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🤖 Income Portfolio Update 2-22
I've shifted toward a more defensive income + growth approach with broader exposure across sectors, income styles, and defensive assets.
Blended yield now 25.6%.
⚙️ Data > Hype
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BeatTheBotz Investing
3.5K posts
BeatTheBotz Investing
@BeatTheBotz
BeatTheBotz With Passive Income High Yield ETFs • Options • Crypto Build Cash Flow • Become Work Optional
USA Katılım Temmuz 2021
4.3K Takip Edilen6.2K Takipçiler
@LuxAlgo Not surprising at all. Expectations were leaning negative, so even a slightly positive headline is enough to push things higher short term.
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@NoLimitGains Trying to time the exact bottom is a tough game. Scaling in slowly tends to be the better approach in environments like this.
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Ladies and gentlemen, it’s happening.
The S&P just lost its November lows.
Read the tweet below, everything will make sense.
12 million people saw it. Have you?
We are getting closer to the real opportunity but we are not there yet.
When the time comes, I’ll post here first.
NoLimit@NoLimitGains
If you’re over 18 years old, You can’t afford to miss this. The next 6–12 months are the most important of your life. Why? Because the market is setting up the greatest wealth transfer in history. Most people think the pain is over. THEY ARE WRONG. Stocks are still at the most overvalued level in history, and the stress is intensifying. Bitcoin has not officially bottomed yet. We are likely staring down one final, brutal flush. If you are dollar-cost averaging here, That’s not a mistake. Bitcoin is currently one of the most undervalued assets in the world. Accumulating slowly is a smart play to hedge your risk. If BTC drops below $60,000 and stays there for a while, I’m buying every day. But do not fire all your bullets yet. You need to keep the heavy artillery ready. Because this final crash? It will be the generational buying opportunity you’ve been praying for. DON’T WASTE TIME. Stack cash. Prepare your dry powder. This kind of setup doesn’t come very often. If you’re reading this, you’re not late. You are early in the accumulation phase. I don’t track prices, I track sentiment. I wait for maximum despair. That’s how I was able to buy every bottom and sell every top over the last decade. When the real bottom hits and I deploy a LOT of my capital, I’ll say it here publicly. A lot of people will regret not following me.
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@Whale_Guru Big question is how long this lasts. Short spike or sustained shock? That decides everything from inflation to equities.
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🚨🚨🚨 THE OIL CRISIS IS REAL. 🚨🚨🚨
🇺🇸 United States — Gas already up $0.76/gallon since war started. Oil Secretary: "No guarantees" prices fall.
🇯🇵 Japan — Imports 90%+ of its oil through the Gulf. Hormuz closure is an existential energy threat.
🇰🇷 South Korea — Depends on Gulf for 70%+ of crude imports. Economy at severe risk.
🇮🇳 India — Largest buyer of Gulf crude; scrambling to reroute through Russia, paying premium.
🇩🇪 Germany — Already in recession; oil shock adds direct pressure on manufacturing and consumers.
🇫🇷 France — Government under pressure to implement IEA speed limits and car restrictions nationally.
🇬🇧 United Kingdom — Downing Street told public to "carry on as normal." Oil market disagrees.
🇨🇳 China — Heavily exposed to Gulf imports; quietly securing Russian oil at discount amid chaos.
🇮🇹 Italy — Highly dependent on Gulf energy; inflation risk already rising before this shock.
🇧🇷 Brazil — Oil exporter itself, but global price spike still hits domestic fuel and industrial costs.
🇹🇷 Turkey — Critical transit route nation; watching oil flows with extreme concern.
🇵🇰 Pakistan — LPG-dependent population; IEA measure #10 specifically targets LPG-reliant countries.
🇮🇩 Indonesia — Major fuel subsidizer; oil shock will blow out government budgets.
🇵🇭 Philippines — 90%+ oil import-dependent; ordinary consumers already feeling pump price pain.
Oil was under $73/barrel before February 28.
It is $113+ today.
The IEA says this could last 6 MONTHS.
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@GlobalMktObserv Energy is the driver here. Higher oil feeds inflation, keeps rates elevated, and pressures equities. That’s a tough combo for markets to absorb.
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⚠️Markets had a brutal week as the US–Iran conflict escalated and sent shockwaves across most assets.
Gold suffered its worst weekly drop in 43 years, mirroring the 1983 collapse when Middle Eastern oil exporters dumped bullion for cash during an oil-market breakdown.
Equities were hammered, with the S&P 500 now down -7.6% from its January peak and posting its lowest close of 2026, wiping out -$3.2 trillion in market value since the Iran war began.
Tensions rose after reports that the Pentagon is preparing potential ground-force deployments, while President Donald Trump rejected a ceasefire and remained evasive about a possible operation to seize Kharg Island, a major Iranian oil hub.
Small caps cracked, with the Russell 2000 officially entering correction territory, now down -10% from its record high.
Treasury yields climbed, pushing markets to price in a 50% chance of a Fed hike by October.
Meanwhile, energy markets were volatile but surprisingly contained given the scale of geopolitical risk.
