Shoham Banerjee
97 posts


@GhoshSubhag Great analysis dada
Santa rally tab ayega
Indonesia

#banknifty
BankNifty is compressing inside a falling wedge after an impulse up.
Overlapping candles + failed breakdown = absorption.
Bias stays bullish until support breaks decisively.
I wanted to share my analysis of the current structure we're observing on the 4H BankNifty chart. This structure is forming after a strong up-move, which provides essential context for our understanding.
Firstly, let's identify the structure. We are looking at a descending wedge or falling channel. It's important to note that a falling structure following an uptrend is generally seen as corrective rather than bearish.
Next, let's break down what the price is doing step-by-step:
1. Prior Move (Left Side)
- We've seen a strong bullish impulse characterized by higher highs and higher lows, along with wide bullish candles indicating initiative buying. This sets the trend bias to UP.
2. Current Structure (Blue Lines)
- The price is making lower highs (upper trendline) and higher lows or flat-to-slightly-lower lows (lower trendline). The candles overlap heavily, and momentum is compressing. This suggests that the market is not trending down but rather absorbing supply.
Now, why do we believe this is NOT bearish? Key bearish signs are missing:
- There's no impulsive breakdown.
- We haven't seen follow-through below the lows.
- There’s no expansion on red candles.
- There are no strong closes below support.
Instead, we observe small candles, overlapping prices, repeated lower-wick rejections near support, and sellers failing to push the price lower. This indicates a distribution of weak shorts rather than aggressive selling.
The circled area on the chart is particularly important. The yellow-circled candles show an attempted breakdown with immediate rejection, long lower wicks, and a close back inside the structure. This is a classic sell-side liquidity grab where smart money allows the price to dip slightly below support to trigger stops, invite breakdown traders, and absorb supply. After this, the price stabilizes.
Given the prior bullish impulse, this structure typically resolves into a bullish continuation. We would expect a break above the upper trendline, leading to a fast expansion move with trapped shorts fueling the breakout. In Elliott Wave terms, this fits a Wave (iv) correction, with the breakout leading to Wave (v).
Key levels to watch from the chart include:
Support (must hold):The lower wedge line/recent low zone. A clean 4H close below it would indicate structure failure.
Trigger: A strong close above the upper blue trendline, with bonus confirmation if the next candle holds above it.
Price-action-based targets include:
- Retesting recent highs
- Potential extension (measured move of wedge height)
For trading this pattern, the bullish plan is:
Entry: Break and close above the upper wedge line
Stop Loss: Below the most recent swing low inside the wedge
Take Profit 1:Prior high
Take Profit 2:Wedge height projection
For the bearish plan, we would only consider it if the price impulsively breaks down with large bearish candles and acceptance below support. Otherwise, shorts are not advisable here.
#trading #nifty

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@GhoshSubhag Excellent
How do you get the percentage of bearish and bullish?
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📊 #BankNifty Daily EW Outlook
✅ Wave (v) top at 57,628 done
📉 Corrective ABC unfolding
🔻 Bearish Bias (Primary)
Breakdown < 54,000 →
🎯 Targets: 51,500 / 49,800
❌ SL: 56,000
🔹 Bullish Alt (Secondary)
Strong hold at 54,000 + breakout > 56,000
🎯 Retest: 57,600
❌ SL: 53,800
⚠️ Corrective swings = volatility → keep risk tight!
#Nifty #ElliottWave #PriceAction
Details analysis:-
Structure Strcuture Analysis
Completed Impulse:
The 5-wave move seems done with a top around 57,628.
Corrective Phase (ABC):
Wave (a) already tested ~54,000 zone (highlighted demand area).
Wave (b) bounced but got rejected from a lower-high (near trendline).
Price now sliding back into support.
Key Levels:
Resistance / Stop for Shorts: 57,628 (Wave (v) top) and nearer ~55,800–56,000 (falling trendline).
Support Zone: 54,000–54,200 (wave (a) low + demand box).
Fib Targets for Wave (c):
0.618 = 51,467
0.786 = 49,811
📉 Bearish Setup (Higher Probability – 60%)
Bias: Wave (c) likely unfolding.
Entry: On breakdown below 54,000–54,200 support.
Target 1: 51,500 (0.618 Fib).
Target 2: 49,800 (0.786 Fib).
Stop Loss: Above 56,000 (trendline + prior Wave b).
📈 Bullish Alternate (Lower Probability – 40%)
If 54,000 zone holds strongly and we see a reversal candle + volume, it could mean Wave (b) is extending.
Entry: Above 55,500–56,000 breakout.
Target: Retest of 57,600 highs.
Stop Loss: Below 53,800.

