something together soon. Working on introducing an in-app slip builder so you can add your own (or top rated picks) historically and track p&l over time to test methods etc
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@background Wicked. How many bets and how many winners is that out of curiosity?
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َ@background·
@BadBetBrian1 literally running that now mate, will report back shortly 👍
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@background Really interesting looking dashboard, be great to see a larger sample size
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@NoseInFront Fucking good luck lads, here we go unreal stuff. 2.40 ole ole 4.40 jipcot 5.20 iceberg theory Tasty trixie to fund the strippers, good luck all love Brain.
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Nose In Front
Nose In Front@NoseInFront·
Arrived at Cheltenham. Pop to the local. Find Skittles. Pure bliss. You wouldn’t Adam & Eve it.
Nose In Front tweet mediaNose In Front tweet media
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@dickieevans1 Backed at 30’s ew on the exchange, hedged out in-play at 3.5 unfortunately but still took a tidy profit, thanks for the great tips
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Richardlewisevans
Richardlewisevans@dickieevans1·
Boom My Nap Of The Day Copperhead wins at 22/1🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 What a great performance from this veteran always travelled well. Great ride from Freddie who seemed very confident looking over his shoulder a few jumps out. Battled back and never game in. Well done to all connections great prize money and nice to see the older horses.
Richardlewisevans@dickieevans1

My Nap Of The Day 15.15 Newbury Each Way Bet Copperhead 22/1 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ This is a great race for these veterans who have done so well over the past few years. Copperhead has every chance at big odds here today. Nice weight here and could easily produce a win after his last run. Looking forward to this race 😄

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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@NoseInFront Take 5 mill, live a year on strippers and cocaine, short term EV is positive for sure
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Nose In Front
Nose In Front@NoseInFront·
Me after the Old Park Star and Lulamba double lands at 2:05pm:
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@NoseInFront Lumping on the 3pt selection, fucking love it cmon the boys, cheers Briann
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Nose In Front
Nose In Front@NoseInFront·
Some tips for today. Heavy ground and targets further down the line - bet with caution⚠️ Kempton Precious Man x Jax Junior double @ 2.43/1 2pts 3:00 - Onlyforfrankie 13/2 0.5pts EW 3:35 - Katate Dori 5/1 1pt 4:05 - Califet En Vol 10/3 0.75pts Fairyhouse 1:00 - All Night Revival 15/8 3pts 3:15 - Grangeclare West 7/2 1pt, Intense Raffles 16/1 0.25pts EW
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@PunterMarko What’s your overall strike rate vs average odds on greyhounds?
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Nose In Front
Nose In Front@NoseInFront·
@BadBetBrian1 Look to beat the bookie. For example, King Rasko Grey is 20/1 for Supreme and 2nd Fav for DRF 2m. Not saying he wins but, if he does, he’s Willies supreme horse. Stuff like that.
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Nose In Front
Nose In Front@NoseInFront·
Had a beer. QnA now. Ask us anything and we’ll answer.
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@NoseInFront Nice. Yeah have only dabbled with antepost the last 2 years but had some luck this year (final demand at 3/1 for the BA, bob olinger at 14’s before halving in price for the stayers hurdle). For the regular punter, do you have any antepost advice?
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Nose In Front
Nose In Front@NoseInFront·
@BadBetBrian1 Our tips have to be value on singles on the day. Personally - I like packaging some bets together antepost Don’t like on the day multis much
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BadBetBrian
BadBetBrian@BadBetBrian1·
@JoeNorrisGYTO Backed the nap and NB double two days in a row. Sensational stuff mate, keep it up
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Joe Norris
Joe Norris@JoeNorrisGYTO·
✅ Coolanna 7/4 ✅ Pourquoi Pas Papa 5/4 NAP ✅ Local Derby 7/1 👎🏻 Buzz Iceclear 11/4 ✅ Invincible Speed 5/2 ✅ Rogue Justice 9/4 NEXT BEST ☑️ Double paid over 6/1 (back to back) 5 winners from 6 selections 🔥 Let’s see those winning slips 👀
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