Bear Market Survivor

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Bear Market Survivor

Bear Market Survivor

@BasantAryal

I survived 2000, 2008, and 2020. My goal is to keep your account green when the tide goes out. No hype, just data and discipline.

Austin, TX Katılım Kasım 2012
37 Takip Edilen403 Takipçiler
Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
$AMPX | The "Silicon Anode" revolution is finally escaping the graveyard of the 2025 markdown, but the 4-hour technical tape is delivering a clinical warning to anyone chasing this vertical rip. While Amprius is fundamentally leading the charge in high-energy density batteries for the US Army and aviation sectors, retail traders who blindly buy into this $17.72 print are risking becoming the next round of exit liquidity. The objective data on the chart is surgical. Following a violent V-recovery that bottomed at the $7.81 structural floor, $AMPX has officially entered an aggressive ascending impulse. We have successfully shredded the primary resistance at $14.86, but we are now tagging the upper rail of the macro channel. Our momentum oscillator is pinned at an extreme 82.69—historically a zone where "Smart Money" harvests profits while rookies FOMO into the peak. Fundamental Narrative vs. Technical Exhaustion The Bull Case: Amprius is no longer just a laboratory story. With the Colorado facility expansion and consistent contract wins from the aviation and defense sectors, the energy density "moat" is legitimate. Institutional appetite for silicon anode tech is hitting a fever pitch. The Technical Reality: We are currently in a technical vacuum. While the trend is undeniably BULLISH, the 82+ overbought reading suggests a mandatory Wave 4 corrective reset is imminent. Chasing the top of a channel without a defined structural floor is how most retail accounts get liquidated. The Strategy: Veteran traders wait for the back-test of the $14.86 breakout node or a confirmed consolidation before scaling in. Rookies buy the green wick and get washed out by the first 15% mean-reversion move. If you are currently holding $AMPX from the $15.00 rejections or are looking to deploy capital for the next leg toward $22.00, "hope" is not a risk management strategy. You need a data-driven framework to identify the exact institutional "bid-zones" before the next distribution phase begins. For my detailed entry/exit roadmap and the specific price nodes I am tracking to navigate this volatility, reach out via the WhatsApp link in my bio.
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
Mathematically? Yes—that’s the 1.618 extension target. But the market doesn't move in a straight line. We need to see a high-volume reversal at the $0.80 node and a clean break of $2.16 before $3.95 becomes a high-probability reality. I've mapped the 'Must-Hold' zones in my notes.
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Sarah
Sarah@meeso3434·
@BasantAryal اتمنى ذلك .. هل ممكن أن يصل إلى 3.95$ ؟
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
$TPET (Trio Petroleum Corp.) is currently putting on a masterclass in small-cap energy volatility. While the fundamental story of expanding the Mid Valley District assets in California is drawing in "dip buyers," the 4-hour technical structure suggests that retail is once again getting ahead of the actual institutional money. The objective data on the chart is clear: we have completed a massive Wave (a) impulse that peaked at the $2.16 resistance node. Our 'REVERSAL PRO' indicator has officially shifted to a 'BEARISH' trend as we navigate this corrective Wave (b) phase. The regression slope oscillator in the top pane is cooling rapidly, confirming that the initial squeeze momentum has been replaced by distribution. Currently sitting near $0.88, the stock is approaching the critical 0.793 Fibonacci level at $0.80. This is the ultimate "line in the sand" for bulls. If the $0.80 floor holds, the mathematical setup for a Wave (c) impulse toward $2.95 remains on the table. However, if this node fails, the bullish count is invalidated and $TPET risks falling back into its historical penny-stock vacuum. Do not trade this high-risk energy play on headlines or hope. You need a precise structural map to separate a legitimate bounce from a secondary collapse. My detailed plan is in my notes. [Link in Bio] #TPET #EnergyStocks #ElliottWave #MarketStructure #TradingStrategy #PriceAction
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
$ENPH is currently at a critical technical junction. The solar sector has faced relentless fundamental headwinds recently, with inventory gluts and sustained high interest rates driving the aggressive markdown from the $51.46 peak down to the sub-$40 level. However, looking objectively at the 4-hour chart, we are seeing the first concrete signs of a structural shift. The automated trend indicator has officially flipped to 'BULLISH', and the upper momentum oscillator is steadily recovering from a deep oversold extreme, confirming the local bottom established at $39.75. While the fundamental narrative might be slowly turning, retail traders buying this bounce blindly are taking on unnecessary risk. The current $44 to $46 zone is incredibly dense with trapped supply from the February breakdown. This is the exact territory where relief rallies typically face harsh institutional rejection if volume does not step up. To trade this potential recovery safely, you need to separate market noise from true institutional accumulation. We are tracking specific volume nodes that must be definitively reclaimed to confirm a macro reversal, rather than just a dead-cat bounce. Check the link in my bio for the exact entry parameters, structural invalidation levels, and the complete execution plan for this setup.
