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@BeTheGrayMan

Katılım Aralık 2011
29 Takip Edilen6 Takipçiler
Imran Lakha | Options Insight
Imran Lakha | Options Insight@options_insight·
Let me tell you why put condors crush outright shorts on overextended trends... You think the move is overcooked. You want short exposure. You're tempted to buy a put or short the underlying. Both will probably bleed you out before the move comes. Here's why the put condor wins on extended trends. Buying an outright put: you buy VEGA on a name where vol is already elevated after the explosive rally. Every day the trend continues, the THETA bleeds and even if you're directionally right the vol may reset back down. Shorting the stock: defined cost in margin, undefined cost in stress. Every higher print costs you. You'll cover at the worst possible time. The put condor: you buy a put closer to spot, sell two puts at your target zone, buy a wing below to define risk. The structure is relatively cheap because you're selling the higher downside vol. Your max loss is the small debit. Your max gain shows up if the stock pulls back into your target zone, which is exactly where you thought it would go. You're not betting on the ultimate top. You're betting on a retracement to a support zone. You're buying time for your thesis to work. The risk is that it works too soon and you have to wait to earn THETA in the zone. There is always a trade of in options, you just need to decide which one suits you best.
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