WTI traded between $92 and $100, ending near the top of the range (up just +1% for the week), while Brent surged +8.8% and European natural gas jumped +18.3%.
Intraday oil swings were extreme: spikes on news of three US warships and 2,500 Marines heading to the region, brief pullbacks on headlines pointing to de-escalation efforts, and renewed surges after reports of US preparations for ground operations.
By week’s end, US stocks remained under heavy pressure, softened only by a late-Friday recovery of index buying.
Overall, the sentiment remains deeply fragile, with investors hoping for some sort of de-escalation.
Performance this WEEK:
S&P 500 -1.9%
Nasdaq -2.1%
Russell 2000 -1.6%
Dow Jones -2.1%
US 10-year Treasury yield +9 bps
Bitcoin -1.9%
Bank Index +1.7%
VIX -2% front mth VIX futures +3%
US Dollar Index -1.0%
Gold -11%
Silver -16%
WTI Crude Oil +1.0%
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@jesse_rwilliams Fair pushback. The market’s clearly pricing in higher rates for longer right now, especially with oil and inflation risks rising. The Fed does still project one cut this year, but that path looks less certain. I was just sharing the upside scenario, not saying it’s guaranteed.
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@BeatTheBotz Also, no one is expecting any further fed cuts this year after this week's meetings. The two potential rate cuts that were being priced in a month ago evaporated with inflation resilience, consumer & jobs data, energy prices, and war.
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📊 UBS sees the S&P 500 reaching 7300 mid 2026 and 7700 by year end, driven by earnings growth, AI momentum, and expected Fed cuts
That implies ~11% upside to 7300 and ~17% upside to 7700 from current levels
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
UBS SEES S&P 500 SURGING TO 7,700 UBS remains bullish on U.S. stocks, expecting the S&P 500 to reach 7,300 by mid-2026 and 7,700 by year-end. The bank says the rally is supported by strong earnings growth, expected Fed rate cuts, and continued AI-driven gains. It forecasts 11% profit growth in 2026. Geopolitical risks are seen as temporary, with UBS expecting energy markets to stabilize. While prolonged disruption could weigh on stocks, history suggests markets typically rebound after such events. Despite recent volatility, UBS believes the overall outlook for equities remains positive.
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📊 Latest NEOS High Income ETF Distribution Rates
🥇 $NEHI 34.59%
🥈 $BTCI 27.80%
🥉 $MLPI 14.80%
$IWMI 14.58%
$QQQI 14.32%
$IAUI 12.52%
$SPYI 12.24%
$IYRI 11.01%
$NIHI 10.18%
⚖️ A diverse lineup with monthly income + growth potential
NEOS Investments@NEOSInvestments
March 2026 Monthly Distribution Information for the NEOS High Income ETF Suite Important Disclosures: This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. To view the prospectus for each ETF, visit: www2.neosfunds.com/High-Income-Su… ETF Fund Pages with Standardized Performance: neosfunds.com/SPYI neosfunds.com/QQQI neosfunds.com/IWMI neosfunds.com/BTCI neosfunds.com/IYRI neosfunds.com/IAUI neosfunds.com/NIHI/ neosfunds.com/NEHI/ neosfunds.com/MLPI/ Distributions made by the Funds have been classified as a return of capital and may be comprised of option premiums, dividends, capital gains, and interest payments. As of the most recent distributions by the funds, the distribution composition was estimated to be return of capital in the following amounts: IWMI = 100%, SPYI = 92%, QQQI = 97%, BTCI = 92%, IYRI = 56%, IAUI = 87%, NIHI = 100%, NEHI = 93%, MLPI = 91%. Please see the 19a-1 notices for a more comprehensive breakdown of monthly distributions on each Fund's page. Distributions are not guaranteed. *The Advisor has contractually agreed to keep the net expenses of IWMI from exceeding 0.68% of the Fund's average daily net assets through September 30, 2026 and the net expenses of NIHI from exceeding 0.68% of the Fund's average daily net assets through September 10, 2026 subject to approval of the agreement by the Board. Without the fee waiver IWMI’s expenses would be 0.78% and NIHI’s expenses would be 0.75%. BTCI’s total annual fund operating expenses are 0.99%. **30-day SEC Yield is calculation based on a formula mandated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that calculates a fund's hypothetical annualized income, as a percentage of its assets. A security's income, for the purposes of this calculation, is based on the current market yield to maturity (in the case of bonds) or projected dividend yield (for stocks) of the fund's holdings over a trailing 30-day period. This hypothetical income will differ (at times, significantly) from the fund's actual experience; as a result, income distributions from the fund may be higher or lower than implied by the SEC yield. It is important to note that 30-Day SEC Yield does not include income received from option selling. The data reflects the most recent month-end (02/28/2026). The Unsubsidized 30-day SEC Yield represents what a fund’s 30-day SEC yield would be had no fee waiver been in place over the reporting period. IWMI = 0.54% and NIHI = 2.69%. Distribution Rate: The annualized rate an investor would receive if the Fund’s most recent distribution remained constant. It reflects a single distribution, not the Fund’s total return, and is calculated by annualizing the most recent distribution (multiplying by 12) and dividing by the Fund’s most recent ex-date NAV.