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
Don't let today's -9% flush on $NVTS fool you. 🤡 Weak hands are folding, but the Algo is still 100% BULLISH. This is a textbook shakeout before we target $11.40 and $13.61. Stop watching from the sidelines. 🚀 Full entry/exit plan linked below 👇 Check Bio 📲 #NVTS #Stocks #Trading #LFG #Bullish
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
"Who is gonna sleep tonight holding this bag? 🛌🚫"
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
Of course they dumped $POET in After Hours. 🐍Coward move. They waited for the bell to ring before flushing the toilet. 🚽 $9.14 was the bait. The AH drop to $6.94 is the switch. If you think this gap gets bought, you're delusional. We are drilling to $3.60. Join the short team 👇 Link in Bio 📲 #Rigged #StockMarket #POET #Bearish
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
$SNDK is vertical. 🚀 4H trend is BULLISH & we’re staring at that $502.49 Wave 5 target. Memory shortages & AI data center demand have the institutions in a total frenzy. 🔭 Watch the $380 floor if we reset. WhatsApp link in bio! 📲
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
$CHE is feeling the pain today after Jefferies slapped them with a downgrade. 📉 The Roto-Rooter margin concerns are real, and the chart isn't hiding it. We just completed a nasty impulsive (a) leg flush down to the $428 area. While the vibe is bearish, the technicals are starting to look interesting for a tactical relief play. I'm looking for a potential (b) wave bounce back into that $440 – $444 pocket to retest previous support. Don't go bottom-fishing without a roadmap. For my exact levels and the full 2026 healthcare sector outlook, check the link in my bio to add me on WhatsApp. 📲
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
$ABAT is currently the center of a massive tug-of-war. 🔋 BlackRock just dropped a Schedule 13G disclosing a 6.8% passive stake (8.8M+ shares)—that is a huge institutional vote of confidence for the domestic lithium recycling narrative. While the retail crowd is sweating the pullback from that $5.20 peak, the "Smart Money" is clearly using this volatility to build a long-term base. Technically, the 4H trend has reset to NEUTRAL. We’re currently testing the $4.30 level, which has acted as a historical pivot point. With revenue skyrocketing 350% YoY and analysts pinning price targets as high as $7.14, the discrepancy between the tape and the fundamentals is getting hard to ignore. 🔭 Don't let the short-term noise shake you out of a macro winner. For my exact entry triggers and the full 2026 lithium roadmap, hit the link in my bio to add me on WhatsApp. 📲
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
$JKS is essentially playing a game of "wait and see" right now. 📦 The solar sector has been a bit of a rollercoaster, and Jinko is no exception. Technically, we hit a massive ceiling at $30.21, and since that rejection, it’s been a choppy ride back to reality. The silver lining? We’re seeing a very clear floor being established. Those green reversal prints at $24.31 and $26.17 are holding firm like a champ, which tells me the buyers are still defending this range. The 4H trend is officially sitting at NEUTRAL, so there’s no reason to get aggressive or chase green candles here. I’m waiting for a high-volume curl back toward the mid-$28s to confirm the next impulsive leg higher. Until then, patience is the name of the game. 🔭 I’m mapping out the full 2026 Solar sector roadmap and my specific entry triggers for $JKS in the group. Hit the link in my bio to add me on WhatsApp for the real-time playbook. 📲
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