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@GhoshSubhag But on rare occasions they can make good returns if they move is as expected
How long can they ride with the profits is a big question
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🚨 Why Most Traders Blow Their Accounts! 💥
Dream of perfect trades and huge profits? 📈 The truth: Without discipline and risk management, you’re one bad Nifty options trade from disaster. Let’s see how traders lose it all with the 25,500 CE! 🧠
📊 Nifty 25,500 CE (Sep 14, 2025)
- Nifty: 24,114
- Premium: ₹80
- Lot Size: 75
- Cost/Lot: ₹6,000
- Breakeven (Sep 30): 25,580
- Context: 16 days left, Nifty’s 1,386 points below strike.
3 Ways Traders Go Broke 😱
1️⃣ Overleveraging
Trader with ₹2L buys 20 lots (₹1.2L=60% capital), betting Nifty hits 25,580.
- **Blow-Up**: Nifty drops to 23,800. Loss=₹1.2L. Account’s gone + margin calls.
- **Fix**: Risk 1-2%. Buy 1 lot (₹6,000=3% risk). Lose ₹6,000, not everything.
2️⃣ No Exit Plan
Trader buys 5 lots (₹30,000) with ₹3L, expecting a rally. Nifty falls to 23,900, premium to ₹20. They hold, hoping.
- **Blow-Up**: Nifty’s 23,700 at expiry. Loss=₹30,000 (10% capital).
- **Fix**: Stop at ₹40 (loss=₹3,000/lot). Use a journal!
3️⃣ Ignoring Theta
Trader buys 10 lots (₹60,000) with ₹5L. Nifty’s flat, theta cuts premium to ₹15.
- **Blow-Up**: Loss=₹48,750 (9.75% capital).
- **Fix**: Hedge with a bull call spread: Buy 25,500 CE (₹6,000), sell 25,700 CE @ ₹40 (₹3,000). Net cost: ₹3,000. Max profit: ₹12,000. Max loss: ₹3,000.
Discipline Saves You 🛡️
✅ Risk 1-2% (₹5,000-10,000 on ₹5L).
✅ Set stops (₹40=₹3,000 loss) and targets (₹150=₹5,250 profit).
✅ Check IV on Sensibull.
✅ Log trades: “Lost ₹3,000—bought late.”
No Discipline?
₹4L account buys 15 lots (₹90,000). Nifty drops. Loss=₹90,000. Two trades, account’s <₹2L. 😞
Disciplined? 1 lot, ₹3,000 loss, keep trading. 💪
Don’t gamble! Trade smart with the 25,500 CE. 🚀
📢 Worst trading mistake? Share below!
#Nifty #OptionsTrading #RiskManagement
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@KraftCapital Did you ever have the bliss to enjoy bachelor days in your married life
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Bought #JubFoods 630PE at 13.3
SL at 10
Target 17.5/19.3
#OptionsTrading
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@KraftCapital Excellent trade sir
Your analysis was spot on
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111, will we get 145 today/ tomm morning?
Sachin Agrawal - Professional Trader@KraftCapital
98 🤩🤩
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@GhoshSubhag @abhinabavlogs Finally you got the point
It’s the main demand of the protest
To make the government health care system better and transparent for the patients
What the government should do it’s only been showed by the protest
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@BanerjeeShoham @abhinabavlogs Not only doctors, the people of bengal will love it.
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After 147 hours of indefinite Hunger Strike, Dr. Alok Kumar Verma, one of the protesting Junior Doctors from North Bengal MCH, is being transferred to CCU. He is critically ill and his vitals have deteriorated severely!
Video Courtesy- NBMC RDA
#JusticeForRGKar #MedTwitter
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@GhoshSubhag @abhinabavlogs Sir if private hospitals go off will you get yourself treated in government ones?
Definitely put forward these suggestions to honourable health minister with implementation of uk/ us health system completely and not partially
All the doctors will love u
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@BanerjeeShoham @abhinabavlogs Let us put petition to Mamta officials to stop doctors from private practice.
We all know how doctors loot people and do feasts on people's misery.
Let the government own the health services just like US or UK.
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@GhoshSubhag @abhinabavlogs Fighting for people of the state who come to visit government hospital to get their deserving treatment
Uk nhs is maintained by the government
Private practice of government doctors in Wb is allowed by the government itself
At least collect proper information before posting
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@abhinabavlogs What are you fighting for?
U want infra like UK NHS but won't let go private practice.
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@GhoshSubhag @dr_co0l Points where also accepted by the same government in Nrs incident 4 years back
What was done after acceptance
Nothing
Sympathy is not for the doctors
It’s for the government to shed it’s false and bags full of lies image and work on what is expected from it
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Complete pen down of all Non Emergency Services in the state starting tomorrow (14/10/2024) in corporate hospitals, private nursing homes, clinics, government setups according the state.
In solidarity with West Bengal Junior Doctors' Front (WBJDF).
Government has too much ego to look beyond political lenses to actually care for it's people.
#JusticeForRGKar #RGKarProtest
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@GhoshSubhag @DhanValue Increasing lot size
Reduction the number of contracts by increasing their gaps
Bringing down the everyday expiry to 2 in a week by clubbing them
Fno was for hedging not naked
95% retail loose money in it and just imagine the number of new retail participation it’s only loss
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@BanerjeeShoham @DhanValue Then, increase it to 50%,so that 2 trades, your account will zero.
No fund,no trading.
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@GhoshSubhag @DhanValue Fno is stcg so the difference has been increased from 5% to 7.5%
If retails keep loosing in fno more measures can be taken
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@GhoshSubhag @DhanValue It has happened to many countries in past even USA and steps where taken to curb retail participation in f&o to avoid their loss of capital
We might go in that direction if retail keep on trying their luck
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@DhanValue She does not have any clue or answer about it.
The answer is very simple. The government observed huge participation of the public in markets, and they saw a good opportunity to capitalise on this by raising taxes so that they could generate good income.
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