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@StockMKTNewz US equities holding up better for now
But if energy keeps rising, that gap will start to close
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2026 could be off to a better start for the global stock market
Leverage Shares ETPs EU@LeverageShares
Which markets have fallen the most since the Iran conflict began? Drawdown by index since Feb 27: $KOSPI (Korea) −11.1% $NIKKEI (Japan) −8.7% $CAC (France) −7.5% $IBEX (Spain) −6.9% $DAX (Germany) −6.8% $SPX (USA) −2.6% The markets with few alternatives to the Gulf oil, such as Korea and Japan, are hurt the most. Although Europe has small Hormuz exposure, the drawdown reflects its vulnerability to the broader energy price shock. The US, by contrast, is relatively insulated due to lower dependence on Middle Eastern oil, which explains its smaller decline.
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@CNBC Caution = rates higher for longer
That keeps pressure on equities while supporting yields and the dollar
Markets are still pricing that in
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Fed Governor Waller urges caution for now, says rate cuts possible later in the year cnbc.com/2026/03/20/fed…
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📉 Brutal Day for $SMCI and YieldMax $SMCY
$SMCI plunges after DOJ charges tied to illegal AI server exports, with a cofounder, employee, and contractor accused of routing restricted systems overseas
⚖️ Single stock income ETFs carry headline risk
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📊 Income vs Growth (YTD Total Return)
NEOS $SPYI $QQQI are outperforming $SPY $QQQ YTD with distributions reinvested.
💰 12–14% yields vs ~1%
📉 Income cushions drawdowns
🔁 Reinvested cash compounds returns
⚖️ Different strategy, different outcome
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📉 Stock Futures Edge Lower as Volatility Rises
🔴 DIA: -0.17%
🔴 SPY: -0.17%
🔴 QQQ: -0.25%
🔴 IWM: -0.26%
🟢 VIX: +2.51%
🔴 Crude Oil: -0.55%
🔴 Brent Oil: -0.64%
🟢 Gold: +0.56%
🔴 Silver: -1.45%
🟢 Bitcoin: +1.40%
🟢 Ethereum: +0.34%
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@jesse_rwilliams True, but we still did get a nice bounce off of the session lows.
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@BeatTheBotz Markets still closed red for the day, and oil finished back above 94. Only green sectors in my folder is oil/energy, small caps, consumer staples, long t-bills/bonds, short funds, and chips. Everything else, including all precious metals, closed red for the day.
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📈 Nice reversal for $SPY into the close as oil pulls back.
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: The S&P 500 erases losses and turns green as US oil prices fall below $93/barrel.
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📉 Gold & Silver Hit Hard Today
Gold -4.66%
Silver -6.60%
Both bouncing off the morning lows.
Income names reacting:
$KSLV $KGLD $SLJY $GDXY $GLDN $SLVX
⚖️Buy the dip or wait for stabilization?
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📊 NEOS $MLPI Showing Strength Today
+1.87% On the day as global energy costs rise
14.95% Annual yield paid monthly
Exposure: MLPs and energy infrastructure companies
📈 Since inception (12/17/25): +18.58% total return
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📉 Futures Drop, Gold & Silver Plunge as Energy Costs Surge
🔴 Dow: -0.63%
🔴 S&P 500: -0.65%
🔴 Nasdaq 100: -0.80%
🔴 Russell 2000: -1.17%
🟢 VIX: +5.13%
🟢 Crude Oil (WTI): +0.36%
🟢 Brent Crude: +5.44%
🔴 Gold: -5.04%
🔴 Silver: -10.51%
🔴 Bitcoin: -4.35%
🔴 Ethereum: -4.96%
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⚡️ XFunds $BHDG now trading
Nicholas Bitcoin Tail ETF uses an options strategy to hedge or benefit from downside in BTC
📉 Long puts gain if BTC falls
📈 Call spreads help fund the hedge
⚖️ Designed for protection in sharp declines, but may lag in flat or rising markets
XFUNDS@XFunds_
⚡ It’s here! $BHDG is now trading.
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📊 Top 10 Weekly Pay Income ETFs by Prior 3M Return
🥇 $MRNY +55.27%
🥈 $USOY +52.03%
🥉 $CRCO +49.50%
$XOMO +27.52%
$CRSH +25.87%
$SEMY +19.93%
$GLDW +17.91%
$COSW +17.87%
$TSMY +14.57%
$CHPY +13.98%
❔ Which ones are you holding?
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📉 Futures Drop as Oil and Inflation Rise
🔴 Dow: -0.52%
🔴 S&P 500: -0.44%
🔴 Nasdaq 100: -0.44%
🔴 Russell 2000: -1.02%
🟢 VIX: +3.54%
🟢 Crude Oil: +1.63%
🔴 Gold: -3.13%
🔴 Silver: -4.19%
🔴 Bitcoin: -1.89%
🔴 Ethereum: -3.53%
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