$XAIR is finally starting to look like a high-conviction trade again after that massive volatility spike last week. 📈 The Jan 13th news about XTL Biopharma grabbing 85% of the NeuroNOS subsidiary was the ultimate catalyst—that 150%+ single-day surge wasn't just retail hype; it was a total character change for the stock. Even with the $5M private placement cooling things off a bit, the big money is clearly setting a new floor here. Technically, the 45-minute chart is looking incredibly constructive. We’ve officially flipped to a BULLISH trend on the Reversal Pro, and price is currently basing out near the $2.09 mark. I’m watching the support cluster at $1.61 – $1.68 like a hawk; as long as we hold that, the next leg should target a retest of the $2.38 local high. With the LungFit PH expansion now hitting 39 countries and a $12M+ revenue guide still on the table, the risk/reward for a swing play toward the $5.00+ analyst targets is getting very interesting. 🔭 I’m dropping my exact entry triggers and the full risk management plan in the group right now. Hit the link in my bio to add me on WhatsApp for the real-time alerts. 📲
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
The $SDST breakout is finally live. 🔋 Securing that final air permit for the Muskogee refinery is the ultimate de-risking catalyst. Technically, we’ve spent weeks basing out near the $3 floor, and the 4H trend just officially flipped Bullish. Clearing the $4 hurdle today is a massive shift in character and momentum. 📈🚀 We're mapping out the gap-fill targets for this next leg higher. For our full trade plan and real-time signals on this move, hit the link in my bio to join the WhatsApp. 📲
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
📊 $VNET DATA: The "Round Trip" Reset. 📉🔄 Retail is panic selling the drop to $10.55. I see a Critical Fibonacci Defense. The stock has retraced 100% of the recent move, landing inches away from the 1.0 Fibonacci Support ($10.35). This is the "Make or Break" zone. The algorithm is testing the validity of the previous low. If Smart Money is still present, they must defend this level. Let’s Check the 1H Chart Analysis: 1️⃣ The "Flush" Mechanics:The "Sell Retrace" signals were relentless. 🔹 The Floor: The $10.35 Level (1.0 Fib) is the absolute bottom. There is no technical support below this for a mile. 🔹 The Resistance: We recently lost the 0.786 Fib at $10.77. This is now the immediate ceiling. We need to reclaim this to stop the bearish momentum. 2️⃣ The Trade Execution:We are playing the "Base Defense" with tight invalidation. 🎯 The "Go" Signal:I am waiting for a 1H candle close back above $10.80 to confirm that the $10.35 floor held and the "Double Bottom" is active. 🛡️ The Invalidation:A breakdown below $10.30 signals a "Structural Failure." The elevator cable snaps, and we flush to single digits. 💎 The Exact Blueprint: 🔒 RESERVED FOR COMMUNITY MEMBERS. (I have mapped out the EXACT Entry Price & Call Option Strike for this potential reversal.) 3️⃣ The Data Center Macro:VNET is high-beta. These "Full Resets" are often designed to clear out all the late longs before the real trend begins. 🛡️ TO FELLOW INVESTORS: The reset is complete. Watch the $10.35 level like a hawk. 🧠 Don't guess. Get the full data breakdown here:🔗 [Link in Bio] ⚠️ SCAM ALERT & TRANSPARENCY: Connecting via WhatsApp is 100% FREE.I use it strictly to share advanced strategies, deeper data, and execution plans. I will NEVER ask for payment inside the chat.Block anyone asking for crypto. 🚫 #VNET #VNETGroup #ChinaTech #Fibonacci #DoubleBottom #Oversold #TradingStrategy
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
📊 $JLHL DATA INSIGHT: The "Red Line" Hold. 🧱📈 Retail is bored with the chop at $4.25. I see a Critical Baseline Defense. The stock is currently sitting perfectly on top of the Red TRAMA Support Line ($4.11). This line is the "Trend Guardian." The fact that sellers cannot push the price below this dynamic floor tells us that Smart Money is absorbing the dip. Let’s Check the 4H Chart Analysis: 1️⃣ The "Defense" Mechanics:The structure is tightening for a move. 🔹 The Floor: The $4.11 TRAMA Level is the "Line in the Sand." We are holding above it, which is bullish. 🔹 The Ceiling: The massive Red Resistance Line at $5.00 is the target. We need a volume spike to clear this block. 2️⃣ The Trade Execution:We are playing the support bounce, targeting the breakout. 🎯 The "Go" Signal:I am waiting for a push above $4.40 to confirm momentum is returning, setting up a retest of the $5.00 supply zone. 🛡️ The Invalidation:A daily close below $4.00 loses the TRAMA support and signals a trend failure back to $3.00. 💎 The Exact Blueprint: 🔒 RESERVED FOR COMMUNITY MEMBERS. (I have mapped out the EXACT Entry Price & Stop Loss for this swing setup.) 3️⃣ The Volatility Macro:Julong is a thin-float runner. When these setups hold the baseline after a pullback, the secondary move often breaks the previous highs. 🛡️ TO FELLOW INVESTORS: The floor is holding. Watch the $4.11 level. ⚡ Join the private group via Bio 🔗 for real-time updates. ⚠️ SCAM ALERT & TRANSPARENCY: Connecting via WhatsApp is 100% FREE.I use it strictly to share advanced strategies, deeper data, and execution plans. I will NEVER ask for payment inside the chat.Block anyone asking for crypto. 🚫 #JLHL #Julong #PennyStocks #TRAMA #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #TradingStrategy
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
🚨 $FIG LIVE ALERT: The "No Man's Land" Flush. 🎨📉 Retail is trying to guess the bottom at $29.53. I see a Technical Void. The stock has ignored every support level, crashing through the $35.73 Floor. The "SELL -2" Signals were the early warning that the trend had broken. Now, we are in "Freefall," with the Red SuperTrend Cloud driving price lower on every candle. Let’s Check the 1H Chart Analysis: 1️⃣ The "Cascade" Mechanics:The selling is algorithmic and relentless. 🔹 The Signal: Multiple "SELL -2" tags appeared at $38.00 and $36.00, confirming the exit before the violence started. 🔹 The Ceiling: The $35.73 Level (Blue Line) is now the "Iron Dome." Any rally back to this number is likely a shorting opportunity, not a buying one. 2️⃣ The Trade Execution:We do not stand in front of a freight train. 🎯 The "Go" Signal:I am waiting for a stabilization pattern and a reclaim of $31.50 to confirm that the bleeding has stopped. Until then, cash is the position. 🛡️ The Invalidation:If price continues to drift below $28.00, we are looking at a flush to the psychological $25.00 level. 💎 The Exact Blueprint: 🔒 RESERVED FOR COMMUNITY MEMBERS. (I have mapped out the EXACT Pivot Point & Put Options for this downside continuation.) 3️⃣ The SaaS Macro:Figma is a high-valuation growth name. When these charts break structural support, the "valuation reset" often overshoots to the downside. 🛡️ TO FELLOW INVESTORS: The chart is broken. Wait for the repair. 👇 Click the Link in Bio 🔗 for direct contact details AND get trading guidance. ⚠️ SCAM ALERT & TRANSPARENCY: Connecting via WhatsApp is 100% FREE.I use it strictly to share advanced strategies, deeper data, and execution plans that don't fit here. I will NEVER ask for payment inside the chat.If anyone claims to be me and asks for money or crypto, block them immediately. 🚫 #FIG #Figma #SaaS #TechStocks #StockMarket #Crash #TradingStrategy
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
🚨 $RHLD LIVE ALERT: The "Red Line" Defense. 🛡️📈 Retail is getting bored at $205.88. I see a Textbook Trend Reload. The stock has retraced from the highs, but it has landed exactly on the Red Moving Average Support. Even better, multiple "Buy Retrace" Signals are flashing, indicating that Smart Money is treating this dip as a gift, not a threat. Let’s Check the 4H Chart Analysis: 1️⃣ The "Support" Mechanics:The uptrend is intact as long as the moving average holds. 🔹 The Floor: We are testing the $205 Zone. This dynamic line has guided the entire rally from $40. 🔹 The Signal: The green bars on the "Vix Fix" indicator at the bottom suggest a local bottom is forming, signaling that selling pressure is exhausted. 2️⃣ The Trade Execution:We are playing the bounce off the trendline. 🎯 The "Go" Signal:I am waiting for a clean breakout above $215.00 to confirm that the next leg higher to $240 has begun. 🛡️ The Invalidation:A sustained close below $200.00 breaks the market structure and the moving average support. 💎 The Exact Blueprint: 🔒 RESERVED FOR COMMUNITY MEMBERS. (I have mapped out the EXACT Entry Price & Profit Targets for this trend continuation.) 3️⃣ The Momentum Macro:RHLD is a massive runner. In strong uptrends, touches of the long-term moving average are statistically the highest probability entry points. 🛡️ TO FELLOW INVESTORS: The trend is your friend. Watch the $205 defense. 👇 Click the Link in Bio 🔗 for direct contact details AND get trading guidance. ⚠️ SCAM ALERT & TRANSPARENCY: Connecting via WhatsApp is 100% FREE.I use it strictly to share advanced strategies, deeper data, and execution plans that don't fit here. I will NEVER ask for payment inside the chat.If anyone claims to be me and asks for money or crypto, block them immediately. 🚫 #RHLD #ResoluteHoldings #TrendFollowing #StockMarket #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
🚨 $INTU LIVE ALERT: The "Tax" Collector. 🧾📉 Retail is panic buying the dip at $545.24. I see a Statistical Bear Trend. The stock is crashing, but this wasn't a surprise. The Algo printed a "SELL" signal at the top, and with a 68.8% Winrate and 2.21 Profit Factor, the math clearly favored the bears on this move. Let’s Check the 4H Chart Analysis: 1️⃣ The "Signal" Accuracy:The chart is ugly, but the algorithm is precise. 🔹 The Stat: Winning nearly 7 out of 10 trades on this ticker means the "SELL" signal was a high-confidence warning to exit. 🔹 The Resistance: We are rejected firmly by the Red SuperTrend Cloud ($594.46). Until we reclaim this zone, the trend remains strictly bearish. 2️⃣ The Trade Execution:We do not fight the trend; we wait for the data to shift. 🎯 The "Go" Signal:I am waiting for a stabilization pattern and a reclaim of $560.00 to confirm that the liquidation selling has exhausted itself. 🛡️ The Invalidation:If price continues to hold below $540, the next leg down targets the psychological $500 level. 💎 The Exact Blueprint: 🔒 RESERVED FOR COMMUNITY MEMBERS. (I have mapped out the EXACT Reversal Entry & Put Hedge for this tax season play.) 3️⃣ The Fintech Macro:Intuit is a quality name, but even quality gets liquidated. We are watching for "Capitulation Volume" to signal the true bottom is in. 🛡️ TO FELLOW INVESTORS: The data warned you. Now, wait for the data to turn green. 👇 Click the Link in Bio 🔗 for direct contact details AND get trading guidance. ⚠️ SCAM ALERT & TRANSPARENCY: Connecting via WhatsApp is 100% FREE.I use it strictly to share advanced strategies, deeper data, and execution plans that don't fit here. I will NEVER ask for payment inside the chat.If anyone claims to be me and asks for money or crypto, block them immediately. 🚫 #INTU #Intuit #Fintech #StockMarket #AlgoTrading #Bearish #TradingStrategy
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Bear Market Survivor
Bear Market Survivor@BasantAryal·
🚨 $ABUS LIVE ALERT: The "Bear Wick" Trap. 🧬🩸 Retail is panic selling the flush to $4.06. I see a Textbook Liquidity Grab. The chart printed a nasty "Bear Wick" rejection, but look at the explosion in volume. Smart Money is using this volatility to sweep the order book clean at the blue support line. Let’s Check the 4H Chart Analysis: 1️⃣ The "Climax" Setup:The drop is vertical, but the internals suggest it's a shakeout. 🔹 The Wick: The deep red candle has pierced the $4.10 Support, triggering stops. This is often a prelude to a V-shape recovery. 🔹 The Volume: The massive volume spike at the lows confirms that the selling pressure has reached its peak exhaustion point. 2️⃣ The Trade Execution:We are watching for the "Trap Door" to close. 🎯 The "Go" Signal:I am waiting for a 15-minute close back above $4.20 to confirm the liquidity sweep is finished. 🛡️ The Invalidation:A sustained hold below the psychological $4.00 level means the support has cracked. 💎 The Exact Blueprint: 🔒 RESERVED FOR COMMUNITY MEMBERS. (I have mapped out the EXACT Entry Price & Profit Targets for this reversal.) 3️⃣ The Biotech Macro:Arbutus is a high-beta biotech play. Moves like this are designed to shake out retail before major data or catalyst events. 🛡️ TO FELLOW INVESTORS: The flush looks scary, but the volume tells the real story. 👇 Click the Link in Bio 🔗 for direct contact details AND get trading guidance. ⚠️ SCAM ALERT & TRANSPARENCY: Connecting via WhatsApp is 100% FREE.I use it strictly to share advanced strategies, deeper data, and execution plans that don't fit here. I will NEVER ask for payment inside the chat.If anyone claims to be me and asks for money or crypto, block them immediately. 🚫 #ABUS #Biotech #PennyStocks #StockMarket #VolumeClimax #DipBuy #TradingStrategy
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